UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt: 3-3 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Union St. Gilloise 3-3 Bodo/Glimt. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Union St. Gilloise (64%), while a draw was rated at only 21%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.8%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (54%): correct.
Match analysis
Union St. Gilloise and Bodo/Glimt met on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: KVDO Arena, Ostend. Before kick-off, our model gave Union St. Gilloise a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bodo/Glimt 15%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.7%), followed by 2-0 (11.7%) and 1-1 (9.9%).
Over their last 5 matches, Union St. Gilloise have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 15 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Bodo/Glimt have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 13 and conceding 7. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Union St. Gilloise score 3.00 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Bodo/Glimt score 2.60 and concede 1.40. In the table, Union St. Gilloise sit 27th with 9 points from 8 games, Bodo/Glimt 23rd with 9 points from 8. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Union St. Gilloise, 0 for Bodo/Glimt and 1 draw. Bodo/Glimt: D. Bassi, H. Evjen, A. Mikkelsen, U. Saltnes and I. Sjong. In double chance terms, "Union St. Gilloise or draw" stands at 85%, "Bodo/Glimt or draw" at 36% and "no draw" at 79%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Union St. Gilloise – Bodo/Glimt. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Union St. Gilloise 1-0 Bodo/Glimt | 11.7% |
| Union St. Gilloise 2-0 Bodo/Glimt | 11.7% |
| Union St. Gilloise 1-1 Bodo/Glimt | 9.9% |
| Union St. Gilloise 2-1 Bodo/Glimt | 9.8% |
| Union St. Gilloise 3-0 Bodo/Glimt | 7.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.99 expected goals for Union St. Gilloise and 0.84 for Bodo/Glimt, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 54% and "both teams to score" at 49%. Union St. Gilloise keep a clean sheet in 43% of scenarios, Bodo/Glimt in 14%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Union St. Gilloise expected goals | 1.99 |
| Bodo/Glimt expected goals | 0.84 |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| Union St. Gilloise clean sheet | 43% |
| Bodo/Glimt clean sheet | 14% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Union St. Gilloise
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lille · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Patro Eisden · Club Friendlies | 4-0 | W |
| Jul 18, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven · Club Friendlies | 3-7 | L |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Aarhus · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 5, 2026 | FCSB · Club Friendlies | 4-0 | W |
Bodo/Glimt
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Start · Club Friendlies | 4-0 | W |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Molde · Club Friendlies | 4-1 | W |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Sporting CP · UEFA Champions League | 0-5 | L |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Sporting CP · UEFA Champions League | 3-0 | W |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Inter · UEFA Champions League | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union St. Gilloise | 27 | 9 | 8 |
| Bodo/Glimt | 23 | 9 | 8 |
Head-to-head
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Union St. Gilloise, 0 for Bodo/Glimt and 1 draw.
Out and doubtful
Union St. Gilloise
No absences reported.
Bodo/Glimt
- D. Bassi (out)
- H. Evjen (out)
- A. Mikkelsen (out)
- U. Saltnes (out)
- I. Sjong (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Ararat-Armenia 2-1 CeljeAug 4, 2026
- Mjallby AIF 1-2 Slovan BratislavaAug 4, 2026
- Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-0 FK Crvena ZvezdaAug 4, 2026
- Levski Sofia 1-0 Kairat AlmatyAug 4, 2026
- Sparta Praha 2-1 LyonAug 4, 2026
- Olympiakos Piraeus 0-0 NEC NijmegenAug 4, 2026
- Dinamo Zagreb 5-0 Kauno ŽalgirisAug 4, 2026
- Aarhus 2-1 Sabah FAAug 5, 2026
- Fenerbahçe 2-0 Sturm GrazAug 5, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Union St. Gilloise a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bodo/Glimt 15%. Union St. Gilloise are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-3.
What is the most likely correct score for Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt?
1-0 (11.7%), followed by 2-0 (11.7%), 1-1 (9.9%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 3-0 (7.8%).
Will both teams score in Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt?
The probability that both Union St. Gilloise and Bodo/Glimt score is 49%. Union St. Gilloise have a 43% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Bodo/Glimt 14%.
How many goals should we expect in Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt?
The model expects 2.83 goals (1.99 for Union St. Gilloise, 0.84 for Bodo/Glimt). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 77%, over 2.5 goals 54%, over 3.5 goals 32%.
When and where is Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt played?
Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: KVDO Arena, Ostend.
What form are Union St. Gilloise and Bodo/Glimt in?
Union St. Gilloise: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (15 scored, 9 conceded). Bodo/Glimt: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Union St. Gilloise and Bodo/Glimt?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Union St. Gilloise, 0 for Bodo/Glimt and 1 draw.
What was the Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Union St. Gilloise 3-3 Bodo/Glimt. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Union St. Gilloise (64%), while a draw was rated at only 21%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.8%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (54%): correct.
How is the Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.99 for Union St. Gilloise, 0.84 for Bodo/Glimt) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Union St. Gilloise predictions
- All Bodo/Glimt predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology