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Uruguayan Primera DivisiónUruguayan Primera División· Kick-off : Sunday, November 1, 2026, 23:00 (UK time)

Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud: 2-0 result and AI prediction review

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Liverpool Montevideo 2-0 Juventud. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Liverpool Montevideo was the model's favourite outcome (45%). The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (9.1%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (43%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (37%): correct.

Match analysis

Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud was played on Sunday, November 1, 2026 (Uruguayan Primera División). Venue: Estadio Belvedere, Montevideo. Before kick-off, our model gave Liverpool Montevideo a 45% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Juventud 27%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (14.4%), ahead of 1-1 (13.1%) and 0-0 (11.3%).

Liverpool Montevideo are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 7 and conceding 3. Over their last 5 matches, Juventud have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 5 and conceding 2. Recent momentum is clearly with Liverpool Montevideo. On average Liverpool Montevideo score 1.40 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Juventud score 1.00 and concede 0.40. In the table, Liverpool Montevideo sit 2nd with 27 points from 12 games, Juventud 8th with 18 points from 12. 6 places separate the two sides.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Liverpool Montevideo, 0 for Juventud and 1 draw. The most recent ended Juventud 1-1 Liverpool Montevideo (Apr 25, 2026). In double chance terms, "Liverpool Montevideo or draw" stands at 73%, "Juventud or draw" at 55% and "no draw" at 71%.

In short : Liverpool Montevideo are tipped by our AI model in this Liverpool Montevideo v Juventud (45%). In the table, Liverpool Montevideo (2nd, 27 pts) host Juventud (8th, 18 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

45%
Liverpool Montevideo (Win)
29%
Draw
27%
Juventud (Win)

Double chance

73%
Liverpool Montevideo or draw
55%
Juventud or draw
71%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Liverpool Montevideo – Juventud. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (14.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 58% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Liverpool Montevideo 1-0 Juventud14.4%
Liverpool Montevideo 1-1 Juventud13.1%
Liverpool Montevideo 0-0 Juventud11.3%
Liverpool Montevideo 0-1 Juventud10.3%
Liverpool Montevideo 2-0 Juventud9.1%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.18 goals in total (1.27 for Liverpool Montevideo, 0.91 for Juventud): over 2.5 goals has a 37% probability and both teams to score 43%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Liverpool Montevideo keep a clean sheet in 40% of scenarios, Juventud in 28%.

Probability
Liverpool Montevideo expected goals1.27
Juventud expected goals0.91
Both teams to score43%
Over 1.5 goals64%
Over 2.5 goals37%
Over 3.5 goals18%
Liverpool Montevideo clean sheet40%
Juventud clean sheet28%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Liverpool Montevideo

DateOpponentScore
Oct 25, 2026Club Nacional · Uruguayan Primera División1-0W
Oct 21, 2026Cerro Largo · Copa Uruguay1-0W
Oct 18, 2026Penarol · Uruguayan Primera División1-0W
Oct 10, 2026Deportivo Maldonado · Uruguayan Primera División1-1D
Oct 3, 2026Progreso · Uruguayan Primera División3-2W

Juventud

DateOpponentScore
Oct 28, 2026Nacional Florida · Copa Uruguay2-0W
Oct 24, 2026Penarol · Uruguayan Primera División0-0D
Oct 17, 2026Progreso · Uruguayan Primera División0-2L
Oct 11, 2026Racing Montevideo · Uruguayan Primera División2-0W
Oct 8, 2026Plaza Colonia · Copa Uruguay1-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Liverpool Montevideo22712
Juventud81812

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Juventud 1-1 Liverpool MontevideoUruguayan Primera División

Out and doubtful

Liverpool Montevideo

No absences reported.

Juventud

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Liverpool Montevideo

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Cayetano4/4
  • F. Martinez4/4
  • K. Lewis4/4
  • L. Acosta4/4
  • M. Bernatene4/4
  • R. Haller4/4
  • S. Strasorier4/4
  • E. Castillo3/4
  • N. Garayalde3/4
  • R. M. Degregorio3/4
  • R. Bentancourt2/4

Juventud

Starts over the last 3 matches (official line-ups).

  • B. Larregui3/3
  • D. Morosini3/3
  • F. Barrandeguy3/3
  • K. Rolon3/3
  • L. Roldan3/3
  • P. Pernicone3/3
  • R. Chagas3/3
  • R. Peralta3/3
  • A. Alaniz2/3
  • M. Diaz2/3
  • S. Sosa2/3

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Liverpool Montevideo a 45% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Juventud 27%. Liverpool Montevideo are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 2-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud?

1-0 (14.4%), followed by 1-1 (13.1%), 0-0 (11.3%), 0-1 (10.3%) and 2-0 (9.1%).

Will both teams score in Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud?

The probability that both Liverpool Montevideo and Juventud score is 43%. Liverpool Montevideo have a 40% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Juventud 28%.

How many goals should we expect in Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud?

The model expects 2.18 goals (1.27 for Liverpool Montevideo, 0.91 for Juventud). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 64%, over 2.5 goals 37%, over 3.5 goals 18%.

When and where is Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud played?

Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 23:00 (UK time), Uruguayan Primera División. Venue: Estadio Belvedere, Montevideo.

What form are Liverpool Montevideo and Juventud in?

Liverpool Montevideo: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 3 conceded). Juventud: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 2 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Liverpool Montevideo and Juventud?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Liverpool Montevideo, 0 for Juventud and 1 draw. The most recent ended Juventud 1-1 Liverpool Montevideo (Apr 25, 2026).

What was the Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Liverpool Montevideo 2-0 Juventud. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Liverpool Montevideo was the model's favourite outcome (45%). The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (9.1%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (43%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (37%): correct.

How is the Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.27 for Liverpool Montevideo, 0.91 for Juventud) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained