Bundesliga· Kick-off : Saturday, November 7, 2026, 14:30 (UK time)
Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg: 2-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 SV Elversberg. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Borussia Dortmund at 73%. The exact score 2-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (8.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (62%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (75%): correct.
Match analysis
Borussia Dortmund and SV Elversberg met on Saturday, November 7, 2026, a Bundesliga, matchday 9 fixture. Venue: Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund. Before kick-off, our model gave Borussia Dortmund a 73% chance of winning, the draw 15% and SV Elversberg 12%. On the correct score, 2-1 comes out on top (8.7%), followed by 3-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (8.1%).
Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 10 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, SV Elversberg have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Borussia Dortmund therefore arrive in far better shape than SV Elversberg. On average Borussia Dortmund score 2.00 and concede 1.20 goals per game; SV Elversberg score 1.60 and concede 2.20. In the table, Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd with 18 points from 8 games, SV Elversberg 7th with 13 points from 8. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Borussia Dortmund have averaged 2.00 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.51 for SV Elversberg.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Borussia Dortmund and SV Elversberg: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Borussia Dortmund out or doubtful: E. Can, G. Konstantelias and J. Lerma. In double chance terms, "Borussia Dortmund or draw" stands at 88%, "SV Elversberg or draw" at 27% and "no draw" at 85%.
In short : Borussia Dortmund are favourites for this Borussia Dortmund v SV Elversberg, with a 73% win probability from our model. On recent form, Borussia Dortmund are in good shape (4 wins in 5) while SV Elversberg have 2 wins, 0 draw and 3 losses in 5. One to watch: Borussia Dortmund will be without E. Can and G. Konstantelias.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Borussia Dortmund – SV Elversberg. 2-1 is the single most likely scoreline (8.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 39% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund 2-1 SV Elversberg | 8.7% |
| Borussia Dortmund 3-1 SV Elversberg | 8.2% |
| Borussia Dortmund 2-0 SV Elversberg | 8.1% |
| Borussia Dortmund 3-0 SV Elversberg | 7.6% |
| Borussia Dortmund 1-1 SV Elversberg | 6.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.82 expected goals for Borussia Dortmund and 1.07 for SV Elversberg, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 75% and "both teams to score" at 62%. Goals look likely in this one. Borussia Dortmund keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, SV Elversberg in 6%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund expected goals | 2.82 |
| SV Elversberg expected goals | 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | 62% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 55% |
| Borussia Dortmund clean sheet | 34% |
| SV Elversberg clean sheet | 6% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Borussia Dortmund
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Real Betis · UEFA Champions League | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bayern München · Bundesliga | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Werder Bremen · DFB-Pokal | 3-2 | W |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Sabah FA · UEFA Champions League | 2-1 | W |
SV Elversberg
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga | 4-1 | W |
| Oct 27, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98 · DFB-Pokal | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 24, 2026 | RB Leipzig · Bundesliga | 0-4 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | FC Augsburg · Bundesliga | 4-3 | W |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Union Berlin · Bundesliga | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 18 | 8 |
| SV Elversberg | 7 | 13 | 8 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Borussia Dortmund and SV Elversberg: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Borussia Dortmund
- E. Can (out)
- G. Konstantelias (out)
- J. Lerma (out)
SV Elversberg
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Borussia Dortmund
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- F. Nmecha5/5
- G. Kobel5/5
- J. Veerman5/5
- N. Schlotterbeck5/5
- S. Guirassy5/5
- W. Anton5/5
- D. Svensson4/5
- J. Ryerson4/5
- C. Chukwuemeka3/5
- Fábio Silva3/5
- J. Bellingham3/5
SV Elversberg
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- L. Petkov4/5
- L. Pinckert4/5
- N. Kristof4/5
- F. Keidel3/5
- L. Sirch3/5
- M. Rohr3/5
- L. Gunther2/5
- L. Günther2/5
- L. Poreba2/5
- Ł. Poręba2/5
- M. Krattenmacher2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Hamburger SV 3-1 Borussia MönchengladbachNov 6, 2026
- FSV Mainz 05 1-2 Bayern MünchenNov 7, 2026
- RB Leipzig 5-2 FC AugsburgNov 7, 2026
- SC Paderborn 07 2-2 Eintracht FrankfurtNov 7, 2026
- VfB Stuttgart 1-0 Werder BremenNov 7, 2026
- 1. FC Köln 1-2 Bayer LeverkusenNov 8, 2026
- SC Freiburg 2-0 Union BerlinNov 8, 2026
- 1899 Hoffenheim 2-1 FC Schalke 04Nov 8, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Borussia Dortmund a 73% chance of winning, the draw 15% and SV Elversberg 12%. Borussia Dortmund are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg?
2-1 (8.7%), followed by 3-1 (8.2%), 2-0 (8.1%), 3-0 (7.6%) and 1-1 (6.2%).
Will both teams score in Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg?
The probability that both Borussia Dortmund and SV Elversberg score is 62%. Borussia Dortmund have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, SV Elversberg 6%.
How many goals should we expect in Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg?
The model expects 3.89 goals (2.82 for Borussia Dortmund, 1.07 for SV Elversberg). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 90%, over 2.5 goals 75%, over 3.5 goals 55%.
When and where is Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg played?
Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 14:30 (UK time), Bundesliga, matchday 9. Venue: Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund.
What form are Borussia Dortmund and SV Elversberg in?
Borussia Dortmund: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 6 conceded). SV Elversberg: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 11 conceded).
What was the Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 SV Elversberg. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Borussia Dortmund at 73%. The exact score 2-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (8.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (62%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (75%): correct.
How is the Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.82 for Borussia Dortmund, 1.07 for SV Elversberg) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Borussia Dortmund predictions
- All SV Elversberg predictions
- Bundesliga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology