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Chilean Primera DivisiónChilean Primera División· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)

Cobresal vs Universidad de Concepcion prediction: correct score and AI tips

CobresalCobresal–Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion

Match analysis

Cobresal take on Universidad de Concepcion on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), a Chilean Primera División, matchday 24 fixture. Venue: Estadio El Cobre de El Salvador, El Salvador. The edge goes to Cobresal (55%), ahead of the draw (24%) and a Universidad de Concepcion win (21%). The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.7%), ahead of 1-1 (11.3%) and 2-0 (10.2%).

Over their last 5 matches, Cobresal have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Universidad de Concepcion have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 9. Recent momentum is clearly with Cobresal. On average Cobresal score 1.60 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Universidad de Concepcion score 0.80 and concede 1.80. In the table, Cobresal sit 14th with 24 points from 23 games, Universidad de Concepcion 15th with 22 points from 22. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Cobresal, 1 for Universidad de Concepcion and 0 draws. The most recent ended Universidad de Concepcion 1-0 Cobresal (Apr 13, 2026). In double chance terms, "Cobresal or draw" stands at 79%, "Universidad de Concepcion or draw" at 45% and "no draw" at 76%.

In short : Cobresal are favourites for this Cobresal v Universidad de Concepcion, with a 55% win probability from our model. On recent form, Cobresal have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Universidad de Concepcion are struggling (4 losses in 5). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

55%
Cobresal (Win)
24%
Draw
21%
Universidad de Concepcion (Win)

Double chance

79%
Cobresal or draw
45%
Universidad de Concepcion or draw
76%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Cobresal – Universidad de Concepcion. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Cobresal 1-0 Universidad de Concepcion11.7%
Cobresal 1-1 Universidad de Concepcion11.3%
Cobresal 2-0 Universidad de Concepcion10.2%
Cobresal 2-1 Universidad de Concepcion9.8%
Cobresal 0-0 Universidad de Concepcion6.8%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.69 goals in total (1.73 for Cobresal, 0.96 for Universidad de Concepcion): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 51%. Cobresal keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, Universidad de Concepcion in 18%.

Probability
Cobresal expected goals1.73
Universidad de Concepcion expected goals0.96
Both teams to score51%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Cobresal clean sheet38%
Universidad de Concepcion clean sheet18%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Cobresal

DateOpponentScore
Sep 12, 2026Coquimbo Unido · Chilean Primera División3-2W
Sep 8, 2026Deportes Limache · Chilean Primera División0-3L
Aug 28, 2026Palestino · Chilean Primera División2-0W
Aug 23, 2026D. La Serena · Chilean Primera División3-3D
Aug 16, 2026Concepción · Chilean Primera División0-2L

Universidad de Concepcion

DateOpponentScore
Sep 6, 2026Palestino · Chilean Primera División1-2L
Sep 2, 2026Coquimbo Unido · Chilean Primera División0-1L
Aug 30, 2026Universidad de Chile · Chilean Primera División2-1W
Aug 25, 2026Everton de Vina · Chilean Primera División1-3L
Aug 15, 2026D. La Serena · Chilean Primera División0-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Cobresal142423
Universidad de Concepcion152222

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 13, 2026Universidad de Concepcion 1-0 CobresalChilean Primera División

Out and doubtful

Cobresal

No absences reported.

Universidad de Concepcion

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Cobresal

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Castillo5/5
  • C. Moreno5/5
  • J. Tiznado5/5
  • M. Olguin5/5
  • Villagran5/5
  • J. Brea4/5
  • J. Morales4/5
  • S. Pino4/5
  • V. Campos4/5
  • C. Yanis3/5
  • J. Fuentes3/5

Universidad de Concepcion

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • C. Waterman5/5
  • L. Rojas5/5
  • O. Gonzalez5/5
  • B. Ogaz4/5
  • J. Broun4/5
  • J. Fuentealba4/5
  • M. Barbieri4/5
  • A. Diaz3/5
  • M. Gonzalez3/5
  • R. Funes Mori3/5
  • B. Saez2/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Cobresal vs Universidad de Concepcion prediction?

Our AI gives Cobresal a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Universidad de Concepcion 21%. Cobresal are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Cobresal vs Universidad de Concepcion?

1-0 (11.7%), followed by 1-1 (11.3%), 2-0 (10.2%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 0-0 (6.8%).

Will both teams score in Cobresal vs Universidad de Concepcion?

The probability that both Cobresal and Universidad de Concepcion score is 51%. Cobresal have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Universidad de Concepcion 18%.

How many goals should we expect in Cobresal vs Universidad de Concepcion?

The model expects 2.69 goals (1.73 for Cobresal, 0.96 for Universidad de Concepcion). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Cobresal vs Universidad de Concepcion played?

Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), Chilean Primera División, matchday 24. Venue: Estadio El Cobre de El Salvador, El Salvador.

What form are Cobresal and Universidad de Concepcion in?

Cobresal: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 10 conceded). Universidad de Concepcion: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 9 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Cobresal and Universidad de Concepcion?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Cobresal, 1 for Universidad de Concepcion and 0 draws. The most recent ended Universidad de Concepcion 1-0 Cobresal (Apr 13, 2026).

How is the Cobresal vs Universidad de Concepcion prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.73 for Cobresal, 0.96 for Universidad de Concepcion) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained