Bundesliga· Kick-off : Friday, November 6, 2026, 19:30 (UK time)
Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: 3-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Hamburger SV 3-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Hamburger SV at 41%. The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (3.6%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (48%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (43%): missed.
Match analysis
Hamburger SV and Borussia Mönchengladbach met on Friday, November 6, 2026, a Bundesliga, matchday 9 fixture. Venue: Volksparkstadion, Hamburger. Before kick-off, our model gave Hamburger SV a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Borussia Mönchengladbach 32%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (13.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.8%) and 0-1 (10.2%).
Over their last 5 matches, Hamburger SV have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Borussia Mönchengladbach have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Hamburger SV score 1.20 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Borussia Mönchengladbach score 1.40 and concede 1.20. In the table, Hamburger SV sit 15th with 9 points from 8 games, Borussia Mönchengladbach 18th with 4 points from 8. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Hamburger SV have averaged 1.49 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.23 for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Hamburger SV, 1 for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 2 draws. The most recent ended Hamburger SV 0-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach (Jan 17, 2026). Hamburger SV out or doubtful: B. Nadir, N. Remberg, F. Vieira, M. Vuskovic, N. Capaldo (doubtful) and Y. Poulsen (doubtful). Borussia Mönchengladbach: H. Bolin, N. Kuhn, E. Leopold, J. Leszczynski, K. Diks (doubtful), F. Fleck (doubtful), F. Honorat (doubtful) and T. Kleindienst (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Hamburger SV or draw" stands at 68%, "Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw" at 59% and "no draw" at 72%.
In short : Our model backs Hamburger SV to edge Borussia Mönchengladbach (41% probability). On recent form, Hamburger SV have 2 wins, 0 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Borussia Mönchengladbach have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 48%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Hamburger SV – Borussia Mönchengladbach. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 53% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Hamburger SV 1-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 13.0% |
| Hamburger SV 1-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 11.8% |
| Hamburger SV 0-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 10.2% |
| Hamburger SV 0-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9.3% |
| Hamburger SV 2-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.28 expected goals for Hamburger SV and 1.10 for Borussia Mönchengladbach, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 43% and "both teams to score" at 48%. Hamburger SV keep a clean sheet in 33% of scenarios, Borussia Mönchengladbach in 28%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Hamburger SV expected goals | 1.28 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach expected goals | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | 48% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% |
| Hamburger SV clean sheet | 33% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach clean sheet | 28% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Hamburger SV
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga | 1-3 | L |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt · DFB-Pokal | 1-3 | L |
| Oct 24, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07 · Bundesliga | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 10, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga | 3-2 | W |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07 · Bundesliga | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Karlsruher SC · DFB-Pokal | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 23, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga | 3-2 | W |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 11, 2026 | 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV | 15 | 9 | 8 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 18 | 4 | 8 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Hamburger SV 0-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0 Hamburger SV | Bundesliga |
| May 12, 2018 | Hamburger SV 2-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Dec 15, 2017 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-1 Hamburger SV | Bundesliga |
| Mar 12, 2017 | Hamburger SV 2-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
Out and doubtful
Hamburger SV
- B. Nadir (out)
- N. Remberg (out)
- F. Vieira (out)
- M. Vuskovic (out)
- N. Capaldo (doubtful)
- Y. Poulsen (doubtful)
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- H. Bolin (out)
- N. Kuhn (out)
- E. Leopold (out)
- J. Leszczynski (out)
- K. Diks (doubtful)
- F. Fleck (doubtful)
- F. Honorat (doubtful)
- T. Kleindienst (doubtful)
Most regular starters
Hamburger SV
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- M. Adeline5/5
- W. Omari5/5
- M. Muheim4/5
- S. Bornauw4/5
- D. Møller Wolfe3/5
- L. Lemke3/5
- S. Nandja3/5
- Y. Poulsen3/5
- A. Grønbæk2/5
- A. Sambi Lokonga2/5
- B. Nadir2/5
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Scally5/5
- P. Sander5/5
- F. Neuhaus4/5
- H. Bolin4/5
- L. Ullrich4/5
- Z. Uno4/5
- D. Hashioka3/5
- F. Chiarodia3/5
- M. Nicolas3/5
- R. Hack3/5
- S. Machino3/5
Other matches in this competition
- FSV Mainz 05 1-2 Bayern MünchenNov 7, 2026
- Borussia Dortmund 2-1 SV ElversbergNov 7, 2026
- RB Leipzig 5-2 FC AugsburgNov 7, 2026
- SC Paderborn 07 2-2 Eintracht FrankfurtNov 7, 2026
- VfB Stuttgart 1-0 Werder BremenNov 7, 2026
- 1. FC Köln 1-2 Bayer LeverkusenNov 8, 2026
- SC Freiburg 2-0 Union BerlinNov 8, 2026
- 1899 Hoffenheim 2-1 FC Schalke 04Nov 8, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Hamburger SV a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Borussia Mönchengladbach 32%. Hamburger SV are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 3-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
1-1 (13.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.8%), 0-1 (10.2%), 0-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.3%).
Will both teams score in Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The probability that both Hamburger SV and Borussia Mönchengladbach score is 48%. Hamburger SV have a 33% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Borussia Mönchengladbach 28%.
How many goals should we expect in Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The model expects 2.38 goals (1.28 for Hamburger SV, 1.10 for Borussia Mönchengladbach). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 69%, over 2.5 goals 43%, over 3.5 goals 22%.
When and where is Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach played?
Friday, November 6, 2026 at 19:30 (UK time), Bundesliga, matchday 9. Venue: Volksparkstadion, Hamburger.
What form are Hamburger SV and Borussia Mönchengladbach in?
Hamburger SV: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 9 conceded). Borussia Mönchengladbach: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Hamburger SV and Borussia Mönchengladbach?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Hamburger SV, 1 for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 2 draws. The most recent ended Hamburger SV 0-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach (Jan 17, 2026).
What was the Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Hamburger SV 3-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Hamburger SV at 41%. The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (3.6%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (48%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (43%): missed.
How is the Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.28 for Hamburger SV, 1.10 for Borussia Mönchengladbach) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Hamburger SV predictions
- All Borussia Mönchengladbach predictions
- Bundesliga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology