UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, October 20, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Champions League: Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt kicks off on Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples. Our model makes Napoli clear favourites: a 71% chance of winning, against 18% for the draw and 11% for Bodo/Glimt. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%).
Napoli have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Bodo/Glimt have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 12. Bodo/Glimt therefore arrive in far better shape than Napoli. On average Napoli score 1.00 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Bodo/Glimt score 2.00 and concede 2.40. In the table, Napoli sit 27th with 0 points from 1 games, Bodo/Glimt 36th with 0 points from 1. 9 places separate the two sides.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Napoli and Bodo/Glimt: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Napoli out or doubtful: Alisson Santos, A. Buongiorno, Giovane, L. Marianucci, S. McTominay, A. Meret and L. Spinazzola. In double chance terms, "Napoli or draw" stands at 89%, "Bodo/Glimt or draw" at 29% and "no draw" at 82%.
In short : Napoli are favourites for this Napoli v Bodo/Glimt, with a 71% win probability from our model. On recent form, Napoli have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Bodo/Glimt have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5. One to watch: Napoli will be without Alisson Santos and A. Buongiorno.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Napoli – Bodo/Glimt. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Napoli 2-0 Bodo/Glimt | 11.9% |
| Napoli 1-0 Bodo/Glimt | 10.4% |
| Napoli 2-1 Bodo/Glimt | 9.5% |
| Napoli 3-0 Bodo/Glimt | 9.1% |
| Napoli 1-1 Bodo/Glimt | 8.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.30 expected goals for Napoli and 0.80 for Bodo/Glimt, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 60% and "both teams to score" at 50%. Goals look likely in this one. Napoli keep a clean sheet in 45% of scenarios, Bodo/Glimt in 10%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Napoli expected goals | 2.30 |
| Bodo/Glimt expected goals | 0.80 |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% |
| Napoli clean sheet | 45% |
| Bodo/Glimt clean sheet | 10% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Napoli
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fiorentina · Serie A | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Bologna · Serie A | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Arsenal · UEFA Champions League | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Inter · Serie A | 2-3 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Como · Serie A | 1-2 | L |
Bodo/Glimt
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Brann · Eliteserien | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sandefjord · Eliteserien | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Bayern München · UEFA Champions League | 0-5 | L |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Fredrikstad · Eliteserien | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Rosenborg · Eliteserien | 4-2 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 27 | 0 | 1 |
| Bodo/Glimt | 36 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Napoli and Bodo/Glimt: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Napoli
- Alisson Santos (out)
- A. Buongiorno (out)
- Giovane (out)
- L. Marianucci (out)
- S. McTominay (out)
- A. Meret (out)
- L. Spinazzola (out)
Bodo/Glimt
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Napoli
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Rrahmani4/5
- G. Di Lorenzo4/5
- M. Politano4/5
- R. Hojlund4/5
- R. Marin4/5
- S. Lobotka4/5
- A. Meret3/5
- A. Vergara2/5
- Alisson Santos2/5
- B. Gilmour2/5
- F. Anguissa2/5
Bodo/Glimt
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Helmersen5/5
- P. Berg5/5
- S. Auklend5/5
- S. Fet5/5
- F. Sjovold4/5
- O. L. Bjortuft4/5
- V. Nielsen4/5
- F. Bjorkan3/5
- J. Hauge3/5
- N. Haikin3/5
- O. Blomberg3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt prediction?
Our AI gives Napoli a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Bodo/Glimt 11%. Napoli are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt?
2-0 (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (10.4%), 2-1 (9.5%), 3-0 (9.1%) and 1-1 (8.3%).
Will both teams score in Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt?
The probability that both Napoli and Bodo/Glimt score is 50%. Napoli have a 45% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Bodo/Glimt 10%.
How many goals should we expect in Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt?
The model expects 3.10 goals (2.30 for Napoli, 0.80 for Bodo/Glimt). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 82%, over 2.5 goals 60%, over 3.5 goals 38%.
When and where is Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt played?
Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples.
What form are Napoli and Bodo/Glimt in?
Napoli: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 7 conceded). Bodo/Glimt: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 12 conceded).
How is the Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.30 for Napoli, 0.80 for Bodo/Glimt) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Napoli predictions
- All Bodo/Glimt predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology