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Colombian Primera AColombian Primera A· Kick-off : Monday, November 9, 2026, 01:15 (UK time)

Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros: 1-2 result and AI prediction review

Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1 – 2LlanerosLlaneros

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Alianza Valledupar 1-2 Llaneros. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Llaneros at 36%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.2%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (42%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (35%): missed.

Match analysis

Alianza Valledupar and Llaneros met on Monday, November 9, 2026, a Colombian Primera A fixture. Venue: Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar. Before kick-off, our model gave Alianza Valledupar a 34% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Llaneros 36%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (13.5%), followed by 0-1 (13.2%) and 1-0 (12.6%).

Over their last 5 matches, Alianza Valledupar have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Llaneros have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 10. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Alianza Valledupar score 1.00 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Llaneros score 1.00 and concede 2.00. In the table, Alianza Valledupar sit 15th with 18 points from 17 games, Llaneros 13th with 20 points from 17. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Alianza Valledupar have averaged 0.95 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.15 for Llaneros.

In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Alianza Valledupar, 0 for Llaneros and 1 draw. The most recent ended Llaneros 0-0 Alianza Valledupar (Apr 27, 2026). In double chance terms, "Alianza Valledupar or draw" stands at 64%, "Llaneros or draw" at 66% and "no draw" at 70%.

In short : Alianza Valledupar host Llaneros in a tight contest where a draw stays on the table (30%). On recent form, Alianza Valledupar have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Llaneros have 2 wins, 0 draw and 3 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

34%
Alianza Valledupar (Win)
30%
Draw
36%
Llaneros (Win)

Double chance

64%
Alianza Valledupar or draw
66%
Llaneros or draw
70%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Alianza Valledupar – Llaneros. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 59% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Alianza Valledupar 1-1 Llaneros13.5%
Alianza Valledupar 0-1 Llaneros13.2%
Alianza Valledupar 1-0 Llaneros12.6%
Alianza Valledupar 0-0 Llaneros12.4%
Alianza Valledupar 1-2 Llaneros7.2%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.02 expected goals for Alianza Valledupar and 1.07 for Llaneros, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 35% and "both teams to score" at 42%. Few goals are expected here. Alianza Valledupar keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, Llaneros in 36%.

Probability
Alianza Valledupar expected goals1.02
Llaneros expected goals1.07
Both teams to score42%
Over 1.5 goals62%
Over 2.5 goals35%
Over 3.5 goals16%
Alianza Valledupar clean sheet34%
Llaneros clean sheet36%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Alianza Valledupar

DateOpponentScore
Nov 1, 2026Independiente Medellin · Colombian Primera A1-2L
Oct 28, 2026Once Caldas · Colombian Primera A0-1L
Oct 25, 2026Internacional de Bogota · Colombian Primera A1-0W
Oct 20, 2026Deportivo Pasto · Colombian Primera A1-0W
Oct 10, 2026Águilas Doradas · Colombian Primera A2-2D

Llaneros

DateOpponentScore
Oct 31, 2026Junior · Colombian Primera A3-2W
Oct 26, 2026Jaguares · Colombian Primera A0-1L
Oct 22, 2026Deportivo Cali · Colombian Primera A0-3L
Oct 19, 2026Santa Fe · Colombian Primera A1-0W
Oct 16, 2026Internacional de Bogota · Copa Colombia1-4L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Alianza Valledupar151817
Llaneros132017

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 27, 2026Llaneros 0-0 Alianza ValleduparPrimera A
Sep 27, 2025Alianza Valledupar 3-1 LlanerosPrimera A
Apr 12, 2025Llaneros 0-1 Alianza ValleduparPrimera A

Out and doubtful

Alianza Valledupar

No absences reported.

Llaneros

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Alianza Valledupar

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • E. Beltran5/5
  • J. Castillo5/5
  • J. Lasso5/5
  • J. Viveros5/5
  • W. Fernandez5/5
  • J. Munoz4/5
  • F. Pardo3/5
  • J. Figueroa3/5
  • K. Moreno3/5
  • M. Martinez3/5
  • P. Franco3/5

Llaneros

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • J. Ramirez5/5
  • N. Ospina5/5
  • J. Castilla4/5
  • J. Escobar Salcedo4/5
  • J. Pertuz4/5
  • R. Romana Garavito4/5
  • D. Quintero3/5
  • F. Meza3/5
  • H. H. Mena Posada3/5
  • M. Sierra3/5
  • Y. Mena3/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Alianza Valledupar a 34% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Llaneros 36%. Llaneros are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros?

1-1 (13.5%), followed by 0-1 (13.2%), 1-0 (12.6%), 0-0 (12.4%) and 1-2 (7.2%).

Will both teams score in Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros?

The probability that both Alianza Valledupar and Llaneros score is 42%. Alianza Valledupar have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Llaneros 36%.

How many goals should we expect in Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros?

The model expects 2.09 goals (1.02 for Alianza Valledupar, 1.07 for Llaneros). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 62%, over 2.5 goals 35%, over 3.5 goals 16%.

When and where is Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros played?

Monday, November 9, 2026 at 01:15 (UK time), Colombian Primera A. Venue: Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar.

What form are Alianza Valledupar and Llaneros in?

Alianza Valledupar: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 5 conceded). Llaneros: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 10 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Alianza Valledupar and Llaneros?

In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Alianza Valledupar, 0 for Llaneros and 1 draw. The most recent ended Llaneros 0-0 Alianza Valledupar (Apr 27, 2026).

What was the Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Alianza Valledupar 1-2 Llaneros. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Llaneros at 36%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.2%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (42%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (35%): missed.

How is the Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.02 for Alianza Valledupar, 1.07 for Llaneros) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained