UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, October 20, 2026, 17:45 (UK time)
Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha: 2-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Fenerbahçe 2-2 Slavia Praha. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Fenerbahçe (68%), while a draw was rated at only 18%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (4.7%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (56%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (64%): correct.
Match analysis
Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha was played on Tuesday, October 20, 2026 (UEFA Champions League). Venue: Chobani Stadium, Istanbul. Before kick-off, our model gave Fenerbahçe a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Slavia Praha 14%. The most likely correct score is 2-0 (10.1%), ahead of 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (8.7%).
Over their last 5 matches, Fenerbahçe have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 16 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Slavia Praha have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 4. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Fenerbahçe score 3.20 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Slavia Praha score 1.60 and concede 0.80. In the table, Fenerbahçe sit 28th with 1 points from 2 games, Slavia Praha 31st with 0 points from 2. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Fenerbahçe have averaged 2.92 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.14 for Slavia Praha.
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Fenerbahçe, 2 for Slavia Praha and 0 draws. The most recent ended Slavia Praha 1-2 Fenerbahçe (Nov 28, 2024). Fenerbahçe out or doubtful: M. Asensio, A. Diouf, A. Fall, M. Muldur, J. Oosterwolde and M. Yandas. Slavia Praha: S. Chaloupek, T. Chory, H. Kante, O. Kolar, I. Ogbu, A. Ouanda, D. Jurasek (doubtful) and E. Pitak (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Fenerbahçe or draw" stands at 86%, "Slavia Praha or draw" at 32% and "no draw" at 82%.
In short : Our model backs Fenerbahçe to edge Slavia Praha (68% probability). On recent form, Fenerbahçe are in good shape (4 wins in 5) while Slavia Praha have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 64%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Fenerbahçe – Slavia Praha. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (10.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 45% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Fenerbahçe 2-0 Slavia Praha | 10.1% |
| Fenerbahçe 2-1 Slavia Praha | 9.7% |
| Fenerbahçe 1-0 Slavia Praha | 8.7% |
| Fenerbahçe 1-1 Slavia Praha | 8.3% |
| Fenerbahçe 3-0 Slavia Praha | 7.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 3.29 goals in total (2.33 for Fenerbahçe, 0.96 for Slavia Praha): over 2.5 goals has a 64% probability and both teams to score 56%. Everything points to an open game. Fenerbahçe keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, Slavia Praha in 10%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Fenerbahçe expected goals | 2.33 |
| Slavia Praha expected goals | 0.96 |
| Both teams to score | 56% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% |
| Fenerbahçe clean sheet | 38% |
| Slavia Praha clean sheet | 10% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Fenerbahçe
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Alanyaspor · Süper Lig | 3-0 | W |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Aston Villa · UEFA Champions League | 0-6 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rizespor · Süper Lig | 3-0 | W |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Turan · Club Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Eyüpspor · Süper Lig | 8-0 | W |
Slavia Praha
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hradec Králové · Czech Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Sabah FA · UEFA Champions League | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Zlin · Czech Liga | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Plzen · Czech Liga | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Varnsdorf · Cup | 5-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahçe | 28 | 1 | 2 |
| Slavia Praha | 31 | 0 | 2 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2024 | Slavia Praha 1-2 Fenerbahçe | UEFA Europa League |
| Feb 24, 2022 | Slavia Praha 3-2 Fenerbahçe | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Feb 17, 2022 | Fenerbahçe 2-3 Slavia Praha | UEFA Europa Conference League |
Out and doubtful
Fenerbahçe
- M. Asensio (out)
- A. Diouf (out)
- A. Fall (out)
- M. Muldur (out)
- J. Oosterwolde (out)
- M. Yandas (out)
Slavia Praha
- S. Chaloupek (out)
- T. Chory (out)
- H. Kante (out)
- O. Kolar (out)
- I. Ogbu (out)
- A. Ouanda (out)
- D. Jurasek (doubtful)
- E. Pitak (doubtful)
Most regular starters
Fenerbahçe
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Brown4/5
- Ederson4/5
- M. Greenwood4/5
- M. Guendouzi4/5
- N. Kante3/5
- N. Semedo3/5
- V. Muriqi3/5
- K. Akturkoglu2/5
- M. Asensio2/5
- M. Skriniar2/5
- N. Ake2/5
Slavia Praha
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- S. Isife4/5
- D. Zima3/5
- E. Ayaosi3/5
- J. Markovic3/5
- T. Chory3/5
- T. Holes3/5
- T. Vlcek3/5
- W. Nowak3/5
- D. Moses2/5
- D. Sturm2/5
- L. Provod2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Sabah FA 1-2 Borussia DortmundOct 20, 2026
- FC Porto 0-1 PSV EindhovenOct 20, 2026
- VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Atletico MadridOct 20, 2026
- Liverpool 4-3 VillarrealOct 20, 2026
- Napoli 4-3 Bodo/GlimtOct 20, 2026
- Paris Saint Germain 4-2 BarcelonaOct 20, 2026
- AS Roma 4-0 Slovan BratislavaOct 20, 2026
- Manchester City 5-1 AEK Athens FCOct 20, 2026
- Como 4-1 Manchester UnitedOct 21, 2026
- Lille 2-4 GalatasarayOct 21, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Fenerbahçe a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Slavia Praha 14%. Fenerbahçe are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha?
2-0 (10.1%), followed by 2-1 (9.7%), 1-0 (8.7%), 1-1 (8.3%) and 3-0 (7.9%).
Will both teams score in Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha?
The probability that both Fenerbahçe and Slavia Praha score is 56%. Fenerbahçe have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Slavia Praha 10%.
How many goals should we expect in Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha?
The model expects 3.29 goals (2.33 for Fenerbahçe, 0.96 for Slavia Praha). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 84%, over 2.5 goals 64%, over 3.5 goals 42%.
When and where is Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha played?
Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Chobani Stadium, Istanbul.
What form are Fenerbahçe and Slavia Praha in?
Fenerbahçe: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (16 scored, 6 conceded). Slavia Praha: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 4 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Fenerbahçe and Slavia Praha?
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Fenerbahçe, 2 for Slavia Praha and 0 draws. The most recent ended Slavia Praha 1-2 Fenerbahçe (Nov 28, 2024).
What was the Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Fenerbahçe 2-2 Slavia Praha. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Fenerbahçe (68%), while a draw was rated at only 18%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (4.7%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (56%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (64%): correct.
How is the Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.33 for Fenerbahçe, 0.96 for Slavia Praha) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Fenerbahçe predictions
- All Slavia Praha predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology