Chilean Primera División· Kick-off : Sunday, October 11, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo: 5-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Coquimbo Unido 5-2 Colo Colo. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Colo Colo (42%), while victory for Coquimbo Unido was rated at only 32%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.1%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): missed.
Match analysis
Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo was played on Sunday, October 11, 2026 (Chilean Primera División, matchday 24). Venue: Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso, Coquimbo. Before kick-off, our model gave Coquimbo Unido a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Colo Colo 42%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.5%), ahead of 0-1 (10.6%) and 1-0 (8.9%).
Over their last 5 matches, Coquimbo Unido have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Colo Colo are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 3 and conceding 1. Recent momentum is clearly with Colo Colo. On average Coquimbo Unido score 1.60 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Colo Colo score 0.60 and concede 0.20. In the table, Coquimbo Unido sit 11th with 29 points from 22 games, Colo Colo 1st with 54 points from 23. 10 places separate the two sides.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Coquimbo Unido, 1 for Colo Colo and 0 draws. The most recent ended Colo Colo 3-1 Coquimbo Unido (May 3, 2026). In double chance terms, "Coquimbo Unido or draw" stands at 58%, "Colo Colo or draw" at 68% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Our model backs Colo Colo to edge Coquimbo Unido (42% probability). On recent form, Coquimbo Unido have 2 wins, 0 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Colo Colo have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 52%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Coquimbo Unido – Colo Colo. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Coquimbo Unido 1-1 Colo Colo | 12.5% |
| Coquimbo Unido 0-1 Colo Colo | 10.6% |
| Coquimbo Unido 1-0 Colo Colo | 8.9% |
| Coquimbo Unido 1-2 Colo Colo | 8.8% |
| Coquimbo Unido 0-0 Colo Colo | 7.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.59 goals in total (1.18 for Coquimbo Unido, 1.41 for Colo Colo): over 2.5 goals has a 48% probability and both teams to score 52%. Coquimbo Unido keep a clean sheet in 24% of scenarios, Colo Colo in 31%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Coquimbo Unido expected goals | 1.18 |
| Colo Colo expected goals | 1.41 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Coquimbo Unido clean sheet | 24% |
| Colo Colo clean sheet | 31% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Coquimbo Unido
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Cobreloa · Copa Chile | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Cobreloa · Copa Chile | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Huachipato · Chilean Primera División | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cobresal · Chilean Primera División | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Universidad de Chile · Chilean Primera División | 2-4 | L |
Colo Colo
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | D. Puerto Montt · Copa Chile | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 26, 2026 | A. Italiano · Copa Chile | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 23, 2026 | A. Italiano · Copa Chile | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Concepción · Chilean Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Huachipato · Chilean Primera División | 0-0 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coquimbo Unido | 11 | 29 | 22 |
| Colo Colo | 1 | 54 | 23 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Colo Colo 3-1 Coquimbo Unido | Chilean Primera División |
Out and doubtful
Coquimbo Unido
No absences reported.
Colo Colo
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Coquimbo Unido
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- L. Soza4/5
- A. Camargo3/5
- B. Gazzolo3/5
- D. Sanchez3/5
- F. Salinas3/5
- J. Cornejo3/5
- N. Johansen3/5
- P. Rodriguez3/5
- S. Cabrera3/5
- S. Galani3/5
- D. Pereira2/5
Colo Colo
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Madrid5/5
- E. Wiemberg5/5
- J. Rojas5/5
- L. Pastran5/5
- A. Vidal4/5
- E. Villanueva3/5
- F. Marchant3/5
- J. Correa3/5
- M. Romero3/5
- T. Alarcon3/5
- C. Diaz2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Cobresal 1-1 Universidad de ConcepcionOct 10, 2026
- Huachipato 2-0 O'HigginsOct 10, 2026
- U. Catolica – A. ItalianoOct 11, 2026
- Everton de Vina 3-2 D. La SerenaOct 11, 2026
- Concepción 1-1 Union La CaleraOct 11, 2026
- Deportes Limache 2-2 PalestinoOct 12, 2026
- Universidad de Chile 6-0 NublenseOct 12, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Coquimbo Unido a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Colo Colo 42%. Colo Colo are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 5-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo?
1-1 (12.5%), followed by 0-1 (10.6%), 1-0 (8.9%), 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-0 (7.5%).
Will both teams score in Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo?
The probability that both Coquimbo Unido and Colo Colo score is 52%. Coquimbo Unido have a 24% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Colo Colo 31%.
How many goals should we expect in Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo?
The model expects 2.59 goals (1.18 for Coquimbo Unido, 1.41 for Colo Colo). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.
When and where is Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo played?
Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), Chilean Primera División, matchday 24. Venue: Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso, Coquimbo.
What form are Coquimbo Unido and Colo Colo in?
Coquimbo Unido: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 10 conceded). Colo Colo: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 1 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Coquimbo Unido and Colo Colo?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Coquimbo Unido, 1 for Colo Colo and 0 draws. The most recent ended Colo Colo 3-1 Coquimbo Unido (May 3, 2026).
What was the Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Coquimbo Unido 5-2 Colo Colo. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Colo Colo (42%), while victory for Coquimbo Unido was rated at only 32%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.1%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): missed.
How is the Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.18 for Coquimbo Unido, 1.41 for Colo Colo) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Coquimbo Unido predictions
- All Colo Colo predictions
- Chilean Primera División predictions
- Colo Colo cards
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology