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Colombian Primera AColombian Primera A· Kick-off : Sunday, November 8, 2026, 21:05 (UK time)

Jaguares vs Bucaramanga: 0-4 result and AI prediction review

JaguaresJaguares0 – 4BucaramangaBucaramanga

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 0-1

Final score: Jaguares 0-4 Bucaramanga. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Bucaramanga at 64%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (3.4%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (35%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (39%): missed.

Match analysis

Jaguares and Bucaramanga met on Sunday, November 8, 2026, a Colombian Primera A fixture. Venue: Estadio Jaraguay, Monteria. Before kick-off, our model gave Jaguares a 12% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bucaramanga 64%. On the correct score, 0-1 comes out on top (17.8%), followed by 0-2 (14.8%) and 0-0 (10.8%).

Jaguares have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 9. Bucaramanga have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 6. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Jaguares score 0.60 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Bucaramanga score 1.00 and concede 1.20. In the table, Jaguares sit 19th with 13 points from 17 games, Bucaramanga 4th with 29 points from 17. 15 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Jaguares have averaged 0.77 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.22 for Bucaramanga.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Jaguares, 0 for Bucaramanga and 1 draw. The most recent ended Bucaramanga 2-2 Jaguares (Apr 25, 2026). In double chance terms, "Jaguares or draw" stands at 36%, "Bucaramanga or draw" at 88% and "no draw" at 76%.

In short : Bucaramanga are tipped by our AI model in this Jaguares v Bucaramanga (64%). On recent form, Jaguares are struggling (4 losses in 5) while Bucaramanga have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

12%
Jaguares (Win)
24%
Draw
64%
Bucaramanga (Win)

Double chance

36%
Jaguares or draw
88%
Bucaramanga or draw
76%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Jaguares – Bucaramanga. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (17.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 62% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Jaguares 0-1 Bucaramanga17.8%
Jaguares 0-2 Bucaramanga14.8%
Jaguares 0-0 Bucaramanga10.8%
Jaguares 1-1 Bucaramanga10.2%
Jaguares 1-2 Bucaramanga8.4%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 0.57 expected goals for Jaguares and 1.66 for Bucaramanga, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 39% and "both teams to score" at 35%. Few goals are expected here. Jaguares keep a clean sheet in 19% of scenarios, Bucaramanga in 57%.

Probability
Jaguares expected goals0.57
Bucaramanga expected goals1.66
Both teams to score35%
Over 1.5 goals65%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Jaguares clean sheet19%
Bucaramanga clean sheet57%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Jaguares

DateOpponentScore
Nov 3, 2026Deportivo Pasto · Colombian Primera A0-2L
Oct 30, 2026Deportivo Pereira · Colombian Primera A0-1L
Oct 26, 2026Llaneros · Colombian Primera A1-0W
Oct 22, 2026Santa Fe · Colombian Primera A1-2L
Oct 18, 2026Millonarios · Colombian Primera A1-4L

Bucaramanga

DateOpponentScore
Nov 3, 2026Atletico Nacional · Colombian Primera A1-1D
Oct 31, 2026Deportivo Pasto · Colombian Primera A2-1W
Oct 27, 2026Santa Fe · Colombian Primera A1-2L
Oct 24, 2026Chico · Colombian Primera A0-1L
Oct 18, 2026America de Cali · Colombian Primera A1-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Jaguares191317
Bucaramanga42917

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Bucaramanga 2-2 JaguaresColombian Primera A

Out and doubtful

Jaguares

No absences reported.

Bucaramanga

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Jaguares

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • J. Lovera5/5
  • L. Jimenez5/5
  • R. Bustamante5/5
  • W. De La Rosa5/5
  • A. Renteria4/5
  • F. Mosquera4/5
  • J. Franco4/5
  • J. Mejia4/5
  • Jopito4/5
  • J. Malagon3/5
  • J. Yanez3/5

Bucaramanga

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • E. Batalla5/5
  • F. Charrupi5/5
  • F. Sambueza5/5
  • J. Garcia5/5
  • J. Ortiz5/5
  • L. Pons5/5
  • C. Fiermarin4/5
  • F. Hinestroza4/5
  • Fabry4/5
  • N. Castrillon4/5
  • C. Romana3/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Jaguares vs Bucaramanga prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Jaguares a 12% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bucaramanga 64%. Bucaramanga are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-4.

What is the most likely correct score for Jaguares vs Bucaramanga?

0-1 (17.8%), followed by 0-2 (14.8%), 0-0 (10.8%), 1-1 (10.2%) and 1-2 (8.4%).

Will both teams score in Jaguares vs Bucaramanga?

The probability that both Jaguares and Bucaramanga score is 35%. Jaguares have a 19% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Bucaramanga 57%.

How many goals should we expect in Jaguares vs Bucaramanga?

The model expects 2.23 goals (0.57 for Jaguares, 1.66 for Bucaramanga). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 65%, over 2.5 goals 39%, over 3.5 goals 19%.

When and where is Jaguares vs Bucaramanga played?

Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 21:05 (UK time), Colombian Primera A. Venue: Estadio Jaraguay, Monteria.

What form are Jaguares and Bucaramanga in?

Jaguares: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 9 conceded). Bucaramanga: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Jaguares and Bucaramanga?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Jaguares, 0 for Bucaramanga and 1 draw. The most recent ended Bucaramanga 2-2 Jaguares (Apr 25, 2026).

What was the Jaguares vs Bucaramanga result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Jaguares 0-4 Bucaramanga. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Bucaramanga at 64%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (3.4%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (35%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (39%): missed.

How is the Jaguares vs Bucaramanga prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.57 for Jaguares, 1.66 for Bucaramanga) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained