Colombian Primera A· Kick-off : Saturday, November 7, 2026, 21:05 (UK time)
Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas: 1-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Once Caldas 1-0 Águilas Doradas. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Once Caldas at 55%. The exact score 1-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (11.5%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (51%): missed.
Match analysis
Once Caldas and Águilas Doradas met on Saturday, November 7, 2026, a Colombian Primera A fixture. Venue: Estadio Palogrande, Manizales. Before kick-off, our model gave Once Caldas a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Águilas Doradas 21%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.5%), followed by 1-1 (11.2%) and 2-0 (10.0%).
Once Caldas are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 7 and conceding 2. Over their last 5 matches, Águilas Doradas have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 3. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Once Caldas score 1.40 and concede 0.40 goals per game; Águilas Doradas score 1.20 and concede 0.60. In the table, Once Caldas sit 9th with 24 points from 17 games, Águilas Doradas 8th with 25 points from 17. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Once Caldas have averaged 1.57 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.09 for Águilas Doradas.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Once Caldas, 0 for Águilas Doradas and 1 draw. The most recent ended Águilas Doradas 2-2 Once Caldas (Apr 26, 2026). In double chance terms, "Once Caldas or draw" stands at 79%, "Águilas Doradas or draw" at 45% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Once Caldas are favourites for this Once Caldas v Águilas Doradas, with a 55% win probability from our model. On recent form, Once Caldas have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in 5 while Águilas Doradas have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Once Caldas – Águilas Doradas. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Once Caldas 1-0 Águilas Doradas | 11.5% |
| Once Caldas 1-1 Águilas Doradas | 11.2% |
| Once Caldas 2-0 Águilas Doradas | 10.0% |
| Once Caldas 2-1 Águilas Doradas | 9.8% |
| Once Caldas 0-0 Águilas Doradas | 6.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.74 expected goals for Once Caldas and 0.98 for Águilas Doradas, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 51% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Once Caldas keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, Águilas Doradas in 18%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Once Caldas expected goals | 1.74 |
| Águilas Doradas expected goals | 0.98 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| Once Caldas clean sheet | 38% |
| Águilas Doradas clean sheet | 18% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Once Caldas
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Santa Fe · Copa Colombia | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Alianza Valledupar · Colombian Primera A | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Deportivo Pereira · Colombian Primera A | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Millonarios · Colombian Primera A | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Independiente Medellin · Colombian Primera A | 2-0 | W |
Águilas Doradas
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Fortaleza FC · Colombian Primera A | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Cucuta · Colombian Primera A | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Junior · Colombian Primera A | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Deportes Tolima · Colombian Primera A | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Bucaramanga · Colombian Primera A | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Once Caldas | 9 | 24 | 17 |
| Águilas Doradas | 8 | 25 | 17 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Águilas Doradas 2-2 Once Caldas | Colombian Primera A |
Out and doubtful
Once Caldas
No absences reported.
Águilas Doradas
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Once Caldas
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Colorado4/4
- D. Londono4/4
- J. A. Zapata Ramirez4/4
- J. Cardona4/4
- J. D. Cuesta Santos4/4
- J. Nieto4/4
- J. Parra4/4
- J. Patino4/4
- J. Quinones4/4
- M. Barrios4/4
- P. Gomez4/4
Águilas Doradas
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Mosquera5/5
- A. Ricaurte5/5
- A. Vasquez5/5
- D. Lozano5/5
- F. Lozano5/5
- I. Rojas5/5
- J. Mena5/5
- J. Soto5/5
- M. Ramirez5/5
- J. Ontaneda4/5
- J. Garcia2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Millonarios 0-0 America de CaliNov 5, 2026
- Chico 2-1 Internacional de BogotaNov 6, 2026
- Fortaleza FC 0-3 Independiente MedellinNov 7, 2026
- Atletico Nacional 4-3 Deportivo PereiraNov 7, 2026
- America de Cali 0-0 Deportivo CaliNov 8, 2026
- Santa Fe 5-0 Deportivo PastoNov 8, 2026
- Jaguares 0-4 BucaramangaNov 8, 2026
- Deportes Tolima 2-1 MillonariosNov 8, 2026
- Alianza Valledupar 1-2 LlanerosNov 9, 2026
- Junior – CucutaNov 10, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Once Caldas a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Águilas Doradas 21%. Once Caldas are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas?
1-0 (11.5%), followed by 1-1 (11.2%), 2-0 (10.0%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 0-0 (6.6%).
Will both teams score in Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas?
The probability that both Once Caldas and Águilas Doradas score is 52%. Once Caldas have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Águilas Doradas 18%.
How many goals should we expect in Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas?
The model expects 2.72 goals (1.74 for Once Caldas, 0.98 for Águilas Doradas). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 76%, over 2.5 goals 51%, over 3.5 goals 29%.
When and where is Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas played?
Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 21:05 (UK time), Colombian Primera A. Venue: Estadio Palogrande, Manizales.
What form are Once Caldas and Águilas Doradas in?
Once Caldas: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 2 conceded). Águilas Doradas: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 3 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Once Caldas and Águilas Doradas?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Once Caldas, 0 for Águilas Doradas and 1 draw. The most recent ended Águilas Doradas 2-2 Once Caldas (Apr 26, 2026).
What was the Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Once Caldas 1-0 Águilas Doradas. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Once Caldas at 55%. The exact score 1-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (11.5%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (51%): missed.
How is the Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.74 for Once Caldas, 0.98 for Águilas Doradas) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Once Caldas predictions
- All Águilas Doradas predictions
- Colombian Primera A predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology