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Chilean Primera DivisiónChilean Primera División· Kick-off : Friday, October 30, 2026, 22:00 (UK time)

Colo Colo vs Universidad de Concepcion: 6-1 result and AI prediction review

Colo ColoColo Colo6 – 1Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 0-0

Final score: Colo Colo 6-1 Universidad de Concepcion. The outcome was missed: the model favoured a draw (37%), while victory for Colo Colo was rated at only 30%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.0%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (28%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (19%): missed.

Match analysis

Colo Colo vs Universidad de Concepcion was played on Friday, October 30, 2026 (Chilean Primera División, matchday 26). Venue: Monumental David Arellano, San Diego. Before kick-off, our model gave Colo Colo a 30% chance of winning, the draw 37% and Universidad de Concepcion 33%. The most likely correct score is 0-0 (22.1%), ahead of 0-1 (17.2%) and 1-0 (16.1%).

Over their last 5 matches, Colo Colo have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Universidad de Concepcion have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Colo Colo. On average Colo Colo score 1.00 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Universidad de Concepcion score 0.40 and concede 1.40. In the table, Colo Colo sit 1st with 55 points from 25 games, Universidad de Concepcion 15th with 23 points from 25. 14 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Colo Colo have averaged 0.39 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.46 for Universidad de Concepcion.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Colo Colo, 0 for Universidad de Concepcion and 0 draws. The most recent ended Universidad de Concepcion 1-2 Colo Colo (Apr 26, 2026). In double chance terms, "Colo Colo or draw" stands at 67%, "Universidad de Concepcion or draw" at 70% and "no draw" at 63%.

In short : Colo Colo and Universidad de Concepcion meet in a wide-open clash with no clear favourite (draw at 37%). On recent form, Colo Colo have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 5 while Universidad de Concepcion are struggling (4 losses in 5). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-0.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

30%
Colo Colo (Win)
37%
Draw
33%
Universidad de Concepcion (Win)

Double chance

67%
Colo Colo or draw
70%
Universidad de Concepcion or draw
63%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Colo Colo – Universidad de Concepcion. 0-0 is the single most likely scoreline (22.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 75% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Colo Colo 0-0 Universidad de Concepcion22.1%
Colo Colo 0-1 Universidad de Concepcion17.2%
Colo Colo 1-0 Universidad de Concepcion16.1%
Colo Colo 1-1 Universidad de Concepcion12.6%
Colo Colo 0-2 Universidad de Concepcion6.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 1.51 goals in total (0.73 for Colo Colo, 0.78 for Universidad de Concepcion): over 2.5 goals has a 19% probability and both teams to score 28%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Colo Colo keep a clean sheet in 46% of scenarios, Universidad de Concepcion in 48%.

Probability
Colo Colo expected goals0.73
Universidad de Concepcion expected goals0.78
Both teams to score28%
Over 1.5 goals45%
Over 2.5 goals19%
Over 3.5 goals7%
Colo Colo clean sheet46%
Universidad de Concepcion clean sheet48%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Colo Colo

DateOpponentScore
Oct 25, 2026Palestino · Chilean Primera División1-1D
Oct 11, 2026Coquimbo Unido · Chilean Primera División2-5L
Sep 29, 2026D. Puerto Montt · Copa Chile1-0W
Sep 26, 2026A. Italiano · Copa Chile1-0W
Sep 23, 2026A. Italiano · Copa Chile0-0D

Universidad de Concepcion

DateOpponentScore
Oct 25, 2026Deportes Limache · Chilean Primera División0-1L
Oct 10, 2026Cobresal · Chilean Primera División1-1D
Oct 3, 2026Huachipato · Chilean Primera División0-2L
Sep 6, 2026Palestino · Chilean Primera División1-2L
Sep 2, 2026Coquimbo Unido · Chilean Primera División0-1L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Colo Colo15525
Universidad de Concepcion152325

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 26, 2026Universidad de Concepcion 1-2 Colo ColoChilean Primera División

Out and doubtful

Colo Colo

No absences reported.

Universidad de Concepcion

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Colo Colo

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Vidal4/5
  • J. Correa4/5
  • J. Rojas4/5
  • A. Madrid3/5
  • E. Villanueva3/5
  • E. Wiemberg3/5
  • F. Marchant3/5
  • L. Pastran3/5
  • T. Alarcon3/5
  • C. Diaz2/5
  • Á. Madrid1/5

Universidad de Concepcion

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • B. Ogaz3/5
  • C. Waterman3/5
  • J. Broun3/5
  • M. Barbieri3/5
  • Antonio Díaz2/5
  • B. Saez2/5
  • Benjamín Sáez2/5
  • Bryan Ogaz2/5
  • Cecilio Waterman2/5
  • F. Mater2/5
  • H. Salgado2/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Colo Colo vs Universidad de Concepcion prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Colo Colo a 30% chance of winning, the draw 37% and Universidad de Concepcion 33%. A draw is therefore the most likely outcome. Final score: 6-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Colo Colo vs Universidad de Concepcion?

0-0 (22.1%), followed by 0-1 (17.2%), 1-0 (16.1%), 1-1 (12.6%) and 0-2 (6.7%).

Will both teams score in Colo Colo vs Universidad de Concepcion?

The probability that both Colo Colo and Universidad de Concepcion score is 28%. Colo Colo have a 46% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Universidad de Concepcion 48%.

How many goals should we expect in Colo Colo vs Universidad de Concepcion?

The model expects 1.51 goals (0.73 for Colo Colo, 0.78 for Universidad de Concepcion). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 45%, over 2.5 goals 19%, over 3.5 goals 7%.

When and where is Colo Colo vs Universidad de Concepcion played?

Friday, October 30, 2026 at 22:00 (UK time), Chilean Primera División, matchday 26. Venue: Monumental David Arellano, San Diego.

What form are Colo Colo and Universidad de Concepcion in?

Colo Colo: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 6 conceded). Universidad de Concepcion: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Colo Colo and Universidad de Concepcion?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Colo Colo, 0 for Universidad de Concepcion and 0 draws. The most recent ended Universidad de Concepcion 1-2 Colo Colo (Apr 26, 2026).

What was the Colo Colo vs Universidad de Concepcion result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Colo Colo 6-1 Universidad de Concepcion. The outcome was missed: the model favoured a draw (37%), while victory for Colo Colo was rated at only 30%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.0%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (28%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (19%): missed.

How is the Colo Colo vs Universidad de Concepcion prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.73 for Colo Colo, 0.78 for Universidad de Concepcion) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained