Süper Lig· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)
Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Süper Lig, matchday 7: Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK kicks off on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time). Venue: Alanya Oba Stadium, Alanya. Our model makes Alanyaspor clear favourites: a 71% chance of winning, against 21% for the draw and 8% for Erzurumspor FK. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (18.7%), followed by 2-0 (17.1%) and 3-0 (10.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, Alanyaspor have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Erzurumspor FK have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 11. Alanyaspor therefore arrive in far better shape than Erzurumspor FK. On average Alanyaspor score 1.20 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Erzurumspor FK score 0.40 and concede 2.20. In the table, Alanyaspor sit 5th with 11 points from 6 games, Erzurumspor FK 14th with 7 points from 6. 9 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Alanyaspor have averaged 1.25 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.66 for Erzurumspor FK.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Alanyaspor and Erzurumspor FK: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Alanyaspor out or doubtful: Maestro. In double chance terms, "Alanyaspor or draw" stands at 92%, "Erzurumspor FK or draw" at 29% and "no draw" at 79%.
In short : Alanyaspor are favourites for this Alanyaspor v Erzurumspor FK, with a 71% win probability from our model. In the table, Alanyaspor (5th, 11 pts) host Erzurumspor FK (14th, 7 pts). One to watch: Alanyaspor will be without Maestro.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Alanyaspor – Erzurumspor FK. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (18.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 65% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Alanyaspor 1-0 Erzurumspor FK | 18.7% |
| Alanyaspor 2-0 Erzurumspor FK | 17.1% |
| Alanyaspor 3-0 Erzurumspor FK | 10.4% |
| Alanyaspor 0-0 Erzurumspor FK | 10.2% |
| Alanyaspor 1-1 Erzurumspor FK | 8.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.83 expected goals for Alanyaspor and 0.45 for Erzurumspor FK, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 40% and "both teams to score" at 30%. Few goals are expected here. Alanyaspor keep a clean sheet in 64% of scenarios, Erzurumspor FK in 16%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Alanyaspor expected goals | 1.83 |
| Erzurumspor FK expected goals | 0.45 |
| Both teams to score | 30% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% |
| Alanyaspor clean sheet | 64% |
| Erzurumspor FK clean sheet | 16% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Alanyaspor
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Göztepe · Süper Lig | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Rizespor · Süper Lig | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Eyüpspor · Süper Lig | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Beşiktaş · Süper Lig | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gaziantep FK · Süper Lig | 1-1 | D |
Erzurumspor FK
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Beşiktaş · Süper Lig | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Konyaspor · Süper Lig | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. · Süper Lig | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Galatasaray · Süper Lig | 0-4 | L |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Amed · Süper Lig | 0-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor | 5 | 11 | 6 |
| Erzurumspor FK | 14 | 7 | 6 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Alanyaspor and Erzurumspor FK: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Alanyaspor
- Maestro (out)
Erzurumspor FK
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Alanyaspor
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- F. Aliti5/5
- F. Hadergjonaj5/5
- G. Makouta5/5
- N. Lima5/5
- Paulo Victor5/5
- Ruan5/5
- A. Usluoglu4/5
- B. Gezek4/5
- Hwang Ui-Jo3/5
- I. Kaya3/5
- U. Akdag3/5
Erzurumspor FK
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Gerxhaliu5/5
- B. Baiye5/5
- E. Tozlu5/5
- M. Rodriguez5/5
- N. Mujakic5/5
- O. Ovacikli5/5
- E. Owusu4/5
- M. Fettahoglu4/5
- E. Taskiran3/5
- G. Giorbelidze3/5
- M. Yumlu3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Galatasaray – KasımpaşaOct 9, 2026
- Gençlerbirliği S.K. – AmedOct 10, 2026
- Samsunspor – TrabzonsporOct 10, 2026
- Rizespor – FenerbahçeOct 10, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK prediction?
Our AI gives Alanyaspor a 71% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Erzurumspor FK 8%. Alanyaspor are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
1-0 (18.7%), followed by 2-0 (17.1%), 3-0 (10.4%), 0-0 (10.2%) and 1-1 (8.4%).
Will both teams score in Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
The probability that both Alanyaspor and Erzurumspor FK score is 30%. Alanyaspor have a 64% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Erzurumspor FK 16%.
How many goals should we expect in Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
The model expects 2.28 goals (1.83 for Alanyaspor, 0.45 for Erzurumspor FK). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 67%, over 2.5 goals 40%, over 3.5 goals 20%.
When and where is Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Süper Lig, matchday 7. Venue: Alanya Oba Stadium, Alanya.
What form are Alanyaspor and Erzurumspor FK in?
Alanyaspor: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 5 conceded). Erzurumspor FK: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 11 conceded).
How is the Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.83 for Alanyaspor, 0.45 for Erzurumspor FK) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Alanyaspor predictions
- All Erzurumspor FK predictions
- Süper Lig predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology