UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, November 4, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Lens vs Como: 1-9 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Lens 1-9 Como. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Como at 50%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.0%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (55%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (53%): correct.
Match analysis
Lens and Como met on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens. Before kick-off, our model gave Lens a 26% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Como 50%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.6%), followed by 0-1 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.5%).
Over their last 5 matches, Lens have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 8. Como are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 13 and conceding 3. Como therefore arrive in far better shape than Lens. On average Lens score 1.00 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Como score 2.60 and concede 0.60. In the table, Lens sit 26th with 3 points from 3 games, Como 11th with 6 points from 3. 15 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Lens have averaged 1.32 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.95 for Como.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Lens and Como: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Lens out or doubtful: J. Chavez, O. Edouard, I. Ganiou, I. Jourdren, M. Nawrocki and A. Sima. Como: J. Addai, T. Chalobah, A. Diao, E. Goldaniga, W. Kambwala, M. Kean, A. Lahdo and J. Rodriguez. In double chance terms, "Lens or draw" stands at 51%, "Como or draw" at 74% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Como are favourites for this Lens v Como, with a 49% win probability from our model. On recent form, Lens have 2 wins, 0 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Como are in good shape (5 wins in 5). One to watch: Como will be without J. Addai and T. Chalobah.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Lens – Como. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 47% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Lens 1-1 Como | 11.6% |
| Lens 0-1 Como | 10.1% |
| Lens 1-2 Como | 9.5% |
| Lens 0-2 Como | 8.4% |
| Lens 1-0 Como | 7.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.14 expected goals for Lens and 1.65 for Como, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 53% and "both teams to score" at 55%. Lens keep a clean sheet in 19% of scenarios, Como in 32%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Lens expected goals | 1.14 |
| Como expected goals | 1.65 |
| Both teams to score | 55% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% |
| Lens clean sheet | 19% |
| Como clean sheet | 32% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Lens
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Lille · Ligue 1 | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Paris FC · Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Club Brugge KV · UEFA Champions League | 0-3 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Estac Troyes · Ligue 1 | 3-1 | W |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Sporting CP · UEFA Champions League | 0-2 | L |
Como
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Venezia · Serie A | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Torino · Serie A | 3-1 | W |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sassuolo · Serie A | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Manchester United · UEFA Champions League | 4-1 | W |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Fiorentina · Serie A | 3-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lens | 26 | 3 | 3 |
| Como | 11 | 6 | 3 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Lens and Como: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Lens
- J. Chavez (out)
- O. Edouard (out)
- I. Ganiou (out)
- I. Jourdren (out)
- M. Nawrocki (out)
- A. Sima (out)
Como
- J. Addai (out)
- T. Chalobah (out)
- A. Diao (out)
- E. Goldaniga (out)
- W. Kambwala (out)
- M. Kean (out)
- A. Lahdo (out)
- J. Rodriguez (out)
Most regular starters
Lens
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- R. Risser5/5
- A. Haidara4/5
- F. Thauvin4/5
- M. Cuisance4/5
- M. Udol4/5
- R. Aguilar4/5
- S. Baidoo4/5
- F. Sotoca3/5
- J. Todibo3/5
- Saud Abdulhamid3/5
- F. Ivanović2/5
Como
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Butez4/5
- N. Paz4/5
- Jacobo Ramón Naveros3/5
- L. da Cunha3/5
- Luis Milla3/5
- M. Baturina3/5
- M. Caqueret3/5
- M. Kempf3/5
- M. Perrone3/5
- T. Douvikas3/5
- Yan Couto3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Barcelona 3-0 Aston VillaNov 3, 2026
- Manchester United 3-2 AS RomaNov 3, 2026
- AEK Athens FC 2-3 Real MadridNov 4, 2026
- Fenerbahçe 3-2 LiverpoolNov 4, 2026
- Viking 4-1 Sabah FANov 4, 2026
- PSV Eindhoven 1-2 Club Brugge KVNov 4, 2026
- FC Porto 4-1 NapoliNov 4, 2026
- Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Real BetisNov 4, 2026
- RB Leipzig 2-3 Manchester CityNov 4, 2026
- Slavia Praha 1-2 ArsenalNov 4, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Lens vs Como prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Lens a 26% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Como 50%. Como are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-9.
What is the most likely correct score for Lens vs Como?
1-1 (11.6%), followed by 0-1 (10.1%), 1-2 (9.5%), 0-2 (8.4%) and 1-0 (7.0%).
Will both teams score in Lens vs Como?
The probability that both Lens and Como score is 55%. Lens have a 19% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Como 32%.
How many goals should we expect in Lens vs Como?
The model expects 2.79 goals (1.14 for Lens, 1.65 for Como). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 77%, over 2.5 goals 53%, over 3.5 goals 31%.
When and where is Lens vs Como played?
Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens.
What form are Lens and Como in?
Lens: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 8 conceded). Como: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 3 conceded).
What was the Lens vs Como result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Lens 1-9 Como. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Como at 50%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.0%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (55%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (53%): correct.
How is the Lens vs Como prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.14 for Lens, 1.65 for Como) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Lens predictions
- All Como predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology