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UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, November 4, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV: 1-2 result and AI prediction review

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: PSV Eindhoven 1-2 Club Brugge KV. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for PSV Eindhoven (50%), while victory for Club Brugge KV was rated at only 28%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (6.8%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (65%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (65%): correct.

Match analysis

PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV was played on Wednesday, November 4, 2026 (UEFA Champions League). Venue: Philips Stadion, Eindhoven. Before kick-off, our model gave PSV Eindhoven a 50% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Club Brugge KV 28%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (9.6%), ahead of 2-1 (9.3%) and 1-0 (6.8%).

Over their last 5 matches, PSV Eindhoven have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 4. Club Brugge KV are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 15 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Club Brugge KV. On average PSV Eindhoven score 2.00 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Club Brugge KV score 3.00 and concede 1.40. In the table, PSV Eindhoven sit 21st with 4 points from 3 games, Club Brugge KV 13th with 6 points from 3. 8 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, PSV Eindhoven have averaged 1.83 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.76 for Club Brugge KV.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for PSV Eindhoven, 1 for Club Brugge KV and 1 draw. The most recent ended PSV Eindhoven 1-1 Club Brugge KV (Jul 13, 2024). PSV Eindhoven out or doubtful: S. Lammers, A. Nagalo, S. Ouaissa, A. Plea, J. Schouten and P. Wanner. Club Brugge KV: J. Ordonez. In double chance terms, "PSV Eindhoven or draw" stands at 72%, "Club Brugge KV or draw" at 50% and "no draw" at 78%.

In short : PSV Eindhoven are tipped by our AI model in this PSV Eindhoven v Club Brugge KV (50%). On recent form, PSV Eindhoven have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Club Brugge KV are in good shape (5 wins in 5). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

50%
PSV Eindhoven (Win)
22%
Draw
28%
Club Brugge KV (Win)

Double chance

72%
PSV Eindhoven or draw
50%
Club Brugge KV or draw
78%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as PSV Eindhoven – Club Brugge KV. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (9.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 39% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
PSV Eindhoven 1-1 Club Brugge KV9.6%
PSV Eindhoven 2-1 Club Brugge KV9.3%
PSV Eindhoven 1-0 Club Brugge KV6.8%
PSV Eindhoven 1-2 Club Brugge KV6.8%
PSV Eindhoven 2-0 Club Brugge KV6.6%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 3.35 goals in total (1.94 for PSV Eindhoven, 1.41 for Club Brugge KV): over 2.5 goals has a 65% probability and both teams to score 65%. Everything points to an open game. PSV Eindhoven keep a clean sheet in 24% of scenarios, Club Brugge KV in 14%.

Probability
PSV Eindhoven expected goals1.94
Club Brugge KV expected goals1.41
Both teams to score65%
Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals43%
PSV Eindhoven clean sheet24%
Club Brugge KV clean sheet14%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

PSV Eindhoven

DateOpponentScore
Oct 31, 2026Willem II · Eredivisie7-0W
Oct 25, 2026Feyenoord · Eredivisie1-1D
Oct 20, 2026FC Porto · UEFA Champions League1-0W
Oct 17, 2026ADO Den Haag · Eredivisie1-2L
Oct 13, 2026RB Leipzig · UEFA Champions League0-1L

Club Brugge KV

DateOpponentScore
Oct 30, 2026Zulte Waregem · Jupiler Pro League4-2W
Oct 25, 2026St. Truiden · Jupiler Pro League3-2W
Oct 21, 2026Lens · UEFA Champions League3-0W
Oct 17, 2026Lokeren-Temse · Cup1-0W
Oct 13, 2026Inter · UEFA Champions League4-3W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
PSV Eindhoven2143
Club Brugge KV1363

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 13, 2024PSV Eindhoven 1-1 Club Brugge KVClub Friendlies
Jan 9, 2020PSV Eindhoven 1-2 Club Brugge KVClub Friendlies

Out and doubtful

PSV Eindhoven

  • S. Lammers (out)
  • A. Nagalo (out)
  • S. Ouaissa (out)
  • A. Plea (out)
  • J. Schouten (out)
  • P. Wanner (out)

Club Brugge KV

  • J. Ordonez (out)

Most regular starters

PSV Eindhoven

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • G. Til5/5
  • K. Sano5/5
  • L. Geertruida5/5
  • S. Dest5/5
  • A. Obispo4/5
  • S. Mijnans4/5
  • F. Kostic3/5
  • M. Kovar3/5
  • Mauro Junior3/5
  • R. van Bommel3/5
  • E. Bajraktarevic2/5

Club Brugge KV

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • F. Potts5/5
  • H. Vanaken5/5
  • J. Seys5/5
  • J. Spileers5/5
  • B. Mechele4/5
  • J. Virgili4/5
  • K. Sabbe4/5
  • N. Tresoldi4/5
  • Y. Sommer4/5
  • C. Forbs3/5
  • H. Vetlesen3/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave PSV Eindhoven a 50% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Club Brugge KV 28%. PSV Eindhoven are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-2.

What is the most likely correct score for PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV?

1-1 (9.6%), followed by 2-1 (9.3%), 1-0 (6.8%), 1-2 (6.8%) and 2-0 (6.6%).

Will both teams score in PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV?

The probability that both PSV Eindhoven and Club Brugge KV score is 65%. PSV Eindhoven have a 24% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Club Brugge KV 14%.

How many goals should we expect in PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV?

The model expects 3.35 goals (1.94 for PSV Eindhoven, 1.41 for Club Brugge KV). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 85%, over 2.5 goals 65%, over 3.5 goals 43%.

When and where is PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV played?

Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Philips Stadion, Eindhoven.

What form are PSV Eindhoven and Club Brugge KV in?

PSV Eindhoven: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 4 conceded). Club Brugge KV: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (15 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between PSV Eindhoven and Club Brugge KV?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for PSV Eindhoven, 1 for Club Brugge KV and 1 draw. The most recent ended PSV Eindhoven 1-1 Club Brugge KV (Jul 13, 2024).

What was the PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: PSV Eindhoven 1-2 Club Brugge KV. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for PSV Eindhoven (50%), while victory for Club Brugge KV was rated at only 28%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (6.8%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (65%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (65%): correct.

How is the PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.94 for PSV Eindhoven, 1.41 for Club Brugge KV) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained