Bundesliga· Kick-off : Saturday, November 7, 2026, 17:30 (UK time)
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: 1-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: VfB Stuttgart 1-0 Werder Bremen. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Werder Bremen (45%), while victory for VfB Stuttgart was rated at only 35%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (77%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (80%): missed.
Match analysis
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen was played on Saturday, November 7, 2026 (Bundesliga, matchday 9). Venue: MHP Arena, Stuttgart. Before kick-off, our model gave VfB Stuttgart a 35% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Werder Bremen 45%. The most likely correct score is 1-2 (7.3%), ahead of 2-2 (7.2%) and 1-1 (6.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, VfB Stuttgart have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Werder Bremen have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 11 and conceding 9. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average VfB Stuttgart score 1.60 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Werder Bremen score 2.20 and concede 1.80. In the table, VfB Stuttgart sit 12th with 9 points from 8 games, Werder Bremen 5th with 15 points from 8. 7 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, VfB Stuttgart have averaged 2.31 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.94 for Werder Bremen.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for VfB Stuttgart, 2 for Werder Bremen and 2 draws. The most recent ended VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Werder Bremen (Apr 26, 2026). VfB Stuttgart out or doubtful: J. Diehl, S. Drljaca, L. Sauer, L. Stergiou, A. Stiller, J. Vagnoman and D. Zagadou. In double chance terms, "VfB Stuttgart or draw" stands at 55%, "Werder Bremen or draw" at 65% and "no draw" at 80%.
In short : Our model backs Werder Bremen to edge VfB Stuttgart (45% probability). On recent form, VfB Stuttgart have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Werder Bremen have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 5. The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 80%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as VfB Stuttgart – Werder Bremen. 1-2 is the single most likely scoreline (7.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 33% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart 1-2 Werder Bremen | 7.3% |
| VfB Stuttgart 2-2 Werder Bremen | 7.2% |
| VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Werder Bremen | 6.4% |
| VfB Stuttgart 2-1 Werder Bremen | 6.4% |
| VfB Stuttgart 1-3 Werder Bremen | 5.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 4.24 goals in total (1.98 for VfB Stuttgart, 2.26 for Werder Bremen): over 2.5 goals has a 80% probability and both teams to score 77%. Everything points to an open game. VfB Stuttgart keep a clean sheet in 10% of scenarios, Werder Bremen in 14%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart expected goals | 1.98 |
| Werder Bremen expected goals | 2.26 |
| Both teams to score | 77% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 93% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 61% |
| VfB Stuttgart clean sheet | 10% |
| Werder Bremen clean sheet | 14% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
VfB Stuttgart
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Galatasaray · UEFA Champions League | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen · Bundesliga | 4-2 | W |
| Oct 28, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07 · DFB-Pokal | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Bundesliga | 2-3 | L |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Atletico Madrid · UEFA Champions League | 1-1 | D |
Werder Bremen
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund · DFB-Pokal | 2-3 | L |
| Oct 24, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga | 3-2 | W |
| Oct 17, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07 · Bundesliga | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga | 2-2 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | 12 | 9 | 8 |
| Werder Bremen | 5 | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Werder Bremen 0-4 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| Apr 13, 2025 | VfB Stuttgart 1-2 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Werder Bremen 2-2 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Werder Bremen 2-1 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
Out and doubtful
VfB Stuttgart
- J. Diehl (out)
- S. Drljaca (out)
- L. Sauer (out)
- L. Stergiou (out)
- A. Stiller (out)
- J. Vagnoman (out)
- D. Zagadou (out)
Werder Bremen
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
VfB Stuttgart
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- R. Hendriks5/5
- B. El Khannouss4/5
- C. Führich4/5
- D. Undav4/5
- E. Demirović4/5
- G. Prömel4/5
- J. Chabot4/5
- J. Leweling4/5
- M. Mittelstädt4/5
- A. Karazor3/5
- A. Stiller3/5
Werder Bremen
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Pieper5/5
- Arthur5/5
- K. Hein5/5
- M. Friedl5/5
- Y. Regeer5/5
- L. Reis4/5
- O. Deman4/5
- Chuky San José3/5
- M. Grüll3/5
- Chuki2/5
- E. Dinkci2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Hamburger SV 3-1 Borussia MönchengladbachNov 6, 2026
- FSV Mainz 05 1-2 Bayern MünchenNov 7, 2026
- Borussia Dortmund 2-1 SV ElversbergNov 7, 2026
- RB Leipzig 5-2 FC AugsburgNov 7, 2026
- SC Paderborn 07 2-2 Eintracht FrankfurtNov 7, 2026
- 1. FC Köln 1-2 Bayer LeverkusenNov 8, 2026
- SC Freiburg 2-0 Union BerlinNov 8, 2026
- 1899 Hoffenheim 2-1 FC Schalke 04Nov 8, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave VfB Stuttgart a 35% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Werder Bremen 45%. Werder Bremen are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-0.
What is the most likely correct score for VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
1-2 (7.3%), followed by 2-2 (7.2%), 1-1 (6.4%), 2-1 (6.4%) and 1-3 (5.5%).
Will both teams score in VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
The probability that both VfB Stuttgart and Werder Bremen score is 77%. VfB Stuttgart have a 10% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Werder Bremen 14%.
How many goals should we expect in VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
The model expects 4.24 goals (1.98 for VfB Stuttgart, 2.26 for Werder Bremen). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 93%, over 2.5 goals 80%, over 3.5 goals 61%.
When and where is VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen played?
Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), Bundesliga, matchday 9. Venue: MHP Arena, Stuttgart.
What form are VfB Stuttgart and Werder Bremen in?
VfB Stuttgart: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 8 conceded). Werder Bremen: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 9 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between VfB Stuttgart and Werder Bremen?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for VfB Stuttgart, 2 for Werder Bremen and 2 draws. The most recent ended VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Werder Bremen (Apr 26, 2026).
What was the VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: VfB Stuttgart 1-0 Werder Bremen. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Werder Bremen (45%), while victory for VfB Stuttgart was rated at only 35%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (77%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (80%): missed.
How is the VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.98 for VfB Stuttgart, 2.26 for Werder Bremen) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All VfB Stuttgart predictions
- All Werder Bremen predictions
- Bundesliga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology