Uruguayan Primera División· Kick-off : Sunday, November 1, 2026, 23:00 (UK time)
Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud: 2-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Liverpool Montevideo 2-0 Juventud. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Liverpool Montevideo was the model's favourite outcome (45%). The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (9.1%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (43%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (37%): correct.
Match analysis
Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud was played on Sunday, November 1, 2026 (Uruguayan Primera División). Venue: Estadio Belvedere, Montevideo. Before kick-off, our model gave Liverpool Montevideo a 45% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Juventud 27%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (14.4%), ahead of 1-1 (13.1%) and 0-0 (11.3%).
Liverpool Montevideo are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 7 and conceding 3. Over their last 5 matches, Juventud have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 5 and conceding 2. Recent momentum is clearly with Liverpool Montevideo. On average Liverpool Montevideo score 1.40 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Juventud score 1.00 and concede 0.40. In the table, Liverpool Montevideo sit 2nd with 27 points from 12 games, Juventud 8th with 18 points from 12. 6 places separate the two sides.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Liverpool Montevideo, 0 for Juventud and 1 draw. The most recent ended Juventud 1-1 Liverpool Montevideo (Apr 25, 2026). In double chance terms, "Liverpool Montevideo or draw" stands at 73%, "Juventud or draw" at 55% and "no draw" at 71%.
In short : Liverpool Montevideo are tipped by our AI model in this Liverpool Montevideo v Juventud (45%). In the table, Liverpool Montevideo (2nd, 27 pts) host Juventud (8th, 18 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Liverpool Montevideo – Juventud. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (14.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 58% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Liverpool Montevideo 1-0 Juventud | 14.4% |
| Liverpool Montevideo 1-1 Juventud | 13.1% |
| Liverpool Montevideo 0-0 Juventud | 11.3% |
| Liverpool Montevideo 0-1 Juventud | 10.3% |
| Liverpool Montevideo 2-0 Juventud | 9.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.18 goals in total (1.27 for Liverpool Montevideo, 0.91 for Juventud): over 2.5 goals has a 37% probability and both teams to score 43%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Liverpool Montevideo keep a clean sheet in 40% of scenarios, Juventud in 28%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Liverpool Montevideo expected goals | 1.27 |
| Juventud expected goals | 0.91 |
| Both teams to score | 43% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% |
| Liverpool Montevideo clean sheet | 40% |
| Juventud clean sheet | 28% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Liverpool Montevideo
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Club Nacional · Uruguayan Primera División | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Cerro Largo · Copa Uruguay | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Penarol · Uruguayan Primera División | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado · Uruguayan Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Progreso · Uruguayan Primera División | 3-2 | W |
Juventud
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Nacional Florida · Copa Uruguay | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Penarol · Uruguayan Primera División | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Progreso · Uruguayan Primera División | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Racing Montevideo · Uruguayan Primera División | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Plaza Colonia · Copa Uruguay | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool Montevideo | 2 | 27 | 12 |
| Juventud | 8 | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Juventud 1-1 Liverpool Montevideo | Uruguayan Primera División |
Out and doubtful
Liverpool Montevideo
No absences reported.
Juventud
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Liverpool Montevideo
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Cayetano4/4
- F. Martinez4/4
- K. Lewis4/4
- L. Acosta4/4
- M. Bernatene4/4
- R. Haller4/4
- S. Strasorier4/4
- E. Castillo3/4
- N. Garayalde3/4
- R. M. Degregorio3/4
- R. Bentancourt2/4
Juventud
Starts over the last 3 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Larregui3/3
- D. Morosini3/3
- F. Barrandeguy3/3
- K. Rolon3/3
- L. Roldan3/3
- P. Pernicone3/3
- R. Chagas3/3
- R. Peralta3/3
- A. Alaniz2/3
- M. Diaz2/3
- S. Sosa2/3
Other matches in this competition
- Racing Montevideo 3-1 Cerro LargoOct 31, 2026
- Cerro 1-2 Central EspanolOct 31, 2026
- Penarol 1-1 WanderersOct 31, 2026
- Progreso 0-2 Defensor SportingNov 1, 2026
- Boston River 1-2 Atletico TorqueNov 1, 2026
- Danubio 1-2 Club NacionalNov 1, 2026
- Albion FC 0-0 Deportivo MaldonadoNov 2, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Liverpool Montevideo a 45% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Juventud 27%. Liverpool Montevideo are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 2-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud?
1-0 (14.4%), followed by 1-1 (13.1%), 0-0 (11.3%), 0-1 (10.3%) and 2-0 (9.1%).
Will both teams score in Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud?
The probability that both Liverpool Montevideo and Juventud score is 43%. Liverpool Montevideo have a 40% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Juventud 28%.
How many goals should we expect in Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud?
The model expects 2.18 goals (1.27 for Liverpool Montevideo, 0.91 for Juventud). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 64%, over 2.5 goals 37%, over 3.5 goals 18%.
When and where is Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud played?
Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 23:00 (UK time), Uruguayan Primera División. Venue: Estadio Belvedere, Montevideo.
What form are Liverpool Montevideo and Juventud in?
Liverpool Montevideo: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 3 conceded). Juventud: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 2 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Liverpool Montevideo and Juventud?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Liverpool Montevideo, 0 for Juventud and 1 draw. The most recent ended Juventud 1-1 Liverpool Montevideo (Apr 25, 2026).
What was the Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Liverpool Montevideo 2-0 Juventud. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Liverpool Montevideo was the model's favourite outcome (45%). The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (9.1%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (43%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (37%): correct.
How is the Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.27 for Liverpool Montevideo, 0.91 for Juventud) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Liverpool Montevideo predictions
- All Juventud predictions
- Uruguayan Primera División predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology

