UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, November 4, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis: 2-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Real Betis. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Borussia Dortmund at 43%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (8.7%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (66%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (65%): correct.
Match analysis
Borussia Dortmund and Real Betis met on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund. Before kick-off, our model gave Borussia Dortmund a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Betis 34%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (9.8%), followed by 2-1 (8.7%) and 1-2 (7.7%).
Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 8 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Real Betis have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Borussia Dortmund score 1.60 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Real Betis score 1.60 and concede 1.60. In the table, Borussia Dortmund sit 16th with 6 points from 3 games, Real Betis 7th with 9 points from 3. 9 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Borussia Dortmund have averaged 1.72 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.63 for Real Betis.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Borussia Dortmund and Real Betis: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Borussia Dortmund out or doubtful: E. Can, G. Konstantelias and J. Lerma. Real Betis: A. Fidalgo, J. Firpo, C. Hernandez and I. Losada. In double chance terms, "Borussia Dortmund or draw" stands at 66%, "Real Betis or draw" at 57% and "no draw" at 77%.
In short : Our model backs Borussia Dortmund to edge Real Betis (43% probability). On recent form, Borussia Dortmund have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in 5 while Real Betis have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 65%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Borussia Dortmund – Real Betis. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (9.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 39% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund 1-1 Real Betis | 9.8% |
| Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Real Betis | 8.7% |
| Borussia Dortmund 1-2 Real Betis | 7.7% |
| Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Real Betis | 6.9% |
| Borussia Dortmund 1-0 Real Betis | 6.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.78 expected goals for Borussia Dortmund and 1.57 for Real Betis, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 65% and "both teams to score" at 66%. Goals look likely in this one. Borussia Dortmund keep a clean sheet in 21% of scenarios, Real Betis in 17%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund expected goals | 1.78 |
| Real Betis expected goals | 1.57 |
| Both teams to score | 66% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% |
| Borussia Dortmund clean sheet | 21% |
| Real Betis clean sheet | 17% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Borussia Dortmund
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bayern München · Bundesliga | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Werder Bremen · DFB-Pokal | 3-2 | W |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Sabah FA · UEFA Champions League | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Union Berlin · Bundesliga | 0-0 | D |
Real Betis
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Malaga · La Liga | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Celta Vigo · La Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Feyenoord · UEFA Champions League | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Barcelona · La Liga | 2-5 | L |
| Oct 14, 2026 | FC Porto · UEFA Champions League | 3-2 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 16 | 6 | 3 |
| Real Betis | 7 | 9 | 3 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Borussia Dortmund and Real Betis: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Borussia Dortmund
- E. Can (out)
- G. Konstantelias (out)
- J. Lerma (out)
Real Betis
- A. Fidalgo (out)
- J. Firpo (out)
- C. Hernandez (out)
- I. Losada (out)
Most regular starters
Borussia Dortmund
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- F. Nmecha5/5
- G. Kobel5/5
- N. Schlotterbeck5/5
- S. Guirassy5/5
- W. Anton5/5
- D. Svensson4/5
- J. Ryerson4/5
- J. Veerman4/5
- C. Chukwuemeka3/5
- J. Bellingham3/5
- M. Beier3/5
Real Betis
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Ezzalzouli5/5
- Isco4/5
- Natan4/5
- Álvaro Vallés3/5
- Antony3/5
- Fran García3/5
- Marc Bartra3/5
- Marc Roca3/5
- T. Parrott3/5
- A. Valles2/5
- D. Ceballos2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Barcelona 3-0 Aston VillaNov 3, 2026
- Manchester United 3-2 AS RomaNov 3, 2026
- AEK Athens FC 2-3 Real MadridNov 4, 2026
- Fenerbahçe 3-2 LiverpoolNov 4, 2026
- Viking 4-1 Sabah FANov 4, 2026
- PSV Eindhoven 1-2 Club Brugge KVNov 4, 2026
- FC Porto 4-1 NapoliNov 4, 2026
- Lens 1-9 ComoNov 4, 2026
- RB Leipzig 2-3 Manchester CityNov 4, 2026
- Slavia Praha 1-2 ArsenalNov 4, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Borussia Dortmund a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Betis 34%. Borussia Dortmund are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 2-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis?
1-1 (9.8%), followed by 2-1 (8.7%), 1-2 (7.7%), 2-2 (6.9%) and 1-0 (6.2%).
Will both teams score in Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis?
The probability that both Borussia Dortmund and Real Betis score is 66%. Borussia Dortmund have a 21% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Real Betis 17%.
How many goals should we expect in Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis?
The model expects 3.35 goals (1.78 for Borussia Dortmund, 1.57 for Real Betis). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 85%, over 2.5 goals 65%, over 3.5 goals 43%.
When and where is Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis played?
Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund.
What form are Borussia Dortmund and Real Betis in?
Borussia Dortmund: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 5 conceded). Real Betis: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 8 conceded).
What was the Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Real Betis. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Borussia Dortmund at 43%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (8.7%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (66%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (65%): correct.
How is the Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.78 for Borussia Dortmund, 1.57 for Real Betis) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Borussia Dortmund predictions
- All Real Betis predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology