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UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, October 14, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund: 1-0 result and AI prediction review

Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt1 – 0Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 0-3

Final score: Bodo/Glimt 1-0 Borussia Dortmund. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Borussia Dortmund (92%), while victory for Bodo/Glimt was rated at only 2%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.6%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (84%): missed.

Match analysis

Bodo/Glimt and Borussia Dortmund met on Wednesday, October 14, 2026, a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Aspmyra Stadion, Hakata. Before kick-off, our model gave Bodo/Glimt a 2% chance of winning, the draw 6% and Borussia Dortmund 92%. On the correct score, 0-3 comes out on top (10.1%), followed by 0-4 (10.1%) and 0-5 (8.1%).

Over their last 5 matches, Bodo/Glimt have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 13 and conceding 12. Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 12 and conceding 6. Borussia Dortmund therefore arrive in far better shape than Bodo/Glimt. On average Bodo/Glimt score 2.60 and concede 2.40 goals per game; Borussia Dortmund score 2.40 and concede 1.20. In the table, Bodo/Glimt sit 36th with 0 points from 1 games, Borussia Dortmund 14th with 3 points from 1. 22 places separate the two sides.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Bodo/Glimt, 0 for Borussia Dortmund and 1 draw. The most recent ended Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Bodo/Glimt (Dec 10, 2025). Bodo/Glimt out or doubtful: O. L. Bjortuft (suspended), H. Evjen, A. Mikkelsen, M. Riisnaes, I. Sjong and J. Kitolano (doubtful). Borussia Dortmund: E. Can, C. Chukwuemeka, G. Konstantelias, J. Lerma, F. Mane, J. Ryerson and N. Schlotterbeck. In double chance terms, "Bodo/Glimt or draw" stands at 8%, "Borussia Dortmund or draw" at 98% and "no draw" at 94%.

In short : Borussia Dortmund are tipped by our AI model in this Bodo/Glimt v Borussia Dortmund (92%). In the table, Bodo/Glimt (36th, 0 pts) host Borussia Dortmund (14th, 3 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-3.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

2%
Bodo/Glimt (Win)
6%
Draw
92%
Borussia Dortmund (Win)

Double chance

8%
Bodo/Glimt or draw
98%
Borussia Dortmund or draw
94%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Bodo/Glimt – Borussia Dortmund. 0-3 is the single most likely scoreline (10.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 43% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Bodo/Glimt 0-3 Borussia Dortmund10.1%
Bodo/Glimt 0-4 Borussia Dortmund10.1%
Bodo/Glimt 0-5 Borussia Dortmund8.1%
Bodo/Glimt 0-2 Borussia Dortmund7.6%
Bodo/Glimt 1-3 Borussia Dortmund6.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 0.66 expected goals for Bodo/Glimt and 4.00 for Borussia Dortmund, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 84% and "both teams to score" at 47%. Goals look likely in this one. Bodo/Glimt keep a clean sheet in 2% of scenarios, Borussia Dortmund in 52%.

Probability
Bodo/Glimt expected goals0.66
Borussia Dortmund expected goals4.00
Both teams to score47%
Over 1.5 goals95%
Over 2.5 goals84%
Over 3.5 goals68%
Bodo/Glimt clean sheet2%
Borussia Dortmund clean sheet52%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Bodo/Glimt

DateOpponentScore
Oct 10, 2026Kristiansund BK · Eliteserien3-1W
Oct 1, 2026Rana · NM Cupen6-2W
Sep 20, 2026Brann · Eliteserien1-2L
Sep 14, 2026Sandefjord · Eliteserien3-2W
Sep 10, 2026Bayern München · UEFA Champions League0-5L

Borussia Dortmund

DateOpponentScore
Oct 9, 2026Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2-2D
Sep 19, 2026VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga1-0W
Sep 12, 2026SC Paderborn 07 · Bundesliga3-0W
Sep 8, 2026Villarreal · UEFA Champions League3-2W
Sep 5, 20261899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga3-2W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Bodo/Glimt3601
Borussia Dortmund1431

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 10, 2025Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League

Out and doubtful

Bodo/Glimt

  • O. L. Bjortuft (suspended)
  • H. Evjen (out)
  • A. Mikkelsen (out)
  • M. Riisnaes (out)
  • I. Sjong (out)
  • J. Kitolano (doubtful)

Borussia Dortmund

  • E. Can (out)
  • C. Chukwuemeka (out)
  • G. Konstantelias (out)
  • J. Lerma (out)
  • F. Mane (out)
  • J. Ryerson (out)
  • N. Schlotterbeck (out)

Most regular starters

Bodo/Glimt

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • P. Berg4/4
  • S. Auklend4/4
  • S. Fet4/4
  • A. Helmersen3/4
  • J. Hauge3/4
  • F. Bjørkan2/4
  • F. Sjovold2/4
  • F. Sjøvold2/4
  • J. Lund2/4
  • N. Haikin2/4
  • O. Bjørtuft2/4

Borussia Dortmund

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • D. Svensson5/5
  • G. Kobel5/5
  • S. Guirassy5/5
  • W. Anton5/5
  • F. Nmecha4/5
  • J. Gadou4/5
  • J. Ryerson4/5
  • M. Beier4/5
  • E. Nwaneri3/5
  • J. Bellingham3/5
  • J. Veerman3/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Bodo/Glimt a 2% chance of winning, the draw 6% and Borussia Dortmund 92%. Borussia Dortmund are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund?

0-3 (10.1%), followed by 0-4 (10.1%), 0-5 (8.1%), 0-2 (7.6%) and 1-3 (6.7%).

Will both teams score in Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund?

The probability that both Bodo/Glimt and Borussia Dortmund score is 47%. Bodo/Glimt have a 2% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Borussia Dortmund 52%.

How many goals should we expect in Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund?

The model expects 4.66 goals (0.66 for Bodo/Glimt, 4.00 for Borussia Dortmund). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 95%, over 2.5 goals 84%, over 3.5 goals 68%.

When and where is Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund played?

Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Aspmyra Stadion, Hakata.

What form are Bodo/Glimt and Borussia Dortmund in?

Bodo/Glimt: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 12 conceded). Borussia Dortmund: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Bodo/Glimt and Borussia Dortmund?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Bodo/Glimt, 0 for Borussia Dortmund and 1 draw. The most recent ended Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Bodo/Glimt (Dec 10, 2025).

What was the Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Bodo/Glimt 1-0 Borussia Dortmund. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Borussia Dortmund (92%), while victory for Bodo/Glimt was rated at only 2%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.6%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (84%): missed.

How is the Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.66 for Bodo/Glimt, 4.00 for Borussia Dortmund) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained