Süper Lig· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe: 0-3 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Rizespor 0-3 Fenerbahçe. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Fenerbahçe was the model's favourite outcome (51%). The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (4.1%), behind 1-2. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (68%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (69%): correct.
Match analysis
Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe was played on Saturday, October 10, 2026 (Süper Lig, matchday 7). Venue: Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, Rize. Before kick-off, our model gave Rizespor a 28% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fenerbahçe 51%. The most likely correct score is 1-2 (9.0%), ahead of 1-1 (8.7%) and 2-2 (6.8%).
Over their last 5 matches, Rizespor have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Fenerbahçe have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 3. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Rizespor score 1.80 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Fenerbahçe score 2.40 and concede 0.60. In the table, Rizespor sit 8th with 10 points from 6 games, Fenerbahçe 6th with 10 points from 6. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Rizespor have averaged 1.32 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.36 for Fenerbahçe.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Rizespor, 4 for Fenerbahçe and 1 draw. The most recent ended Fenerbahçe 2-2 Rizespor (Apr 17, 2026). Rizespor out or doubtful: K. Alikulov. Fenerbahçe: M. Muldur and J. Oosterwolde. In double chance terms, "Rizespor or draw" stands at 49%, "Fenerbahçe or draw" at 72% and "no draw" at 79%.
In short : Our model backs Fenerbahçe to edge Rizespor (51% probability). On recent form, Rizespor have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while Fenerbahçe have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 5. The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 69%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Rizespor – Fenerbahçe. 1-2 is the single most likely scoreline (9.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 37% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Rizespor 1-2 Fenerbahçe | 9.0% |
| Rizespor 1-1 Fenerbahçe | 8.7% |
| Rizespor 2-2 Fenerbahçe | 6.8% |
| Rizespor 2-1 Fenerbahçe | 6.6% |
| Rizespor 1-3 Fenerbahçe | 6.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 3.58 goals in total (1.51 for Rizespor, 2.07 for Fenerbahçe): over 2.5 goals has a 69% probability and both teams to score 68%. Everything points to an open game. Rizespor keep a clean sheet in 13% of scenarios, Fenerbahçe in 22%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Rizespor expected goals | 1.51 |
| Fenerbahçe expected goals | 2.07 |
| Both teams to score | 68% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48% |
| Rizespor clean sheet | 13% |
| Fenerbahçe clean sheet | 22% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Rizespor
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Boluspor · Club Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Göztepe · Süper Lig | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Eyüpspor · Süper Lig | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Alanyaspor · Süper Lig | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Gaziantep FK · Süper Lig | 2-1 | W |
Fenerbahçe
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Turan · Club Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Eyüpspor · Süper Lig | 8-0 | W |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Gaziantep FK · Süper Lig | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 10, 2026 | AS Roma · UEFA Champions League | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Beşiktaş · Süper Lig | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rizespor | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| Fenerbahçe | 6 | 10 | 6 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Fenerbahçe 2-2 Rizespor | Süper Lig |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Rizespor 2-5 Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Fenerbahçe 3-2 Rizespor | Süper Lig |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Rizespor 0-5 Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Rizespor 1-3 Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig |
Out and doubtful
Rizespor
- K. Alikulov (out)
Fenerbahçe
- M. Muldur (out)
- J. Oosterwolde (out)
Most regular starters
Rizespor
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Mocsi4/4
- A. Sowe4/4
- I. Olawoyin4/4
- M. Pala4/4
- M. Sagnan4/4
- Q. Laci4/4
- T. Antalyali4/4
- Y. Fofana4/4
- E. Bulut3/4
- A. Kutucu2/4
- T. Sahin2/4
Fenerbahçe
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Brown5/5
- M. Greenwood5/5
- Ederson4/5
- M. Guendouzi4/5
- N. Kante4/5
- M. Skriniar3/5
- N. Ake3/5
- N. Semedo3/5
- V. Muriqi3/5
- I. Kahveci2/5
- K. Akturkoglu2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Galatasaray 3-1 KasımpaşaOct 9, 2026
- Gençlerbirliği S.K. 2-2 AmedOct 10, 2026
- Alanyaspor 0-0 Erzurumspor FKOct 10, 2026
- Samsunspor 0-3 TrabzonsporOct 10, 2026
- Konyaspor 0-0 BaşakşehirOct 11, 2026
- Gaziantep FK 0-3 Çorum FKOct 11, 2026
- Beşiktaş 2-1 KocaelisporOct 11, 2026
- Eyüpspor 0-4 GöztepeOct 12, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Rizespor a 28% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fenerbahçe 51%. Fenerbahçe are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-3.
What is the most likely correct score for Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe?
1-2 (9.0%), followed by 1-1 (8.7%), 2-2 (6.8%), 2-1 (6.6%) and 1-3 (6.2%).
Will both teams score in Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe?
The probability that both Rizespor and Fenerbahçe score is 68%. Rizespor have a 13% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Fenerbahçe 22%.
How many goals should we expect in Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe?
The model expects 3.58 goals (1.51 for Rizespor, 2.07 for Fenerbahçe). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 87%, over 2.5 goals 69%, over 3.5 goals 48%.
When and where is Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), Süper Lig, matchday 7. Venue: Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, Rize.
What form are Rizespor and Fenerbahçe in?
Rizespor: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 4 conceded). Fenerbahçe: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 3 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Rizespor and Fenerbahçe?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Rizespor, 4 for Fenerbahçe and 1 draw. The most recent ended Fenerbahçe 2-2 Rizespor (Apr 17, 2026).
What was the Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Rizespor 0-3 Fenerbahçe. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Fenerbahçe was the model's favourite outcome (51%). The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (4.1%), behind 1-2. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (68%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (69%): correct.
How is the Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.51 for Rizespor, 2.07 for Fenerbahçe) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Rizespor predictions
- All Fenerbahçe predictions
- Süper Lig predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology