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UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, November 4, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

PSV Eindhoven take on Club Brugge KV on Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Philips Stadion, Eindhoven. With a 75% win probability, PSV Eindhoven go in as strong favourites against Club Brugge KV (12%), with the draw rated at 13%. The most likely correct score is 3-1 (7.6%), ahead of 2-1 (6.8%) and 4-1 (6.3%).

Over their last 5 matches, PSV Eindhoven have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 16 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Club Brugge KV have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average PSV Eindhoven score 3.20 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Club Brugge KV score 2.00 and concede 1.20. In the table, PSV Eindhoven sit 19th with 1 points from 1 games, Club Brugge KV 24th with 0 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, PSV Eindhoven have averaged 2.59 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.81 for Club Brugge KV.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between PSV Eindhoven and Club Brugge KV: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. PSV Eindhoven out or doubtful: S. Lammers, A. Nagalo, S. Ouaissa, A. Plea, J. Schouten and K. Sildillia. In double chance terms, "PSV Eindhoven or draw" stands at 88%, "Club Brugge KV or draw" at 25% and "no draw" at 87%.

In short : PSV Eindhoven are tipped by our AI model in this PSV Eindhoven v Club Brugge KV (75%). On recent form, PSV Eindhoven have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while Club Brugge KV have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 3-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

75%
PSV Eindhoven (Win)
13%
Draw
12%
Club Brugge KV (Win)

Double chance

88%
PSV Eindhoven or draw
25%
Club Brugge KV or draw
87%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as PSV Eindhoven – Club Brugge KV. 3-1 is the single most likely scoreline (7.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 31% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
PSV Eindhoven 3-1 Club Brugge KV7.6%
PSV Eindhoven 2-1 Club Brugge KV6.8%
PSV Eindhoven 4-1 Club Brugge KV6.3%
PSV Eindhoven 3-0 Club Brugge KV5.4%
PSV Eindhoven 3-2 Club Brugge KV5.3%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 4.74 goals in total (3.34 for PSV Eindhoven, 1.40 for Club Brugge KV): over 2.5 goals has a 85% probability and both teams to score 73%. Everything points to an open game. PSV Eindhoven keep a clean sheet in 25% of scenarios, Club Brugge KV in 4%.

Probability
PSV Eindhoven expected goals3.34
Club Brugge KV expected goals1.40
Both teams to score73%
Over 1.5 goals95%
Over 2.5 goals85%
Over 3.5 goals70%
PSV Eindhoven clean sheet25%
Club Brugge KV clean sheet4%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

PSV Eindhoven

DateOpponentScore
Sep 20, 2026Twente · Eredivisie2-3L
Sep 13, 2026Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie4-1W
Sep 10, 2026Shakhtar Donetsk · UEFA Champions League1-1D
Sep 5, 2026Ajax · Eredivisie3-1W
Aug 30, 2026Utrecht · Eredivisie6-1W

Club Brugge KV

DateOpponentScore
Sep 20, 2026Genk · Jupiler Pro League3-0W
Sep 13, 2026Antwerp · Jupiler Pro League3-1W
Sep 8, 2026Aston Villa · UEFA Champions League2-3L
Sep 4, 2026Lommel United · Jupiler Pro League1-0W
Aug 30, 2026Gent · Jupiler Pro League1-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
PSV Eindhoven1911
Club Brugge KV2401

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between PSV Eindhoven and Club Brugge KV: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

PSV Eindhoven

  • S. Lammers (out)
  • A. Nagalo (out)
  • S. Ouaissa (out)
  • A. Plea (out)
  • J. Schouten (out)
  • K. Sildillia (out)

Club Brugge KV

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

PSV Eindhoven

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Obispo5/5
  • G. Til5/5
  • K. Sano5/5
  • S. Dest5/5
  • L. Geertruida4/5
  • R. Pepi4/5
  • R. van Bommel4/5
  • M. Kovar3/5
  • Mauro Junior3/5
  • P. Wanner3/5
  • I. Perisic2/5

Club Brugge KV

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • B. Mechele5/5
  • F. Potts5/5
  • H. Vetlesen5/5
  • J. Seys5/5
  • Lee Han-Beom5/5
  • Y. Sommer5/5
  • H. Vanaken4/5
  • K. Sabbe4/5
  • N. Tresoldi4/5
  • C. Forbs3/5
  • J. Virgili2/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV prediction?

Our AI gives PSV Eindhoven a 75% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Club Brugge KV 12%. PSV Eindhoven are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV?

3-1 (7.6%), followed by 2-1 (6.8%), 4-1 (6.3%), 3-0 (5.4%) and 3-2 (5.3%).

Will both teams score in PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV?

The probability that both PSV Eindhoven and Club Brugge KV score is 73%. PSV Eindhoven have a 25% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Club Brugge KV 4%.

How many goals should we expect in PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV?

The model expects 4.74 goals (3.34 for PSV Eindhoven, 1.40 for Club Brugge KV). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 95%, over 2.5 goals 85%, over 3.5 goals 70%.

When and where is PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV played?

Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Philips Stadion, Eindhoven.

What form are PSV Eindhoven and Club Brugge KV in?

PSV Eindhoven: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (16 scored, 7 conceded). Club Brugge KV: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 6 conceded).

How is the PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (3.34 for PSV Eindhoven, 1.40 for Club Brugge KV) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained