Süper Lig· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor: 0-3 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Samsunspor 0-3 Trabzonspor. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Trabzonspor was the model's favourite outcome (49%). The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (4.6%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (50%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (47%): missed.
Match analysis
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor was played on Saturday, October 10, 2026 (Süper Lig, matchday 7). Venue: Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu, Samsun. Before kick-off, our model gave Samsunspor a 26% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Trabzonspor 49%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.2%), ahead of 0-1 (11.9%) and 1-2 (9.3%).
Samsunspor have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Trabzonspor have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 4. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Samsunspor score 0.60 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Trabzonspor score 2.00 and concede 0.80. In the table, Samsunspor sit 16th with 4 points from 6 games, Trabzonspor 7th with 10 points from 6. 9 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Samsunspor have averaged 0.82 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.79 for Trabzonspor.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Samsunspor, 1 for Trabzonspor and 3 draws. The most recent ended Samsunspor 0-0 Trabzonspor (Apr 23, 2026). Samsunspor out or doubtful: J. Assoumou. Trabzonspor: A. Batagov, R. Malinovskyi and O. Yokuslu. In double chance terms, "Samsunspor or draw" stands at 52%, "Trabzonspor or draw" at 74% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Trabzonspor are favourites for this Samsunspor v Trabzonspor, with a 49% win probability from our model. In the table, Samsunspor (16th, 4 pts) host Trabzonspor (7th, 10 pts). One to watch: Trabzonspor will be without A. Batagov and R. Malinovskyi.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Samsunspor – Trabzonspor. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Samsunspor 1-1 Trabzonspor | 12.2% |
| Samsunspor 0-1 Trabzonspor | 11.9% |
| Samsunspor 1-2 Trabzonspor | 9.3% |
| Samsunspor 0-2 Trabzonspor | 9.0% |
| Samsunspor 1-0 Trabzonspor | 8.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.55 goals in total (1.03 for Samsunspor, 1.52 for Trabzonspor): over 2.5 goals has a 47% probability and both teams to score 50%. Samsunspor keep a clean sheet in 22% of scenarios, Trabzonspor in 36%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Samsunspor expected goals | 1.03 |
| Trabzonspor expected goals | 1.52 |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% |
| Samsunspor clean sheet | 22% |
| Trabzonspor clean sheet | 36% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Samsunspor
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Erzurumspor FK · Süper Lig | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Çorum FK · Süper Lig | 1-5 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Kocaelispor · Süper Lig | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rizespor · Süper Lig | 2-0 | W |
Trabzonspor
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Drogheda United · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Galatasaray · Süper Lig | 4-0 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Konyaspor · Süper Lig | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. · Süper Lig | 5-0 | W |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Amed · Süper Lig | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor | 16 | 4 | 6 |
| Trabzonspor | 7 | 10 | 6 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | Samsunspor 0-0 Trabzonspor | Türkiye Kupası |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Samsunspor 0-3 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Trabzonspor 1-1 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
| May 25, 2025 | Trabzonspor 2-2 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Samsunspor 2-1 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
Out and doubtful
Samsunspor
- J. Assoumou (out)
Trabzonspor
- A. Batagov (out)
- R. Malinovskyi (out)
- O. Yokuslu (out)
Most regular starters
Samsunspor
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Yuksel5/5
- E. Kilinc5/5
- J. Mendes5/5
- L. Tomasson5/5
- O. Kocuk5/5
- S. Jarju5/5
- G. Guarino4/5
- Y. Kayan4/5
- E. Watt3/5
- S. Onur3/5
- F. Kaya2/5
Trabzonspor
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Fabinho5/5
- A. Onana4/5
- C. Nwaiwu4/5
- E. Muci4/5
- M. Eskihellac4/5
- M. Salah4/5
- P. Onuachu4/5
- S. Savic4/5
- O. Tufan3/5
- W. Pina3/5
- A. Simsir2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Galatasaray 3-1 KasımpaşaOct 9, 2026
- Gençlerbirliği S.K. 2-2 AmedOct 10, 2026
- Alanyaspor 0-0 Erzurumspor FKOct 10, 2026
- Rizespor 0-3 FenerbahçeOct 10, 2026
- Konyaspor 0-0 BaşakşehirOct 11, 2026
- Gaziantep FK 0-3 Çorum FKOct 11, 2026
- Beşiktaş 2-1 KocaelisporOct 11, 2026
- Eyüpspor 0-4 GöztepeOct 12, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Samsunspor a 26% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Trabzonspor 49%. Trabzonspor are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-3.
What is the most likely correct score for Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
1-1 (12.2%), followed by 0-1 (11.9%), 1-2 (9.3%), 0-2 (9.0%) and 1-0 (8.0%).
Will both teams score in Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
The probability that both Samsunspor and Trabzonspor score is 50%. Samsunspor have a 22% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Trabzonspor 36%.
How many goals should we expect in Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
The model expects 2.55 goals (1.03 for Samsunspor, 1.52 for Trabzonspor). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 72%, over 2.5 goals 47%, over 3.5 goals 25%.
When and where is Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Süper Lig, matchday 7. Venue: Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu, Samsun.
What form are Samsunspor and Trabzonspor in?
Samsunspor: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 9 conceded). Trabzonspor: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 4 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Samsunspor and Trabzonspor?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Samsunspor, 1 for Trabzonspor and 3 draws. The most recent ended Samsunspor 0-0 Trabzonspor (Apr 23, 2026).
What was the Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Samsunspor 0-3 Trabzonspor. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Trabzonspor was the model's favourite outcome (49%). The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (4.6%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (50%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (47%): missed.
How is the Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.03 for Samsunspor, 1.52 for Trabzonspor) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Samsunspor predictions
- All Trabzonspor predictions
- Süper Lig predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology