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UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, October 14, 2026, 17:45 (UK time)

Lask Linz vs Liverpool prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

UEFA Champions League: Lask Linz vs Liverpool kicks off on Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time). Venue: Raiffeisen Arena, Linz. With a 90% win probability, Liverpool go in as strong favourites against Lask Linz (2%), with the draw rated at 8%. The most likely correct score is 0-2 (16.5%), ahead of 0-3 (16.3%) and 0-4 (12.0%).

Over their last 5 matches, Lask Linz have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 12 and conceding 8. Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 8 and conceding 2. Recent momentum is clearly with Liverpool. On average Lask Linz score 2.40 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Liverpool score 1.60 and concede 0.40. In the table, Lask Linz sit 28th with 0 points from 1 games, Liverpool 13th with 3 points from 1. 15 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Lask Linz have averaged 0.72 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.32 for Liverpool.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Lask Linz, 2 for Liverpool and 0 draws. The most recent ended Liverpool 4-0 Lask Linz (Nov 30, 2023). In double chance terms, "Lask Linz or draw" stands at 10%, "Liverpool or draw" at 98% and "no draw" at 92%.

In short : Our model backs Liverpool to edge Lask Linz (90% probability). On recent form, Lask Linz have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Liverpool are in good shape (4 wins in 5). The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 64%).

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

2%
Lask Linz (Win)
8%
Draw
90%
Liverpool (Win)

Double chance

10%
Lask Linz or draw
98%
Liverpool or draw
92%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Lask Linz – Liverpool. 0-2 is the single most likely scoreline (16.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 63% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Lask Linz 0-2 Liverpool16.5%
Lask Linz 0-3 Liverpool16.3%
Lask Linz 0-4 Liverpool12.0%
Lask Linz 0-1 Liverpool11.1%
Lask Linz 0-5 Liverpool7.1%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 3.28 goals in total (0.32 for Lask Linz, 2.96 for Liverpool): over 2.5 goals has a 64% probability and both teams to score 26%. Everything points to an open game. Lask Linz keep a clean sheet in 5% of scenarios, Liverpool in 73%.

Probability
Lask Linz expected goals0.32
Liverpool expected goals2.96
Both teams to score26%
Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Lask Linz clean sheet5%
Liverpool clean sheet73%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Lask Linz

DateOpponentScore
Oct 2, 2026First Vienna · Club Friendlies2-1W
Sep 20, 2026TSV Hartberg · Bundesliga3-3D
Sep 13, 2026Sturm Graz · Bundesliga1-2L
Sep 8, 2026AEK Athens FC · UEFA Champions League0-1L
Sep 5, 2026Deutschlandsberger SC · Cup6-1W

Liverpool

DateOpponentScore
Sep 20, 2026Bournemouth · Premier League1-0W
Sep 15, 2026Tottenham · EFL Cup3-1W
Sep 12, 2026Fulham · Premier League0-0D
Sep 9, 2026Atletico Madrid · UEFA Champions League2-1W
Sep 4, 2026Ipswich · Premier League2-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Lask Linz2801
Liverpool1331

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 30, 2023Liverpool 4-0 Lask LinzUEFA Europa League
Sep 21, 2023Lask Linz 1-3 LiverpoolUEFA Europa League

Out and doubtful

Lask Linz

No absences reported.

Liverpool

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Lask Linz

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • J. Tornich4/4
  • A. Andrade3/4
  • C. Lang3/4
  • G. Bello3/4
  • L. Jungwirth3/4
  • M. Bogarde3/4
  • M. Usor3/4
  • R. Ljubicic3/4
  • S. Horvath3/4
  • X. Mbuyamba3/4
  • F. Flecker2/4

Liverpool

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Isak4/5
  • A. Mac Allister4/5
  • D. Szoboszlai4/5
  • F. Wirtz4/5
  • J. Jacquet4/5
  • M. Kerkez4/5
  • V. van Dijk4/5
  • Alisson3/5
  • B. Barcola3/5
  • C. Gakpo3/5
  • R. Araujo3/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Lask Linz vs Liverpool prediction?

Our AI gives Lask Linz a 2% chance of winning, the draw 8% and Liverpool 90%. Liverpool are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Lask Linz vs Liverpool?

0-2 (16.5%), followed by 0-3 (16.3%), 0-4 (12.0%), 0-1 (11.1%) and 0-5 (7.1%).

Will both teams score in Lask Linz vs Liverpool?

The probability that both Lask Linz and Liverpool score is 26%. Lask Linz have a 5% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Liverpool 73%.

How many goals should we expect in Lask Linz vs Liverpool?

The model expects 3.28 goals (0.32 for Lask Linz, 2.96 for Liverpool). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 84%, over 2.5 goals 64%, over 3.5 goals 42%.

When and where is Lask Linz vs Liverpool played?

Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Raiffeisen Arena, Linz.

What form are Lask Linz and Liverpool in?

Lask Linz: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 8 conceded). Liverpool: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 2 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Lask Linz and Liverpool?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Lask Linz, 2 for Liverpool and 0 draws. The most recent ended Liverpool 4-0 Lask Linz (Nov 30, 2023).

How is the Lask Linz vs Liverpool prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.32 for Lask Linz, 2.96 for Liverpool) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained