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UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, January 27, 2027, 20:00 (UK time)

AS Roma vs Lille prediction: correct score and AI tips

AS RomaAS Roma–LilleLille

Match analysis

AS Roma take on Lille on Wednesday, January 27, 2027 at 20:00 (UK time), a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Stadio Olimpico, Rome. With a 81% win probability, AS Roma go in as strong favourites against Lille (8%), with the draw rated at 11%. The most likely correct score is 3-0 (8.2%), ahead of 3-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.5%).

AS Roma are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 11 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Lille have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with AS Roma. On average AS Roma score 2.20 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Lille score 1.60 and concede 1.40. In the table, AS Roma sit 17th with 1 points from 1 games, Lille 22nd with 0 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, AS Roma have averaged 2.46 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.33 for Lille.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for AS Roma, 1 for Lille and 0 draws. The most recent ended AS Roma 0-1 Lille (Oct 2, 2025). AS Roma out or doubtful: M. Bah. Lille: H. Igamane and T. Nianzou. In double chance terms, "AS Roma or draw" stands at 92%, "Lille or draw" at 19% and "no draw" at 89%.

In short : AS Roma are tipped by our AI model in this AS Roma v Lille (81%). On recent form, AS Roma have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in 5 while Lille have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 3-0.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

81%
AS Roma (Win)
11%
Draw
8%
Lille (Win)

Double chance

92%
AS Roma or draw
19%
Lille or draw
89%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as AS Roma – Lille. 3-0 is the single most likely scoreline (8.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 38% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
AS Roma 3-0 Lille8.2%
AS Roma 3-1 Lille8.2%
AS Roma 2-0 Lille7.5%
AS Roma 2-1 Lille7.5%
AS Roma 4-0 Lille6.6%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 4.26 goals in total (3.26 for AS Roma, 1.00 for Lille): over 2.5 goals has a 80% probability and both teams to score 61%. Everything points to an open game. AS Roma keep a clean sheet in 37% of scenarios, Lille in 4%.

Probability
AS Roma expected goals3.26
Lille expected goals1.00
Both teams to score61%
Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals80%
Over 3.5 goals62%
AS Roma clean sheet37%
Lille clean sheet4%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

AS Roma

DateOpponentScore
Sep 19, 2026Inter · Serie A2-2D
Sep 14, 2026Torino · Serie A2-0W
Sep 10, 2026Fenerbahçe · UEFA Champions League1-1D
Sep 5, 2026Atalanta · Serie A2-1W
Aug 31, 2026Lecce · Serie A4-0W

Lille

DateOpponentScore
Sep 20, 2026Nice · Ligue 11-2L
Sep 13, 2026Estac Troyes · Ligue 12-0W
Sep 8, 2026Real Betis · UEFA Champions League2-3L
Sep 3, 2026Toulouse · Ligue 11-0W
Aug 28, 2026Paris Saint Germain · Ligue 12-2D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
AS Roma1711
Lille2201

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 2, 2025AS Roma 0-1 LilleUEFA Europa League

Out and doubtful

AS Roma

  • M. Bah (out)

Lille

  • H. Igamane (out)
  • T. Nianzou (out)

Most regular starters

AS Roma

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • B. Cristante4/5
  • D. Malen4/5
  • G. Mancini4/5
  • M. Svilar4/5
  • P. Dybala4/5
  • E. Lulli3/5
  • M. Hermoso3/5
  • E. Ndicka2/5
  • M. Kone2/5
  • M. Soule2/5
  • Wesley2/5

Lille

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Alexsandro Ribeiro4/5
  • Tiago Santos4/5
  • Berke Özer3/5
  • Hakon Arnar Haraldsson3/5
  • Nabil Bentaleb3/5
  • Nathan Ngoy3/5
  • A. Ueda2/5
  • Benjamin André2/5
  • Ethan Mbappé2/5
  • H. Haraldsson2/5
  • N. Bentaleb2/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the AS Roma vs Lille prediction?

Our AI gives AS Roma a 81% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Lille 8%. AS Roma are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for AS Roma vs Lille?

3-0 (8.2%), followed by 3-1 (8.2%), 2-0 (7.5%), 2-1 (7.5%) and 4-0 (6.6%).

Will both teams score in AS Roma vs Lille?

The probability that both AS Roma and Lille score is 61%. AS Roma have a 37% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Lille 4%.

How many goals should we expect in AS Roma vs Lille?

The model expects 4.26 goals (3.26 for AS Roma, 1.00 for Lille). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 93%, over 2.5 goals 80%, over 3.5 goals 62%.

When and where is AS Roma vs Lille played?

Wednesday, January 27, 2027 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

What form are AS Roma and Lille in?

AS Roma: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 4 conceded). Lille: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between AS Roma and Lille?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for AS Roma, 1 for Lille and 0 draws. The most recent ended AS Roma 0-1 Lille (Oct 2, 2025).

How is the AS Roma vs Lille prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (3.26 for AS Roma, 1.00 for Lille) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained