Chilean Primera División· Kick-off : Monday, October 12, 2026, 21:00 (UK time)
Universidad de Chile vs Nublense: 6-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Universidad de Chile 6-0 Nublense. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Universidad de Chile at 65%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.5%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (46%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): correct.
Match analysis
Universidad de Chile and Nublense met on Monday, October 12, 2026, a Chilean Primera División, matchday 24 fixture. Venue: Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua. Before kick-off, our model gave Universidad de Chile a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nublense 14%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (13.1%), followed by 2-0 (12.6%) and 1-1 (10.0%).
Over their last 5 matches, Universidad de Chile have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Nublense have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 10. Universidad de Chile therefore arrive in far better shape than Nublense. On average Universidad de Chile score 1.80 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Nublense score 0.80 and concede 2.00. In the table, Universidad de Chile sit 3rd with 42 points from 23 games, Nublense 9th with 32 points from 23. 6 places separate the two sides.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Universidad de Chile, 1 for Nublense and 0 draws. The most recent ended Nublense 1-0 Universidad de Chile (Apr 12, 2026). In double chance terms, "Universidad de Chile or draw" stands at 86%, "Nublense or draw" at 35% and "no draw" at 79%.
In short : Our model backs Universidad de Chile to edge Nublense (65% probability). On recent form, Universidad de Chile have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while Nublense are struggling (4 losses in 5). Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 46%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Universidad de Chile – Nublense. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 53% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Universidad de Chile 1-0 Nublense | 13.1% |
| Universidad de Chile 2-0 Nublense | 12.6% |
| Universidad de Chile 1-1 Nublense | 10.0% |
| Universidad de Chile 2-1 Nublense | 9.6% |
| Universidad de Chile 3-0 Nublense | 8.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.93 expected goals for Universidad de Chile and 0.76 for Nublense, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 46%. Universidad de Chile keep a clean sheet in 47% of scenarios, Nublense in 15%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Universidad de Chile expected goals | 1.93 |
| Nublense expected goals | 0.76 |
| Both teams to score | 46% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Universidad de Chile clean sheet | 47% |
| Nublense clean sheet | 15% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Universidad de Chile
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Antofagasta · Copa Chile | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Everton de Vina · Copa Chile | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Everton de Vina · Copa Chile | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | D. La Serena · Chilean Primera División | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido · Chilean Primera División | 4-2 | W |
Nublense
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | D. Puerto Montt · Copa Chile | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 22, 2026 | D. Puerto Montt · Copa Chile | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Everton de Vina · Chilean Primera División | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | D. La Serena · Chilean Primera División | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Deportes Limache · Chilean Primera División | 0-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Chile | 3 | 42 | 23 |
| Nublense | 9 | 32 | 23 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Nublense 1-0 Universidad de Chile | Chilean Primera División |
Out and doubtful
Universidad de Chile
No absences reported.
Nublense
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Universidad de Chile
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Eduardo Vargas5/5
- G. Castellon5/5
- M. Zaldivia5/5
- N. Ramirez5/5
- T. Reinhart5/5
- F. Hormazabal4/5
- M. G. Guerrero Pena4/5
- N. Fernandez4/5
- J. Altamirano3/5
- J. Lucero3/5
- A. Arce2/5
Nublense
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- N. Perez4/4
- P. Calderon4/4
- F. Campos Mosqueira3/4
- F. Ovelar3/4
- J. Campusano3/4
- M. Rivera3/4
- O. Bosso Torres3/4
- D. Sanhueza2/4
- F. Rami2/4
- I. Jeraldino2/4
- I. Tapia2/4
Other matches in this competition
- Cobresal 1-1 Universidad de ConcepcionOct 10, 2026
- Huachipato 2-0 O'HigginsOct 10, 2026
- U. Catolica – A. ItalianoOct 11, 2026
- Everton de Vina 3-2 D. La SerenaOct 11, 2026
- Coquimbo Unido 5-2 Colo ColoOct 11, 2026
- Concepción 1-1 Union La CaleraOct 11, 2026
- Deportes Limache 2-2 PalestinoOct 12, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Universidad de Chile vs Nublense prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Universidad de Chile a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nublense 14%. Universidad de Chile are therefore favourites. Final score: 6-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Universidad de Chile vs Nublense?
1-0 (13.1%), followed by 2-0 (12.6%), 1-1 (10.0%), 2-1 (9.6%) and 3-0 (8.1%).
Will both teams score in Universidad de Chile vs Nublense?
The probability that both Universidad de Chile and Nublense score is 46%. Universidad de Chile have a 47% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Nublense 15%.
How many goals should we expect in Universidad de Chile vs Nublense?
The model expects 2.69 goals (1.93 for Universidad de Chile, 0.76 for Nublense). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Universidad de Chile vs Nublense played?
Monday, October 12, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time), Chilean Primera División, matchday 24. Venue: Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua.
What form are Universidad de Chile and Nublense in?
Universidad de Chile: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 5 conceded). Nublense: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 10 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Universidad de Chile and Nublense?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Universidad de Chile, 1 for Nublense and 0 draws. The most recent ended Nublense 1-0 Universidad de Chile (Apr 12, 2026).
What was the Universidad de Chile vs Nublense result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Universidad de Chile 6-0 Nublense. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Universidad de Chile at 65%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.5%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (46%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): correct.
How is the Universidad de Chile vs Nublense prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.93 for Universidad de Chile, 0.76 for Nublense) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Universidad de Chile predictions
- All Nublense predictions
- Chilean Primera División predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology