Chilean Primera División· Kick-off : Monday, October 12, 2026, 00:00 (UK time)
Deportes Limache vs Palestino: 2-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Deportes Limache 2-2 Palestino. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Deportes Limache (49%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The final score ranked 8th among the most likely scorelines (5.0%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.
Match analysis
Deportes Limache and Palestino met on Monday, October 12, 2026, a Chilean Primera División, matchday 24 fixture. Venue: Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, Limache. Before kick-off, our model gave Deportes Limache a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Palestino 26%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, Deportes Limache have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Palestino have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Deportes Limache score 1.60 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Palestino score 1.40 and concede 1.40. In the table, Deportes Limache sit 6th with 33 points from 23 games, Palestino 5th with 36 points from 23. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Deportes Limache, 1 for Palestino and 0 draws. The most recent ended Palestino 1-0 Deportes Limache (Apr 12, 2026). In double chance terms, "Deportes Limache or draw" stands at 74%, "Palestino or draw" at 51% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Our model backs Deportes Limache to edge Palestino (49% probability). On recent form, Deportes Limache have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Palestino have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 52%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Deportes Limache – Palestino. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Deportes Limache 1-1 Palestino | 12.1% |
| Deportes Limache 1-0 Palestino | 11.3% |
| Deportes Limache 2-1 Palestino | 9.4% |
| Deportes Limache 2-0 Palestino | 8.7% |
| Deportes Limache 0-1 Palestino | 7.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.55 expected goals for Deportes Limache and 1.07 for Palestino, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Deportes Limache keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, Palestino in 21%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Deportes Limache expected goals | 1.55 |
| Palestino expected goals | 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Deportes Limache clean sheet | 34% |
| Palestino clean sheet | 21% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Deportes Limache
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | Union La Calera · Chilean Primera División | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Cobresal · Chilean Primera División | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Nublense · Chilean Primera División | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Everton de Vina · Chilean Primera División | 0-3 | L |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Huachipato · Chilean Primera División | 3-1 | W |
Palestino
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Alianza Lima · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | U. Catolica · Chilean Primera División | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Universidad de Concepcion · Chilean Primera División | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Cobresal · Chilean Primera División | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 24, 2026 | O'Higgins · Chilean Primera División | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportes Limache | 6 | 33 | 23 |
| Palestino | 5 | 36 | 23 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Palestino 1-0 Deportes Limache | Chilean Primera División |
Out and doubtful
Deportes Limache
No absences reported.
Palestino
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Deportes Limache
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Aguirre5/5
- A. Parot5/5
- C. Gonzalez5/5
- J. Rojas5/5
- Jean David5/5
- M. Llanten5/5
- T. Galletto5/5
- D. Castro4/5
- D. Escobar3/5
- G. Sosa3/5
- H. Martinez3/5
Palestino
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Munder5/5
- D. Zuniga5/5
- R. Fernandez5/5
- S. A. Perez Kirby5/5
- S. Gallegos5/5
- B. Carrasco4/5
- D. Glaby4/5
- E. Roco4/5
- J. Abrigo4/5
- V. A. Espinoza Hevia4/5
- M. Eggel3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Cobresal 1-1 Universidad de ConcepcionOct 10, 2026
- Huachipato 2-0 O'HigginsOct 10, 2026
- U. Catolica – A. ItalianoOct 11, 2026
- Everton de Vina 3-2 D. La SerenaOct 11, 2026
- Coquimbo Unido 5-2 Colo ColoOct 11, 2026
- Concepción 1-1 Union La CaleraOct 11, 2026
- Universidad de Chile 6-0 NublenseOct 12, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Deportes Limache vs Palestino prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Deportes Limache a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Palestino 26%. Deportes Limache are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Deportes Limache vs Palestino?
1-1 (12.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (8.7%) and 0-1 (7.8%).
Will both teams score in Deportes Limache vs Palestino?
The probability that both Deportes Limache and Palestino score is 52%. Deportes Limache have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Palestino 21%.
How many goals should we expect in Deportes Limache vs Palestino?
The model expects 2.62 goals (1.55 for Deportes Limache, 1.07 for Palestino). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is Deportes Limache vs Palestino played?
Monday, October 12, 2026 at 00:00 (UK time), Chilean Primera División, matchday 24. Venue: Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, Limache.
What form are Deportes Limache and Palestino in?
Deportes Limache: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 5 conceded). Palestino: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Deportes Limache and Palestino?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Deportes Limache, 1 for Palestino and 0 draws. The most recent ended Palestino 1-0 Deportes Limache (Apr 12, 2026).
What was the Deportes Limache vs Palestino result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Deportes Limache 2-2 Palestino. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Deportes Limache (49%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The final score ranked 8th among the most likely scorelines (5.0%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.
How is the Deportes Limache vs Palestino prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.55 for Deportes Limache, 1.07 for Palestino) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Deportes Limache predictions
- All Palestino predictions
- Chilean Primera División predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology