Chilean Primera División· Kick-off : Friday, October 30, 2026, 22:00 (UK time)
Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera: 1-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Coquimbo Unido 1-0 Union La Calera. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Coquimbo Unido was the model's favourite outcome (48%). The exact score 1-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (22.1%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (26%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (20%): correct.
Match analysis
Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera was played on Friday, October 30, 2026 (Chilean Primera División, matchday 26). Venue: Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso, Coquimbo. Before kick-off, our model gave Coquimbo Unido a 48% chance of winning, the draw 34% and Union La Calera 18%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (22.1%), ahead of 0-0 (21.4%) and 2-0 (11.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, Coquimbo Unido have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Union La Calera are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 6 and conceding 3. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Coquimbo Unido score 2.40 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Union La Calera score 1.20 and concede 0.60. In the table, Coquimbo Unido sit 9th with 32 points from 24 games, Union La Calera 16th with 21 points from 25. 7 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Coquimbo Unido have averaged 0.73 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.72 for Union La Calera.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Coquimbo Unido, 0 for Union La Calera and 0 draws. The most recent ended Union La Calera 1-2 Coquimbo Unido (Apr 24, 2026). In double chance terms, "Coquimbo Unido or draw" stands at 82%, "Union La Calera or draw" at 52% and "no draw" at 66%.
In short : Coquimbo Unido are tipped by our AI model in this Coquimbo Unido v Union La Calera (48%). On recent form, Coquimbo Unido have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Union La Calera have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Coquimbo Unido – Union La Calera. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (22.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 77% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Coquimbo Unido 1-0 Union La Calera | 22.1% |
| Coquimbo Unido 0-0 Union La Calera | 21.4% |
| Coquimbo Unido 2-0 Union La Calera | 11.4% |
| Coquimbo Unido 1-1 Union La Calera | 11.3% |
| Coquimbo Unido 0-1 Union La Calera | 10.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 1.54 goals in total (1.03 for Coquimbo Unido, 0.51 for Union La Calera): over 2.5 goals has a 20% probability and both teams to score 26%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Coquimbo Unido keep a clean sheet in 60% of scenarios, Union La Calera in 36%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Coquimbo Unido expected goals | 1.03 |
| Union La Calera expected goals | 0.51 |
| Both teams to score | 26% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 7% |
| Coquimbo Unido clean sheet | 60% |
| Union La Calera clean sheet | 36% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Coquimbo Unido
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Nublense · Chilean Primera División | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Colo Colo · Chilean Primera División | 5-2 | W |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Cobreloa · Copa Chile | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Cobreloa · Copa Chile | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cobresal · Chilean Primera División | 2-3 | L |
Union La Calera
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | U. Catolica · Chilean Primera División | 3-1 | W |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Concepción · Chilean Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | U. Catolica · Copa Chile | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 24, 2026 | U. Catolica · Copa Chile | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Deportes Limache · Chilean Primera División | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coquimbo Unido | 9 | 32 | 24 |
| Union La Calera | 16 | 21 | 25 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Union La Calera 1-2 Coquimbo Unido | Chilean Primera División |
Out and doubtful
Coquimbo Unido
No absences reported.
Union La Calera
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Coquimbo Unido
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Alejandro Camargo2/5
- Benjamín Chandía2/5
- Benjamín Gazzolo2/5
- D. Pereira2/5
- Diego Sánchez2/5
- Francisco Salinas2/5
- G. Alfaro2/5
- G. Flores2/5
- J. Arancibia2/5
- Juan Cornejo2/5
- L. Soza2/5
Union La Calera
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Moya4/5
- J. Salomoni4/5
- N. Avellaneda4/5
- B. Ferreyra3/5
- J. Cruz3/5
- M. Hiriart3/5
- C. Diaz2/5
- C. Díaz2/5
- C. Gutiérrez2/5
- D. Gutierrez2/5
- D. Gutiérrez2/5
Other matches in this competition
- U. Catolica 1-1 A. ItalianoOct 28, 2026
- Colo Colo 6-1 Universidad de ConcepcionOct 30, 2026
- O'Higgins 1-0 NublenseOct 31, 2026
- Huachipato 0-0 D. La SerenaNov 1, 2026
- U. Catolica 1-0 Universidad de ChileNov 1, 2026
- Cobresal 2-2 Everton de VinaNov 1, 2026
- Deportes Limache 2-0 A. ItalianoNov 2, 2026
- Concepción 1-0 PalestinoNov 2, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Coquimbo Unido a 48% chance of winning, the draw 34% and Union La Calera 18%. Coquimbo Unido are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera?
1-0 (22.1%), followed by 0-0 (21.4%), 2-0 (11.4%), 1-1 (11.3%) and 0-1 (10.9%).
Will both teams score in Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera?
The probability that both Coquimbo Unido and Union La Calera score is 26%. Coquimbo Unido have a 60% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Union La Calera 36%.
How many goals should we expect in Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera?
The model expects 1.54 goals (1.03 for Coquimbo Unido, 0.51 for Union La Calera). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 46%, over 2.5 goals 20%, over 3.5 goals 7%.
When and where is Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera played?
Friday, October 30, 2026 at 22:00 (UK time), Chilean Primera División, matchday 26. Venue: Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso, Coquimbo.
What form are Coquimbo Unido and Union La Calera in?
Coquimbo Unido: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 9 conceded). Union La Calera: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 3 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Coquimbo Unido and Union La Calera?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Coquimbo Unido, 0 for Union La Calera and 0 draws. The most recent ended Union La Calera 1-2 Coquimbo Unido (Apr 24, 2026).
What was the Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Coquimbo Unido 1-0 Union La Calera. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Coquimbo Unido was the model's favourite outcome (48%). The exact score 1-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (22.1%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (26%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (20%): correct.
How is the Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.03 for Coquimbo Unido, 0.51 for Union La Calera) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Coquimbo Unido predictions
- All Union La Calera predictions
- Chilean Primera División predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology