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UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 18:30 (UK time)

Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty: 1-0 result and AI prediction review

Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1 – 0Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 2-0

Final score: Levski Sofia 1-0 Kairat Almaty. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Levski Sofia at 71%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.5%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (57%): missed.

Match analysis

Levski Sofia and Kairat Almaty met on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Georgi Asparuhov Stadium, Sofia. Before kick-off, our model gave Levski Sofia a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Kairat Almaty 11%. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (12.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.5%).

Levski Sofia are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 13 and conceding 3. Over their last 5 matches, Kairat Almaty have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Levski Sofia score 2.60 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Kairat Almaty score 1.00 and concede 0.80.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Levski Sofia and Kairat Almaty: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Levski Sofia or draw" stands at 89%, "Kairat Almaty or draw" at 29% and "no draw" at 82%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

71%
Levski Sofia (Win)
18%
Draw
11%
Kairat Almaty (Win)

Double chance

89%
Levski Sofia or draw
29%
Kairat Almaty or draw
82%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Levski Sofia – Kairat Almaty. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (12.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 52% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Levski Sofia 2-0 Kairat Almaty12.7%
Levski Sofia 1-0 Kairat Almaty11.5%
Levski Sofia 2-1 Kairat Almaty9.5%
Levski Sofia 3-0 Kairat Almaty9.3%
Levski Sofia 1-1 Kairat Almaty8.6%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 2.21 expected goals for Levski Sofia and 0.75 for Kairat Almaty, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 57% and "both teams to score" at 47%. Levski Sofia keep a clean sheet in 47% of scenarios, Kairat Almaty in 11%.

Probability
Levski Sofia expected goals2.21
Kairat Almaty expected goals0.75
Both teams to score47%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Levski Sofia clean sheet47%
Kairat Almaty clean sheet11%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Levski Sofia

DateOpponentScore
Jul 29, 2026Universitatea Craiova · UEFA Champions League2-2D
Jul 22, 2026Universitatea Craiova · UEFA Champions League1-0W
Jul 14, 2026Borac Banja Luka · UEFA Champions League4-0W
Jul 7, 2026Borac Banja Luka · UEFA Champions League1-1D
Jun 30, 2026Radnik Surdulica · Club Friendlies5-0W

Kairat Almaty

DateOpponentScore
Jul 29, 2026Omonia Nicosia · UEFA Champions League1-0W
Jul 22, 2026Omonia Nicosia · UEFA Champions League0-1L
Jul 15, 2026Sutjeska · UEFA Champions League2-0W
Jul 8, 2026Sutjeska · UEFA Champions League2-1W
Mar 28, 2026Zenit · Club Friendlies0-2L

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Levski Sofia and Kairat Almaty: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Levski Sofia

No absences reported.

Kairat Almaty

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Levski Sofia a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Kairat Almaty 11%. Levski Sofia are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty?

2-0 (12.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.5%), 3-0 (9.3%) and 1-1 (8.6%).

Will both teams score in Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty?

The probability that both Levski Sofia and Kairat Almaty score is 47%. Levski Sofia have a 47% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Kairat Almaty 11%.

How many goals should we expect in Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty?

The model expects 2.96 goals (2.21 for Levski Sofia, 0.75 for Kairat Almaty). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 80%, over 2.5 goals 57%, over 3.5 goals 34%.

When and where is Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty played?

Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 18:30 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Georgi Asparuhov Stadium, Sofia.

What form are Levski Sofia and Kairat Almaty in?

Levski Sofia: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 3 conceded). Kairat Almaty: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 4 conceded).

What was the Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Levski Sofia 1-0 Kairat Almaty. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Levski Sofia at 71%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.5%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (57%): missed.

How is the Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.21 for Levski Sofia, 0.75 for Kairat Almaty) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained