Süper Lig· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Süper Lig, matchday 7: Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor kicks off on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time). Venue: Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu, Samsun. With a 69% win probability, Trabzonspor go in as strong favourites against Samsunspor (14%), with the draw rated at 17%. The most likely correct score is 0-2 (9.8%), ahead of 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (8.0%).
Samsunspor have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 11. Over their last 5 matches, Trabzonspor have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 8. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Samsunspor score 1.20 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Trabzonspor score 1.60 and concede 1.60. In the table, Samsunspor sit 16th with 4 points from 6 games, Trabzonspor 7th with 10 points from 6. 9 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Samsunspor have averaged 1.31 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.81 for Trabzonspor.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Samsunspor, 1 for Trabzonspor and 1 draw. The most recent ended Samsunspor 0-3 Trabzonspor (Feb 7, 2026). Samsunspor out or doubtful: J. Assoumou, F. Kaya, O. Ohlenschlaeger, A. Sousa and E. Tavsan. Trabzonspor: A. Batagov, T. Jabol-Folcarelli, R. Malinovskyi and O. Yokuslu. In double chance terms, "Samsunspor or draw" stands at 31%, "Trabzonspor or draw" at 86% and "no draw" at 83%.
In short : Trabzonspor are favourites for this Samsunspor v Trabzonspor, with a 69% win probability from our model. In the table, Samsunspor (16th, 4 pts) host Trabzonspor (7th, 10 pts). One to watch: Samsunspor will be without J. Assoumou and F. Kaya.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Samsunspor – Trabzonspor. 0-2 is the single most likely scoreline (9.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 43% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Samsunspor 0-2 Trabzonspor | 9.8% |
| Samsunspor 1-2 Trabzonspor | 9.6% |
| Samsunspor 0-1 Trabzonspor | 8.0% |
| Samsunspor 0-3 Trabzonspor | 7.9% |
| Samsunspor 1-1 Trabzonspor | 7.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 3.41 goals in total (0.98 for Samsunspor, 2.43 for Trabzonspor): over 2.5 goals has a 66% probability and both teams to score 57%. Everything points to an open game. Samsunspor keep a clean sheet in 9% of scenarios, Trabzonspor in 38%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Samsunspor expected goals | 0.98 |
| Trabzonspor expected goals | 2.43 |
| Both teams to score | 57% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% |
| Samsunspor clean sheet | 9% |
| Trabzonspor clean sheet | 38% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Samsunspor
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Çorum FK · Süper Lig | 1-5 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Kocaelispor · Süper Lig | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rizespor · Süper Lig | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Göztepe · Süper Lig | 3-3 | D |
Trabzonspor
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Konyaspor · Süper Lig | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. · Süper Lig | 5-0 | W |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Amed · Süper Lig | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC · UEFA Europa League | 0-4 | L |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Başakşehir · Süper Lig | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor | 16 | 4 | 6 |
| Trabzonspor | 7 | 10 | 6 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Samsunspor 0-3 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Trabzonspor 1-1 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
Out and doubtful
Samsunspor
- J. Assoumou (out)
- F. Kaya (out)
- O. Ohlenschlaeger (out)
- A. Sousa (out)
- E. Tavsan (out)
Trabzonspor
- A. Batagov (out)
- T. Jabol-Folcarelli (out)
- R. Malinovskyi (out)
- O. Yokuslu (out)
Most regular starters
Samsunspor
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Yuksel5/5
- E. Kilinc5/5
- J. Mendes5/5
- L. Tomasson5/5
- O. Kocuk5/5
- S. Jarju5/5
- Y. Kayan5/5
- G. Guarino3/5
- T. Borevkovic3/5
- A. B. Diabbate2/5
- E. Watt2/5
Trabzonspor
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Onana5/5
- E. Muci5/5
- M. Eskihellac5/5
- M. Salah5/5
- P. Onuachu5/5
- S. Savic5/5
- C. Nwaiwu4/5
- A. Simsir3/5
- Fabinho3/5
- M. Kabasakal3/5
- S. Lopes Cabral3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Galatasaray – KasımpaşaOct 9, 2026
- Gençlerbirliği S.K. – AmedOct 10, 2026
- Alanyaspor – Erzurumspor FKOct 10, 2026
- Rizespor – FenerbahçeOct 10, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor prediction?
Our AI gives Samsunspor a 14% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Trabzonspor 69%. Trabzonspor are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
0-2 (9.8%), followed by 1-2 (9.6%), 0-1 (8.0%), 0-3 (7.9%) and 1-1 (7.9%).
Will both teams score in Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
The probability that both Samsunspor and Trabzonspor score is 57%. Samsunspor have a 9% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Trabzonspor 38%.
How many goals should we expect in Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
The model expects 3.41 goals (0.98 for Samsunspor, 2.43 for Trabzonspor). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 85%, over 2.5 goals 66%, over 3.5 goals 44%.
When and where is Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Süper Lig, matchday 7. Venue: Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu, Samsun.
What form are Samsunspor and Trabzonspor in?
Samsunspor: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 11 conceded). Trabzonspor: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Samsunspor and Trabzonspor?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Samsunspor, 1 for Trabzonspor and 1 draw. The most recent ended Samsunspor 0-3 Trabzonspor (Feb 7, 2026).
How is the Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.98 for Samsunspor, 2.43 for Trabzonspor) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Samsunspor predictions
- All Trabzonspor predictions
- Süper Lig predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology