Süper Lig· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)
Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK: 0-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Alanyaspor 0-0 Erzurumspor FK. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Alanyaspor (68%), while a draw was rated at only 22%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (9.9%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (34%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (41%): correct.
Match analysis
Alanyaspor and Erzurumspor FK met on Saturday, October 10, 2026, a Süper Lig, matchday 7 fixture. Venue: Alanya Oba Stadium, Alanya. Before kick-off, our model gave Alanyaspor a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Erzurumspor FK 10%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (17.7%), followed by 2-0 (15.7%) and 0-0 (9.9%).
Over their last 5 matches, Alanyaspor have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Erzurumspor FK have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 3 and conceding 8. Alanyaspor therefore arrive in far better shape than Erzurumspor FK. On average Alanyaspor score 1.40 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Erzurumspor FK score 0.60 and concede 1.60. In the table, Alanyaspor sit 5th with 11 points from 6 games, Erzurumspor FK 14th with 7 points from 6. 9 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Alanyaspor have averaged 1.23 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.76 for Erzurumspor FK.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Alanyaspor and Erzurumspor FK: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Alanyaspor out or doubtful: Maestro. In double chance terms, "Alanyaspor or draw" stands at 90%, "Erzurumspor FK or draw" at 32% and "no draw" at 78%.
In short : Alanyaspor are favourites for this Alanyaspor v Erzurumspor FK, with a 68% win probability from our model. In the table, Alanyaspor (5th, 11 pts) host Erzurumspor FK (14th, 7 pts). One to watch: Alanyaspor will be without Maestro.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Alanyaspor – Erzurumspor FK. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (17.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 62% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Alanyaspor 1-0 Erzurumspor FK | 17.7% |
| Alanyaspor 2-0 Erzurumspor FK | 15.7% |
| Alanyaspor 0-0 Erzurumspor FK | 9.9% |
| Alanyaspor 1-1 Erzurumspor FK | 9.4% |
| Alanyaspor 3-0 Erzurumspor FK | 9.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.78 expected goals for Alanyaspor and 0.53 for Erzurumspor FK, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 41% and "both teams to score" at 34%. Few goals are expected here. Alanyaspor keep a clean sheet in 59% of scenarios, Erzurumspor FK in 17%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Alanyaspor expected goals | 1.78 |
| Erzurumspor FK expected goals | 0.53 |
| Both teams to score | 34% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% |
| Alanyaspor clean sheet | 59% |
| Erzurumspor FK clean sheet | 17% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Alanyaspor
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Çorum FK · Süper Lig | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Göztepe · Süper Lig | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Rizespor · Süper Lig | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Eyüpspor · Süper Lig | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Beşiktaş · Süper Lig | 1-0 | W |
Erzurumspor FK
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Samsunspor · Süper Lig | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Beşiktaş · Süper Lig | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Konyaspor · Süper Lig | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. · Süper Lig | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Galatasaray · Süper Lig | 0-4 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor | 5 | 11 | 6 |
| Erzurumspor FK | 14 | 7 | 6 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Alanyaspor and Erzurumspor FK: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Alanyaspor
- Maestro (out)
Erzurumspor FK
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Alanyaspor
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Gezek5/5
- F. Aliti5/5
- F. Hadergjonaj5/5
- G. Makouta5/5
- N. Lima5/5
- Paulo Victor5/5
- Ruan5/5
- A. Usluoglu3/5
- F. Aksoy3/5
- Hwang Ui-Jo3/5
- P. Fernandes3/5
Erzurumspor FK
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Gerxhaliu5/5
- B. Baiye5/5
- E. Owusu5/5
- E. Tozlu5/5
- M. Rodriguez5/5
- N. Mujakic5/5
- O. Ovacikli5/5
- E. Taskiran4/5
- G. Giorbelidze4/5
- M. Yumlu4/5
- M. Fettahoglu3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Galatasaray 3-1 KasımpaşaOct 9, 2026
- Gençlerbirliği S.K. 2-2 AmedOct 10, 2026
- Samsunspor 0-3 TrabzonsporOct 10, 2026
- Rizespor 0-3 FenerbahçeOct 10, 2026
- Konyaspor 0-0 BaşakşehirOct 11, 2026
- Gaziantep FK 0-3 Çorum FKOct 11, 2026
- Beşiktaş 2-1 KocaelisporOct 11, 2026
- Eyüpspor 0-4 GöztepeOct 12, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Alanyaspor a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Erzurumspor FK 10%. Alanyaspor are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
1-0 (17.7%), followed by 2-0 (15.7%), 0-0 (9.9%), 1-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (9.3%).
Will both teams score in Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
The probability that both Alanyaspor and Erzurumspor FK score is 34%. Alanyaspor have a 59% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Erzurumspor FK 17%.
How many goals should we expect in Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
The model expects 2.31 goals (1.78 for Alanyaspor, 0.53 for Erzurumspor FK). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 67%, over 2.5 goals 41%, over 3.5 goals 20%.
When and where is Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Süper Lig, matchday 7. Venue: Alanya Oba Stadium, Alanya.
What form are Alanyaspor and Erzurumspor FK in?
Alanyaspor: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 5 conceded). Erzurumspor FK: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 8 conceded).
What was the Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Alanyaspor 0-0 Erzurumspor FK. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Alanyaspor (68%), while a draw was rated at only 22%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (9.9%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (34%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (41%): correct.
How is the Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.78 for Alanyaspor, 0.53 for Erzurumspor FK) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Alanyaspor predictions
- All Erzurumspor FK predictions
- Süper Lig predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology