Bundesliga· Kick-off : Sunday, November 8, 2026, 16:30 (UK time)
SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin: 2-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: SC Freiburg 2-0 Union Berlin. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for SC Freiburg was the model's favourite outcome (73%). The exact score 2-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (14.8%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (40%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): missed.
Match analysis
SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin was played on Sunday, November 8, 2026 (Bundesliga, matchday 9). Venue: Europa-Park-Stadion, Freiburg. Before kick-off, our model gave SC Freiburg a 73% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Union Berlin 9%. The most likely correct score is 2-0 (14.8%), ahead of 1-0 (14.2%) and 3-0 (10.3%).
Over their last 5 matches, SC Freiburg have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Union Berlin have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 3 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with SC Freiburg. On average SC Freiburg score 1.40 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Union Berlin score 0.60 and concede 1.40. In the table, SC Freiburg sit 4th with 16 points from 8 games, Union Berlin 16th with 7 points from 8. 12 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, SC Freiburg have averaged 1.20 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.04 for Union Berlin.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for SC Freiburg, 3 for Union Berlin and 2 draws. The most recent ended SC Freiburg 0-1 Union Berlin (Mar 15, 2026). In double chance terms, "SC Freiburg or draw" stands at 91%, "Union Berlin or draw" at 27% and "no draw" at 82%.
In short : SC Freiburg are favourites for this SC Freiburg v Union Berlin, with a 73% win probability from our model. In the table, SC Freiburg (4th, 16 pts) host Union Berlin (16th, 7 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as SC Freiburg – Union Berlin. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (14.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 57% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| SC Freiburg 2-0 Union Berlin | 14.8% |
| SC Freiburg 1-0 Union Berlin | 14.2% |
| SC Freiburg 3-0 Union Berlin | 10.3% |
| SC Freiburg 2-1 Union Berlin | 8.9% |
| SC Freiburg 1-1 Union Berlin | 8.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.69 goals in total (2.09 for SC Freiburg, 0.60 for Union Berlin): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 40%. SC Freiburg keep a clean sheet in 55% of scenarios, Union Berlin in 12%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| SC Freiburg expected goals | 2.09 |
| Union Berlin expected goals | 0.60 |
| Both teams to score | 40% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| SC Freiburg clean sheet | 55% |
| Union Berlin clean sheet | 12% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
SC Freiburg
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Trabzonspor · UEFA Conference League | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 31, 2026 | FC Augsburg · Bundesliga | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 28, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg · DFB-Pokal | 3-2 | W |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Bayern München · Bundesliga | 1-3 | L |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Monaco · UEFA Conference League | 0-3 | L |
Union Berlin
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 27, 2026 | 1. FC Köln · DFB-Pokal | 0-5 | L |
| Oct 24, 2026 | FC Augsburg · Bundesliga | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 10, 2026 | SV Elversberg · Bundesliga | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg | 4 | 16 | 8 |
| Union Berlin | 16 | 7 | 8 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | SC Freiburg 0-1 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Union Berlin 0-0 SC Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| Mar 30, 2025 | SC Freiburg 1-2 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Union Berlin 0-0 SC Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| May 18, 2024 | Union Berlin 2-1 SC Freiburg | Bundesliga |
Out and doubtful
SC Freiburg
No absences reported.
Union Berlin
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
SC Freiburg
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- M. Eggestein4/5
- M. Ginter4/5
- Y. Engelhardt4/5
- J. Makengo3/5
- M. Backhaus3/5
- V. Grifo3/5
- Y. Suzuki3/5
- I. Matanovic2/5
- J. Beste2/5
- L. Kubler2/5
- M. Rosenfelder2/5
Union Berlin
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Haberer5/5
- M. Aebischer5/5
- R. Khedira5/5
- T. Skarke5/5
- Z. Van Den Bosch5/5
- Jeong Woo-Yeong4/5
- T. Rothe4/5
- A. Schäfer3/5
- F. Uduokhai3/5
- K. Imeri3/5
- A. Schafer2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Hamburger SV 3-1 Borussia MönchengladbachNov 6, 2026
- FSV Mainz 05 1-2 Bayern MünchenNov 7, 2026
- Borussia Dortmund 2-1 SV ElversbergNov 7, 2026
- RB Leipzig 5-2 FC AugsburgNov 7, 2026
- SC Paderborn 07 2-2 Eintracht FrankfurtNov 7, 2026
- VfB Stuttgart 1-0 Werder BremenNov 7, 2026
- 1. FC Köln 1-2 Bayer LeverkusenNov 8, 2026
- 1899 Hoffenheim 2-1 FC Schalke 04Nov 8, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave SC Freiburg a 73% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Union Berlin 9%. SC Freiburg are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-0.
What is the most likely correct score for SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
2-0 (14.8%), followed by 1-0 (14.2%), 3-0 (10.3%), 2-1 (8.9%) and 1-1 (8.5%).
Will both teams score in SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
The probability that both SC Freiburg and Union Berlin score is 40%. SC Freiburg have a 55% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Union Berlin 12%.
How many goals should we expect in SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
The model expects 2.69 goals (2.09 for SC Freiburg, 0.60 for Union Berlin). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin played?
Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 16:30 (UK time), Bundesliga, matchday 9. Venue: Europa-Park-Stadion, Freiburg.
What form are SC Freiburg and Union Berlin in?
SC Freiburg: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 9 conceded). Union Berlin: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between SC Freiburg and Union Berlin?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for SC Freiburg, 3 for Union Berlin and 2 draws. The most recent ended SC Freiburg 0-1 Union Berlin (Mar 15, 2026).
What was the SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: SC Freiburg 2-0 Union Berlin. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for SC Freiburg was the model's favourite outcome (73%). The exact score 2-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (14.8%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (40%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): missed.
How is the SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.09 for SC Freiburg, 0.60 for Union Berlin) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All SC Freiburg predictions
- All Union Berlin predictions
- Bundesliga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology