Süper Lig· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Süper Lig, matchday 7: Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe kicks off on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time). The edge goes to Rizespor (55%), ahead of the draw (23%) and a Fenerbahçe win (22%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.0%), ahead of 1-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.8%).
Over their last 5 matches, Rizespor have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Fenerbahçe have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 4. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Rizespor score 1.00 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Fenerbahçe score 1.20 and concede 0.80. In the table, Rizespor sit 9th with 10 points from 6 games, Fenerbahçe 6th with 10 points from 6. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Rizespor have averaged 1.57 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.16 for Fenerbahçe.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Rizespor, 1 for Fenerbahçe and 1 draw. The most recent ended Fenerbahçe 2-2 Rizespor (Apr 17, 2026). Rizespor out or doubtful: K. Alikulov and V. Mihaila (suspended). Fenerbahçe: M. Muldur and J. Oosterwolde. In double chance terms, "Rizespor or draw" stands at 78%, "Fenerbahçe or draw" at 45% and "no draw" at 77%.
In short : Our model backs Rizespor to edge Fenerbahçe (55% probability). On recent form, Rizespor have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Fenerbahçe have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 54%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Rizespor – Fenerbahçe. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 47% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Rizespor 1-1 Fenerbahçe | 11.0% |
| Rizespor 1-0 Fenerbahçe | 10.7% |
| Rizespor 2-1 Fenerbahçe | 9.8% |
| Rizespor 2-0 Fenerbahçe | 9.5% |
| Rizespor 0-1 Fenerbahçe | 6.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.81 goals in total (1.78 for Rizespor, 1.03 for Fenerbahçe): over 2.5 goals has a 53% probability and both teams to score 54%. Rizespor keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Fenerbahçe in 17%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Rizespor expected goals | 1.78 |
| Fenerbahçe expected goals | 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | 54% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% |
| Rizespor clean sheet | 36% |
| Fenerbahçe clean sheet | 17% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Rizespor
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Eyüpspor · Süper Lig | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Alanyaspor · Süper Lig | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Gaziantep FK · Süper Lig | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Samsunspor · Süper Lig | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Konyaspor · Süper Lig | 1-0 | W |
Fenerbahçe
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | Gaziantep FK · Süper Lig | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 10, 2026 | AS Roma · UEFA Champions League | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Beşiktaş · Süper Lig | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Samsunspor · Süper Lig | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Lyon · UEFA Champions League | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rizespor | 9 | 10 | 6 |
| Fenerbahçe | 6 | 10 | 6 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Fenerbahçe 2-2 Rizespor | Süper Lig |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Rizespor 2-5 Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig |
Out and doubtful
Rizespor
- K. Alikulov (out)
- V. Mihaila (suspended)
Fenerbahçe
- M. Muldur (out)
- J. Oosterwolde (out)
Most regular starters
Rizespor
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Mocsi5/5
- A. Sowe5/5
- M. Pala5/5
- M. Sagnan5/5
- Q. Laci5/5
- T. Antalyali5/5
- Y. Fofana5/5
- A. Kutucu4/5
- I. Olawoyin4/5
- Z. Ariss4/5
- A. Mebude2/5
Fenerbahçe
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Brown4/4
- Ederson4/4
- M. Greenwood4/4
- V. Muriqi4/4
- M. Guendouzi3/4
- M. Skriniar3/4
- N. Ake3/4
- N. Kante3/4
- N. Semedo3/4
- O. Aydin3/4
- I. Kahveci2/4
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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- Gençlerbirliği S.K. – AmedOct 10, 2026
- Alanyaspor – Erzurumspor FKOct 10, 2026
- Samsunspor – TrabzonsporOct 10, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe prediction?
Our AI gives Rizespor a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fenerbahçe 22%. Rizespor are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe?
1-1 (11.0%), followed by 1-0 (10.7%), 2-1 (9.8%), 2-0 (9.5%) and 0-1 (6.2%).
Will both teams score in Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe?
The probability that both Rizespor and Fenerbahçe score is 54%. Rizespor have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Fenerbahçe 17%.
How many goals should we expect in Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe?
The model expects 2.81 goals (1.78 for Rizespor, 1.03 for Fenerbahçe). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 77%, over 2.5 goals 53%, over 3.5 goals 31%.
When and where is Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), Süper Lig, matchday 7.
What form are Rizespor and Fenerbahçe in?
Rizespor: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 4 conceded). Fenerbahçe: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 4 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Rizespor and Fenerbahçe?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Rizespor, 1 for Fenerbahçe and 1 draw. The most recent ended Fenerbahçe 2-2 Rizespor (Apr 17, 2026).
How is the Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.78 for Rizespor, 1.03 for Fenerbahçe) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Rizespor predictions
- All Fenerbahçe predictions
- Süper Lig predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology