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UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 18:30 (UK time)

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FK Crvena Zvezda: 1-0 result and AI prediction review

Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva1 – 0FK Crvena ZvezdaFK Crvena Zvezda

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-0 FK Crvena Zvezda. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Hapoel Beer Sheva at 46%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.0%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.

Match analysis

Hapoel Beer Sheva and FK Crvena Zvezda met on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Haladás Sportkomplexum, Szombathely. Before kick-off, our model gave Hapoel Beer Sheva a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FK Crvena Zvezda 28%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.2%), followed by 1-0 (11.0%) and 2-1 (9.2%).

Over their last 5 matches, Hapoel Beer Sheva have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 9. FK Crvena Zvezda are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 14 and conceding 4. FK Crvena Zvezda therefore arrive in far better shape than Hapoel Beer Sheva. On average Hapoel Beer Sheva score 1.80 and concede 1.80 goals per game; FK Crvena Zvezda score 2.80 and concede 0.80.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Hapoel Beer Sheva and FK Crvena Zvezda: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Hapoel Beer Sheva or draw" stands at 72%, "FK Crvena Zvezda or draw" at 54% and "no draw" at 74%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

46%
Hapoel Beer Sheva (Win)
26%
Draw
28%
FK Crvena Zvezda (Win)

Double chance

72%
Hapoel Beer Sheva or draw
54%
FK Crvena Zvezda or draw
74%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Hapoel Beer Sheva – FK Crvena Zvezda. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-1 FK Crvena Zvezda12.2%
Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-0 FK Crvena Zvezda11.0%
Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-1 FK Crvena Zvezda9.2%
Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-0 FK Crvena Zvezda8.3%
Hapoel Beer Sheva 0-1 FK Crvena Zvezda8.2%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.50 expected goals for Hapoel Beer Sheva and 1.11 for FK Crvena Zvezda, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 48% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Hapoel Beer Sheva keep a clean sheet in 33% of scenarios, FK Crvena Zvezda in 22%.

Probability
Hapoel Beer Sheva expected goals1.50
FK Crvena Zvezda expected goals1.11
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Hapoel Beer Sheva clean sheet33%
FK Crvena Zvezda clean sheet22%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Hapoel Beer Sheva

DateOpponentScore
Jul 29, 2026Vikingur Reykjavik · UEFA Champions League2-0W
Jul 21, 2026Vikingur Reykjavik · UEFA Champions League1-2L
Jul 7, 2026Legia Warszawa · Club Friendlies1-3L
Jul 5, 2026Omonia Nicosia · Club Friendlies2-2D
Jul 1, 2026Radomiak Radom · Club Friendlies3-2W

FK Crvena Zvezda

DateOpponentScore
Jul 29, 2026Larne · UEFA Champions League5-0W
Jul 21, 2026Larne · UEFA Champions League4-0W
Jul 3, 2026FC BW Linz · Club Friendlies2-2D
Jun 29, 2026Slovan Bratislava · Club Friendlies1-1D
Jun 25, 2026SKU Amstetten · Club Friendlies2-1W

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Hapoel Beer Sheva and FK Crvena Zvezda: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Hapoel Beer Sheva

No absences reported.

FK Crvena Zvezda

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FK Crvena Zvezda prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Hapoel Beer Sheva a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FK Crvena Zvezda 28%. Hapoel Beer Sheva are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FK Crvena Zvezda?

1-1 (12.2%), followed by 1-0 (11.0%), 2-1 (9.2%), 2-0 (8.3%) and 0-1 (8.2%).

Will both teams score in Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FK Crvena Zvezda?

The probability that both Hapoel Beer Sheva and FK Crvena Zvezda score is 52%. Hapoel Beer Sheva have a 33% chance of keeping a clean sheet, FK Crvena Zvezda 22%.

How many goals should we expect in Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FK Crvena Zvezda?

The model expects 2.61 goals (1.50 for Hapoel Beer Sheva, 1.11 for FK Crvena Zvezda). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FK Crvena Zvezda played?

Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 18:30 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Haladás Sportkomplexum, Szombathely.

What form are Hapoel Beer Sheva and FK Crvena Zvezda in?

Hapoel Beer Sheva: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 9 conceded). FK Crvena Zvezda: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 4 conceded).

What was the Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FK Crvena Zvezda result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-0 FK Crvena Zvezda. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Hapoel Beer Sheva at 46%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.0%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.

How is the Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FK Crvena Zvezda prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.50 for Hapoel Beer Sheva, 1.11 for FK Crvena Zvezda) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained