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Chilean Primera DivisiónChilean Primera División· Kick-off : Sunday, November 1, 2026, 15:30 (UK time)

U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile: 1-0 result and AI prediction review

U. CatolicaU. Catolica1 – 0Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-2

Final score: U. Catolica 1-0 Universidad de Chile. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Universidad de Chile (69%), while victory for U. Catolica was rated at only 15%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (71%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (80%): missed.

Match analysis

U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile was played on Sunday, November 1, 2026 (Chilean Primera División, matchday 26). Venue: San Carlos de Apoquindo, Santiago. Before kick-off, our model gave U. Catolica a 15% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Universidad de Chile 69%. The most likely correct score is 1-2 (8.0%), ahead of 1-3 (7.8%) and 0-2 (5.9%).

U. Catolica have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 6 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Universidad de Chile have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 4. Recent momentum is clearly with Universidad de Chile. On average U. Catolica score 1.20 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Universidad de Chile score 2.40 and concede 0.80. In the table, U. Catolica sit 3rd with 43 points from 25 games, Universidad de Chile 2nd with 48 points from 25. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, U. Catolica have averaged 1.34 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.97 for Universidad de Chile.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for U. Catolica, 1 for Universidad de Chile and 0 draws. The most recent ended Universidad de Chile 1-0 U. Catolica (Apr 25, 2026). In double chance terms, "U. Catolica or draw" stands at 31%, "Universidad de Chile or draw" at 85% and "no draw" at 84%.

In short : Universidad de Chile are favourites for this U. Catolica v Universidad de Chile, with a 69% win probability from our model. In the table, U. Catolica (3rd, 43 pts) host Universidad de Chile (2nd, 48 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-2.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

15%
U. Catolica (Win)
16%
Draw
69%
Universidad de Chile (Win)

Double chance

31%
U. Catolica or draw
85%
Universidad de Chile or draw
84%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as U. Catolica – Universidad de Chile. 1-2 is the single most likely scoreline (8.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 33% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
U. Catolica 1-2 Universidad de Chile8.0%
U. Catolica 1-3 Universidad de Chile7.8%
U. Catolica 0-2 Universidad de Chile5.9%
U. Catolica 0-3 Universidad de Chile5.7%
U. Catolica 1-4 Universidad de Chile5.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 4.28 goals in total (1.37 for U. Catolica, 2.91 for Universidad de Chile): over 2.5 goals has a 80% probability and both teams to score 71%. Everything points to an open game. U. Catolica keep a clean sheet in 5% of scenarios, Universidad de Chile in 25%.

Probability
U. Catolica expected goals1.37
Universidad de Chile expected goals2.91
Both teams to score71%
Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals80%
Over 3.5 goals62%
U. Catolica clean sheet5%
Universidad de Chile clean sheet25%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

U. Catolica

DateOpponentScore
Oct 28, 2026A. Italiano · Chilean Primera División1-1D
Oct 25, 2026Union La Calera · Chilean Primera División1-3L
Sep 27, 2026Union La Calera · Copa Chile0-0D
Sep 24, 2026Union La Calera · Copa Chile1-1D
Sep 13, 2026Palestino · Chilean Primera División3-2W

Universidad de Chile

DateOpponentScore
Oct 26, 2026Everton de Vina · Chilean Primera División4-1W
Oct 12, 2026Nublense · Chilean Primera División6-0W
Oct 7, 2026Antofagasta · Copa Chile0-2L
Sep 27, 2026Everton de Vina · Copa Chile1-1D
Sep 27, 2026Everton de Vina · Copa Chile1-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
U. Catolica34325
Universidad de Chile24825

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Universidad de Chile 1-0 U. CatolicaChilean Primera División

Out and doubtful

U. Catolica

No absences reported.

Universidad de Chile

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

U. Catolica

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • F. Zampedri4/5
  • F. Zuqui4/5
  • C. Cuevas3/5
  • D. Corral3/5
  • J. Valencia3/5
  • M. Palavecino3/5
  • S. Arancibia3/5
  • V. Bernedo3/5
  • A. Farias2/5
  • A. Garcia2/5
  • E. Mena2/5

Universidad de Chile

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • M. Zaldivia5/5
  • T. Reinhart5/5
  • Eduardo Vargas3/5
  • F. Hormazabal3/5
  • G. Castellon3/5
  • I. Lichnovsky3/5
  • J. Altamirano3/5
  • M. G. Guerrero Pena3/5
  • N. Ramirez3/5
  • A. Arce2/5
  • C. Aránguiz2/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave U. Catolica a 15% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Universidad de Chile 69%. Universidad de Chile are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.

What is the most likely correct score for U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile?

1-2 (8.0%), followed by 1-3 (7.8%), 0-2 (5.9%), 0-3 (5.7%) and 1-4 (5.7%).

Will both teams score in U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile?

The probability that both U. Catolica and Universidad de Chile score is 71%. U. Catolica have a 5% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Universidad de Chile 25%.

How many goals should we expect in U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile?

The model expects 4.28 goals (1.37 for U. Catolica, 2.91 for Universidad de Chile). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 93%, over 2.5 goals 80%, over 3.5 goals 62%.

When and where is U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile played?

Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 15:30 (UK time), Chilean Primera División, matchday 26. Venue: San Carlos de Apoquindo, Santiago.

What form are U. Catolica and Universidad de Chile in?

U. Catolica: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 7 conceded). Universidad de Chile: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 4 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between U. Catolica and Universidad de Chile?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for U. Catolica, 1 for Universidad de Chile and 0 draws. The most recent ended Universidad de Chile 1-0 U. Catolica (Apr 25, 2026).

What was the U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: U. Catolica 1-0 Universidad de Chile. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Universidad de Chile (69%), while victory for U. Catolica was rated at only 15%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (71%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (80%): missed.

How is the U. Catolica vs Universidad de Chile prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.37 for U. Catolica, 2.91 for Universidad de Chile) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained