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Chilean Primera DivisiónChilean Primera División· Kick-off : Monday, November 2, 2026, 21:00 (UK time)

Deportes Limache vs A. Italiano: 2-0 result and AI prediction review

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Deportes Limache 2-0 A. Italiano. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Deportes Limache was the model's favourite outcome (52%). The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (8.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (58%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (58%): missed.

Match analysis

Deportes Limache vs A. Italiano was played on Monday, November 2, 2026 (Chilean Primera División, matchday 26). Venue: Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, Limache. Before kick-off, our model gave Deportes Limache a 52% chance of winning, the draw 23% and A. Italiano 25%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (10.8%), ahead of 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.1%).

Over their last 5 matches, Deportes Limache have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 3. A. Italiano have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 3 and conceding 3. Recent momentum is clearly with Deportes Limache. On average Deportes Limache score 1.60 and concede 0.60 goals per game; A. Italiano score 0.60 and concede 0.60. In the table, Deportes Limache sit 6th with 37 points from 25 games, A. Italiano 13th with 30 points from 25. 7 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Deportes Limache have averaged 1.39 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.54 for A. Italiano.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Deportes Limache, 0 for A. Italiano and 1 draw. The most recent ended A. Italiano 2-2 Deportes Limache (Apr 25, 2026). In double chance terms, "Deportes Limache or draw" stands at 75%, "A. Italiano or draw" at 48% and "no draw" at 77%.

In short : Deportes Limache are favourites for this Deportes Limache v A. Italiano, with a 52% win probability from our model. On recent form, Deportes Limache have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while A. Italiano have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

52%
Deportes Limache (Win)
23%
Draw
25%
A. Italiano (Win)

Double chance

75%
Deportes Limache or draw
48%
A. Italiano or draw
77%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Deportes Limache – A. Italiano. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (10.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 44% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Deportes Limache 1-1 A. Italiano10.8%
Deportes Limache 2-1 A. Italiano9.7%
Deportes Limache 1-0 A. Italiano9.1%
Deportes Limache 2-0 A. Italiano8.1%
Deportes Limache 1-2 A. Italiano6.4%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.99 goals in total (1.80 for Deportes Limache, 1.19 for A. Italiano): over 2.5 goals has a 58% probability and both teams to score 58%. Deportes Limache keep a clean sheet in 30% of scenarios, A. Italiano in 17%.

Probability
Deportes Limache expected goals1.80
A. Italiano expected goals1.19
Both teams to score58%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Deportes Limache clean sheet30%
A. Italiano clean sheet17%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Deportes Limache

DateOpponentScore
Oct 25, 2026Universidad de Concepcion · Chilean Primera División1-0W
Oct 12, 2026Palestino · Chilean Primera División2-2D
Sep 15, 2026Union La Calera · Chilean Primera División0-1L
Sep 8, 2026Cobresal · Chilean Primera División3-0W
Sep 3, 2026Nublense · Chilean Primera División2-0W

A. Italiano

DateOpponentScore
Oct 28, 2026U. Catolica · Chilean Primera División1-1D
Oct 24, 2026Huachipato · Chilean Primera División1-1D
Sep 26, 2026Colo Colo · Copa Chile0-1L
Sep 23, 2026Colo Colo · Copa Chile0-0D
Sep 14, 2026O'Higgins · Chilean Primera División1-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Deportes Limache63725
A. Italiano133025

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026A. Italiano 2-2 Deportes LimacheChilean Primera División

Out and doubtful

Deportes Limache

No absences reported.

A. Italiano

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Deportes Limache

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Javier Rojas5/5
  • Alfonso Parot3/5
  • Augusto Aguirre3/5
  • Claudio González3/5
  • Daniel Castro3/5
  • Jean Meneses3/5
  • Misael Llantén3/5
  • Tiago Galletto3/5
  • A. Aguirre2/5
  • A. Parot2/5
  • C. Fuentes2/5

A. Italiano

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • M. Ortiz4/5
  • C. Pinares3/5
  • D. Coelho3/5
  • F. Salomoni3/5
  • M. Collao3/5
  • M. Fuentes3/5
  • R. Rebolledo3/5
  • T. Ahumada3/5
  • D. Monreal2/5
  • E. Ferrario2/5
  • F. Troyansky2/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Deportes Limache vs A. Italiano prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Deportes Limache a 52% chance of winning, the draw 23% and A. Italiano 25%. Deportes Limache are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Deportes Limache vs A. Italiano?

1-1 (10.8%), followed by 2-1 (9.7%), 1-0 (9.1%), 2-0 (8.1%) and 1-2 (6.4%).

Will both teams score in Deportes Limache vs A. Italiano?

The probability that both Deportes Limache and A. Italiano score is 58%. Deportes Limache have a 30% chance of keeping a clean sheet, A. Italiano 17%.

How many goals should we expect in Deportes Limache vs A. Italiano?

The model expects 2.99 goals (1.80 for Deportes Limache, 1.19 for A. Italiano). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 80%, over 2.5 goals 58%, over 3.5 goals 35%.

When and where is Deportes Limache vs A. Italiano played?

Monday, November 2, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time), Chilean Primera División, matchday 26. Venue: Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, Limache.

What form are Deportes Limache and A. Italiano in?

Deportes Limache: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 3 conceded). A. Italiano: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 3 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Deportes Limache and A. Italiano?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Deportes Limache, 0 for A. Italiano and 1 draw. The most recent ended A. Italiano 2-2 Deportes Limache (Apr 25, 2026).

What was the Deportes Limache vs A. Italiano result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Deportes Limache 2-0 A. Italiano. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Deportes Limache was the model's favourite outcome (52%). The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (8.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (58%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (58%): missed.

How is the Deportes Limache vs A. Italiano prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.80 for Deportes Limache, 1.19 for A. Italiano) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained