UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, November 4, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Lens vs Como prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Lens take on Como on Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens. It is a tight call: 41% for Lens, 21% for the draw and 38% for Como. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (7.7%), followed by 2-1 (7.7%) and 1-2 (7.3%).
Lens have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Como have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Como therefore arrive in far better shape than Lens. On average Lens score 1.40 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Como score 2.40 and concede 1.20. In the table, Lens sit 10th with 3 points from 1 games, Como 5th with 3 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Lens have averaged 1.92 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.98 for Como.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Lens and Como: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Lens out or doubtful: S. Abdulhamid, S. Baidoo, J. Chavez, M. Nawrocki and Y. Titraoui. In double chance terms, "Lens or draw" stands at 62%, "Como or draw" at 59% and "no draw" at 79%.
In short : Lens and Como meet in a wide-open clash with no clear favourite (draw at 21%). On recent form, Lens have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Como are in good shape (4 wins in 5). One to watch: Lens will be without S. Abdulhamid and S. Baidoo.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Lens – Como. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (7.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 35% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Lens 1-1 Como | 7.7% |
| Lens 2-1 Como | 7.7% |
| Lens 1-2 Como | 7.3% |
| Lens 2-2 Como | 7.3% |
| Lens 3-1 Como | 5.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.99 expected goals for Lens and 1.91 for Como, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 75% and "both teams to score" at 74%. Goals look likely in this one. Lens keep a clean sheet in 15% of scenarios, Como in 14%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Lens expected goals | 1.99 |
| Como expected goals | 1.91 |
| Both teams to score | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 55% |
| Lens clean sheet | 15% |
| Como clean sheet | 14% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Lens
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Monaco · Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Le Mans · Ligue 1 | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Slavia Praha · UEFA Champions League | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Lorient · Ligue 1 | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Strasbourg · Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
Como
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Frosinone · Serie A | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Parma · Serie A | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 10, 2026 | RB Leipzig · UEFA Champions League | 4-1 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Genoa · Serie A | 4-1 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Napoli · Serie A | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lens | 10 | 3 | 1 |
| Como | 5 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Lens and Como: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Lens
- S. Abdulhamid (out)
- S. Baidoo (out)
- J. Chavez (out)
- M. Nawrocki (out)
- Y. Titraoui (out)
Como
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Lens
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Abdallah Sima3/5
- Florian Thauvin3/5
- Matthieu Udol3/5
- Robin Risser3/5
- A. Haidara2/5
- A. Sima2/5
- F. Thauvin2/5
- Ismaelo Ganiou2/5
- K. Antonio2/5
- Kyllian Antonio2/5
- M. Udol2/5
Como
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- M. Baturina5/5
- N. Paz5/5
- A. Diao4/5
- J. Butez4/5
- J. Ramon4/5
- L. Da Cunha4/5
- T. Chalobah4/5
- Y. Couto4/5
- A. Douvikas3/5
- A. Valle3/5
- L. Milla2/5
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Lens vs Como prediction?
Our AI gives Lens a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Como 38%. Lens are therefore slight favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Lens vs Como?
1-1 (7.7%), followed by 2-1 (7.7%), 1-2 (7.3%), 2-2 (7.3%) and 3-1 (5.1%).
Will both teams score in Lens vs Como?
The probability that both Lens and Como score is 74%. Lens have a 15% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Como 14%.
How many goals should we expect in Lens vs Como?
The model expects 3.90 goals (1.99 for Lens, 1.91 for Como). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 90%, over 2.5 goals 75%, over 3.5 goals 55%.
When and where is Lens vs Como played?
Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens.
What form are Lens and Como in?
Lens: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 9 conceded). Como: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 6 conceded).
How is the Lens vs Como prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.99 for Lens, 1.91 for Como) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Lens predictions
- All Como predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology