UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Žalgiris: 5-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Dinamo Zagreb 5-0 Kauno Žalgiris. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Dinamo Zagreb at 84%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.6%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.
Match analysis
Dinamo Zagreb and Kauno Žalgiris met on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb. Before kick-off, our model gave Dinamo Zagreb a 84% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Kauno Žalgiris 5%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.5%).
Dinamo Zagreb are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 20 and conceding 5. Kauno Žalgiris are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 7 and conceding 4. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Dinamo Zagreb score 4.00 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Kauno Žalgiris score 1.40 and concede 0.80.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Dinamo Zagreb and Kauno Žalgiris: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Dinamo Zagreb or draw" stands at 95%, "Kauno Žalgiris or draw" at 16% and "no draw" at 89%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Dinamo Zagreb – Kauno Žalgiris. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb 1-1 Kauno Žalgiris | 11.9% |
| Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 Kauno Žalgiris | 11.3% |
| Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 Kauno Žalgiris | 9.5% |
| Dinamo Zagreb 2-0 Kauno Žalgiris | 9.0% |
| Dinamo Zagreb 0-1 Kauno Žalgiris | 7.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.59 expected goals for Dinamo Zagreb and 1.05 for Kauno Žalgiris, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Dinamo Zagreb keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Kauno Žalgiris in 20%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb expected goals | 1.59 |
| Kauno Žalgiris expected goals | 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Dinamo Zagreb clean sheet | 35% |
| Kauno Žalgiris clean sheet | 20% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Dinamo Zagreb
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | FC Thun · UEFA Champions League | 3-2 | W |
| Jul 21, 2026 | FC Thun · UEFA Champions League | 1-1 | D |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Koper · Club Friendlies | 4-2 | W |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Brinje-Grosuplje · Club Friendlies | 9-0 | W |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Radomlje · Club Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
Kauno Žalgiris
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | KI Klaksvik · UEFA Champions League | 1-0 | W |
| Jul 21, 2026 | KI Klaksvik · UEFA Champions League | 0-0 | D |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Drita · UEFA Champions League | 3-2 | W |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Drita · UEFA Champions League | 1-1 | D |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Zimbru · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Dinamo Zagreb and Kauno Žalgiris: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Dinamo Zagreb
No absences reported.
Kauno Žalgiris
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Ararat-Armenia 2-1 CeljeAug 4, 2026
- Mjallby AIF 1-2 Slovan BratislavaAug 4, 2026
- Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-0 FK Crvena ZvezdaAug 4, 2026
- Levski Sofia 1-0 Kairat AlmatyAug 4, 2026
- Sparta Praha 2-1 LyonAug 4, 2026
- Olympiakos Piraeus 0-0 NEC NijmegenAug 4, 2026
- Union St. Gilloise 3-3 Bodo/GlimtAug 4, 2026
- Aarhus 2-1 Sabah FAAug 5, 2026
- Fenerbahçe 2-0 Sturm GrazAug 5, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Žalgiris prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Dinamo Zagreb a 84% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Kauno Žalgiris 5%. Dinamo Zagreb are therefore favourites. Final score: 5-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Žalgiris?
1-1 (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.0%) and 0-1 (7.5%).
Will both teams score in Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Žalgiris?
The probability that both Dinamo Zagreb and Kauno Žalgiris score is 52%. Dinamo Zagreb have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Kauno Žalgiris 20%.
How many goals should we expect in Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Žalgiris?
The model expects 2.64 goals (1.59 for Dinamo Zagreb, 1.05 for Kauno Žalgiris). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Žalgiris played?
Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb.
What form are Dinamo Zagreb and Kauno Žalgiris in?
Dinamo Zagreb: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (20 scored, 5 conceded). Kauno Žalgiris: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 4 conceded).
What was the Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Žalgiris result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Dinamo Zagreb 5-0 Kauno Žalgiris. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Dinamo Zagreb at 84%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.6%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.
How is the Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Žalgiris prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.59 for Dinamo Zagreb, 1.05 for Kauno Žalgiris) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Dinamo Zagreb predictions
- All Kauno Žalgiris predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology