Chilean Primera División· Kick-off : Sunday, November 1, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
Huachipato vs D. La Serena: 0-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Huachipato 0-0 D. La Serena. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Huachipato (39%), while a draw was rated at only 27%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (8.7%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (50%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (44%): correct.
Match analysis
Huachipato and D. La Serena met on Sunday, November 1, 2026, a Chilean Primera División, matchday 26 fixture. Venue: Las Higueras, Talcahuano. Before kick-off, our model gave Huachipato a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and D. La Serena 33%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%) and 0-1 (10.1%).
Over their last 5 matches, Huachipato have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, D. La Serena have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Huachipato score 1.20 and concede 0.80 goals per game; D. La Serena score 1.60 and concede 1.60. In the table, Huachipato sit 11th with 32 points from 24 games, D. La Serena 9th with 33 points from 25. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Huachipato have averaged 1.03 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.98 for D. La Serena.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Huachipato, 0 for D. La Serena and 1 draw. The most recent ended D. La Serena 0-0 Huachipato (Apr 26, 2026). In double chance terms, "Huachipato or draw" stands at 67%, "D. La Serena or draw" at 61% and "no draw" at 73%.
In short : Huachipato host D. La Serena in a tight contest where a draw stays on the table (27%). On recent form, Huachipato have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 5 while D. La Serena have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Huachipato – D. La Serena. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Huachipato 1-1 D. La Serena | 12.9% |
| Huachipato 1-0 D. La Serena | 11.2% |
| Huachipato 0-1 D. La Serena | 10.1% |
| Huachipato 0-0 D. La Serena | 8.7% |
| Huachipato 2-1 D. La Serena | 8.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.28 expected goals for Huachipato and 1.16 for D. La Serena, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 44% and "both teams to score" at 50%. Huachipato keep a clean sheet in 31% of scenarios, D. La Serena in 28%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Huachipato expected goals | 1.28 |
| D. La Serena expected goals | 1.16 |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% |
| Huachipato clean sheet | 31% |
| D. La Serena clean sheet | 28% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Huachipato
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | A. Italiano · Chilean Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 10, 2026 | O'Higgins · Chilean Primera División | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Universidad de Concepcion · Chilean Primera División | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Colo Colo · Chilean Primera División | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportes Limache · Chilean Primera División | 1-3 | L |
D. La Serena
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Concepción · Chilean Primera División | 3-1 | W |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Everton de Vina · Chilean Primera División | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Universidad de Chile · Chilean Primera División | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Nublense · Chilean Primera División | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Union La Calera · Chilean Primera División | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Huachipato | 11 | 32 | 24 |
| D. La Serena | 9 | 33 | 25 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | D. La Serena 0-0 Huachipato | Chilean Primera División |
Out and doubtful
Huachipato
No absences reported.
D. La Serena
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Huachipato
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Toro3/5
- K. Altez3/5
- R. Caroca3/5
- S. Mella3/5
- Claudio Sepúlveda2/5
- H. Antiñirre2/5
- M. Briceño2/5
- M. León2/5
- M. Rodríguez2/5
- Maicol León2/5
- Mario Briceño2/5
D. La Serena
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Ángelo Henríquez3/5
- Felipe Chamorro3/5
- Fernando Dinamarca3/5
- Francis Mac Allister3/5
- Ian Rasso3/5
- Jeisson Vargas3/5
- José Tapia3/5
- Rafael Delgado3/5
- Bruno Gutiérrez2/5
- F. Mac Allister2/5
- G. Figueroa2/5
Other matches in this competition
- U. Catolica 1-1 A. ItalianoOct 28, 2026
- Colo Colo 6-1 Universidad de ConcepcionOct 30, 2026
- Coquimbo Unido 1-0 Union La CaleraOct 30, 2026
- O'Higgins 1-0 NublenseOct 31, 2026
- U. Catolica 1-0 Universidad de ChileNov 1, 2026
- Cobresal 2-2 Everton de VinaNov 1, 2026
- Deportes Limache 2-0 A. ItalianoNov 2, 2026
- Concepción 1-0 PalestinoNov 2, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Huachipato vs D. La Serena prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Huachipato a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and D. La Serena 33%. Huachipato are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 0-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Huachipato vs D. La Serena?
1-1 (12.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%), 0-1 (10.1%), 0-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (8.3%).
Will both teams score in Huachipato vs D. La Serena?
The probability that both Huachipato and D. La Serena score is 50%. Huachipato have a 31% chance of keeping a clean sheet, D. La Serena 28%.
How many goals should we expect in Huachipato vs D. La Serena?
The model expects 2.44 goals (1.28 for Huachipato, 1.16 for D. La Serena). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 70%, over 2.5 goals 44%, over 3.5 goals 23%.
When and where is Huachipato vs D. La Serena played?
Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Chilean Primera División, matchday 26. Venue: Las Higueras, Talcahuano.
What form are Huachipato and D. La Serena in?
Huachipato: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 4 conceded). D. La Serena: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Huachipato and D. La Serena?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Huachipato, 0 for D. La Serena and 1 draw. The most recent ended D. La Serena 0-0 Huachipato (Apr 26, 2026).
What was the Huachipato vs D. La Serena result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Huachipato 0-0 D. La Serena. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Huachipato (39%), while a draw was rated at only 27%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (8.7%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (50%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (44%): correct.
How is the Huachipato vs D. La Serena prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.28 for Huachipato, 1.16 for D. La Serena) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Huachipato predictions
- All D. La Serena predictions
- Chilean Primera División predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology