Bundesliga· Kick-off : Saturday, November 7, 2026, 14:30 (UK time)
RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg: 5-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: RB Leipzig 5-2 FC Augsburg. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for RB Leipzig at 68%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.4%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (62%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (71%): correct.
Match analysis
RB Leipzig and FC Augsburg met on Saturday, November 7, 2026, a Bundesliga, matchday 9 fixture. Venue: Leipzig Red Bull Arena, Leipzig. Before kick-off, our model gave RB Leipzig a 68% chance of winning, the draw 17% and FC Augsburg 15%. On the correct score, 2-1 comes out on top (9.3%), followed by 2-0 (8.2%) and 3-1 (7.9%).
Over their last 5 matches, RB Leipzig have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 11 and conceding 8. FC Augsburg have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 11 and conceding 11. RB Leipzig therefore arrive in far better shape than FC Augsburg. On average RB Leipzig score 2.20 and concede 1.60 goals per game; FC Augsburg score 2.20 and concede 2.20. In the table, RB Leipzig sit 4th with 15 points from 8 games, FC Augsburg 11th with 9 points from 8. 7 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, RB Leipzig have averaged 2.18 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.25 for FC Augsburg.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for RB Leipzig, 0 for FC Augsburg and 2 draws. The most recent ended RB Leipzig 2-1 FC Augsburg (Mar 7, 2026). RB Leipzig out or doubtful: M. Finkgrafe, M. Guiu, A. Ouedraogo and L. Zingerle. In double chance terms, "RB Leipzig or draw" stands at 85%, "FC Augsburg or draw" at 32% and "no draw" at 83%.
In short : Our model backs RB Leipzig to edge FC Augsburg (68% probability). On recent form, RB Leipzig have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5 while FC Augsburg have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5. The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 71%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as RB Leipzig – FC Augsburg. 2-1 is the single most likely scoreline (9.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 40% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| RB Leipzig 2-1 FC Augsburg | 9.3% |
| RB Leipzig 2-0 FC Augsburg | 8.2% |
| RB Leipzig 3-1 FC Augsburg | 7.9% |
| RB Leipzig 1-1 FC Augsburg | 7.3% |
| RB Leipzig 3-0 FC Augsburg | 7.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.55 expected goals for RB Leipzig and 1.13 for FC Augsburg, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 71% and "both teams to score" at 62%. Goals look likely in this one. RB Leipzig keep a clean sheet in 32% of scenarios, FC Augsburg in 8%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| RB Leipzig expected goals | 2.55 |
| FC Augsburg expected goals | 1.13 |
| Both teams to score | 62% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50% |
| RB Leipzig clean sheet | 32% |
| FC Augsburg clean sheet | 8% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
RB Leipzig
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Manchester City · UEFA Champions League | 2-3 | L |
| Oct 31, 2026 | FC Schalke 04 · Bundesliga | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen · DFB-Pokal | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 24, 2026 | SV Elversberg · Bundesliga | 4-0 | W |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Real Madrid · UEFA Champions League | 1-4 | L |
FC Augsburg
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | SC Freiburg · Bundesliga | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 27, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach · DFB-Pokal | 4-2 | W |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Union Berlin · Bundesliga | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 17, 2026 | SV Elversberg · Bundesliga | 3-4 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bayern München · Bundesliga | 2-2 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 4 | 15 | 8 |
| FC Augsburg | 11 | 9 | 8 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | RB Leipzig 2-1 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | FC Augsburg 0-6 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| Feb 14, 2025 | FC Augsburg 0-0 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| Sep 28, 2024 | RB Leipzig 4-0 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| Feb 10, 2024 | FC Augsburg 2-2 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
Out and doubtful
RB Leipzig
- M. Finkgrafe (out)
- M. Guiu (out)
- A. Ouedraogo (out)
- L. Zingerle (out)
FC Augsburg
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
RB Leipzig
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Lukeba4/5
- D. Raum4/5
- Rômulo4/5
- W. Orbán4/5
- A. Nusa3/5
- B. Gruda3/5
- E. Banzuzi3/5
- M. Vandevoordt3/5
- N. El Aynaoui3/5
- R. Baku3/5
- N. Seiwald2/5
FC Augsburg
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Matsima4/5
- F. Dahmen4/5
- F. Rieder4/5
- H. Massengo4/5
- Hennes Behrens4/5
- R. Fellhauer3/5
- A. Ibrahimović2/5
- A. Kade2/5
- Abdulay Bah2/5
- C. Brackelmann2/5
- M. Gregoritsch2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Hamburger SV 3-1 Borussia MönchengladbachNov 6, 2026
- FSV Mainz 05 1-2 Bayern MünchenNov 7, 2026
- Borussia Dortmund 2-1 SV ElversbergNov 7, 2026
- SC Paderborn 07 2-2 Eintracht FrankfurtNov 7, 2026
- VfB Stuttgart 1-0 Werder BremenNov 7, 2026
- 1. FC Köln 1-2 Bayer LeverkusenNov 8, 2026
- SC Freiburg 2-0 Union BerlinNov 8, 2026
- 1899 Hoffenheim 2-1 FC Schalke 04Nov 8, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave RB Leipzig a 68% chance of winning, the draw 17% and FC Augsburg 15%. RB Leipzig are therefore favourites. Final score: 5-2.
What is the most likely correct score for RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg?
2-1 (9.3%), followed by 2-0 (8.2%), 3-1 (7.9%), 1-1 (7.3%) and 3-0 (7.0%).
Will both teams score in RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg?
The probability that both RB Leipzig and FC Augsburg score is 62%. RB Leipzig have a 32% chance of keeping a clean sheet, FC Augsburg 8%.
How many goals should we expect in RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg?
The model expects 3.68 goals (2.55 for RB Leipzig, 1.13 for FC Augsburg). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 88%, over 2.5 goals 71%, over 3.5 goals 50%.
When and where is RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg played?
Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 14:30 (UK time), Bundesliga, matchday 9. Venue: Leipzig Red Bull Arena, Leipzig.
What form are RB Leipzig and FC Augsburg in?
RB Leipzig: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 8 conceded). FC Augsburg: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 11 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between RB Leipzig and FC Augsburg?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for RB Leipzig, 0 for FC Augsburg and 2 draws. The most recent ended RB Leipzig 2-1 FC Augsburg (Mar 7, 2026).
What was the RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: RB Leipzig 5-2 FC Augsburg. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for RB Leipzig at 68%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.4%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (62%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (71%): correct.
How is the RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.55 for RB Leipzig, 1.13 for FC Augsburg) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All RB Leipzig predictions
- All FC Augsburg predictions
- Bundesliga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology