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Süper LigSüper Lig· Kick-off : Sunday, October 11, 2026, 11:30 (UK time)

Konyaspor vs Başakşehir prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Konyaspor take on Başakşehir on Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 11:30 (UK time), a Süper Lig, matchday 7 fixture. Venue: Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium, Konya. Başakşehir start as favourites with a 49% chance of victory; Konyaspor are given 27% and the draw 24%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.0%), followed by 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-1 (8.9%).

Konyaspor have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 7. Başakşehir have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 8 and conceding 11. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Konyaspor score 0.80 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Başakşehir score 1.60 and concede 2.20. In the table, Konyaspor sit 15th with 4 points from 6 games, Başakşehir 12th with 7 points from 6. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Konyaspor have averaged 1.36 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.57 for Başakşehir.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Konyaspor, 1 for Başakşehir and 0 draws. The most recent ended Başakşehir 2-0 Konyaspor (Feb 27, 2026). Konyaspor out or doubtful: M. Ibrahimoglu and E. Destan (doubtful). Başakşehir: E. Visca (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Konyaspor or draw" stands at 51%, "Başakşehir or draw" at 73% and "no draw" at 76%.

In short : Başakşehir are tipped by our AI model in this Konyaspor v Başakşehir (49%). On recent form, Konyaspor have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Başakşehir have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

27%
Konyaspor (Win)
24%
Draw
49%
Başakşehir (Win)

Double chance

51%
Konyaspor or draw
73%
Başakşehir or draw
76%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Konyaspor – Başakşehir. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 44% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Konyaspor 1-1 Başakşehir11.0%
Konyaspor 1-2 Başakşehir9.5%
Konyaspor 0-1 Başakşehir8.9%
Konyaspor 0-2 Başakşehir7.7%
Konyaspor 2-1 Başakşehir6.8%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.24 expected goals for Konyaspor and 1.73 for Başakşehir, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 57% and "both teams to score" at 59%. Konyaspor keep a clean sheet in 18% of scenarios, Başakşehir in 29%.

Probability
Konyaspor expected goals1.24
Başakşehir expected goals1.73
Both teams to score59%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Konyaspor clean sheet18%
Başakşehir clean sheet29%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Konyaspor

DateOpponentScore
Sep 18, 2026Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig0-0D
Sep 12, 2026Trabzonspor · Süper Lig1-0W
Sep 5, 2026Erzurumspor FK · Süper Lig0-1L
Aug 29, 2026Kocaelispor · Süper Lig1-2L
Aug 22, 2026Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig2-4L

Başakşehir

DateOpponentScore
Sep 19, 2026Gençlerbirliği S.K. · Süper Lig4-0W
Sep 13, 2026Amed · Süper Lig0-5L
Sep 4, 2026Galatasaray · Süper Lig2-3L
Aug 30, 2026Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig1-1D
Aug 23, 2026Trabzonspor · Süper Lig1-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Konyaspor1546
Başakşehir1276

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Başakşehir 2-0 KonyasporSüper Lig
Sep 28, 2025Konyaspor 2-1 BaşakşehirSüper Lig

Out and doubtful

Konyaspor

  • M. Ibrahimoglu (out)
  • E. Destan (doubtful)

Başakşehir

  • E. Visca (doubtful)

Most regular starters

Konyaspor

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Demirbag5/5
  • D. Goncalves5/5
  • J. Muleka5/5
  • M. Ibrahimoglu5/5
  • D. Turuc4/5
  • M. Jevtovic4/5
  • U. Yazgili4/5
  • A. Masuaku3/5
  • B. Gungordu3/5
  • E. Colley3/5
  • R. Baniya3/5

Başakşehir

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Fayzullaev4/5
  • A. Skov Olsen4/5
  • C. Operi4/5
  • E. Bayram4/5
  • E. Shomurodov4/5
  • J. Opoku4/5
  • O. Kemen4/5
  • O. Sahiner4/5
  • J. Kaluzinski3/5
  • U. Gunes3/5
  • D. Dilmen2/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Konyaspor vs Başakşehir prediction?

Our AI gives Konyaspor a 27% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Başakşehir 49%. Başakşehir are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Konyaspor vs Başakşehir?

1-1 (11.0%), followed by 1-2 (9.5%), 0-1 (8.9%), 0-2 (7.7%) and 2-1 (6.8%).

Will both teams score in Konyaspor vs Başakşehir?

The probability that both Konyaspor and Başakşehir score is 59%. Konyaspor have a 18% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Başakşehir 29%.

How many goals should we expect in Konyaspor vs Başakşehir?

The model expects 2.97 goals (1.24 for Konyaspor, 1.73 for Başakşehir). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 80%, over 2.5 goals 57%, over 3.5 goals 35%.

When and where is Konyaspor vs Başakşehir played?

Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 11:30 (UK time), Süper Lig, matchday 7. Venue: Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium, Konya.

What form are Konyaspor and Başakşehir in?

Konyaspor: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 7 conceded). Başakşehir: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 11 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Konyaspor and Başakşehir?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Konyaspor, 1 for Başakşehir and 0 draws. The most recent ended Başakşehir 2-0 Konyaspor (Feb 27, 2026).

How is the Konyaspor vs Başakşehir prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.24 for Konyaspor, 1.73 for Başakşehir) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained