UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 17:45 (UK time)
Como vs Manchester United prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Como take on Manchester United on Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time), a UEFA Champions League fixture. Our model makes Como clear favourites: a 70% chance of winning, against 17% for the draw and 13% for Manchester United. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (10.4%), followed by 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.8%).
Over their last 5 matches, Como have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Manchester United have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 9 and conceding 7. Como therefore arrive in far better shape than Manchester United. On average Como score 2.40 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Manchester United score 1.80 and concede 1.40. In the table, Como sit 5th with 3 points from 1 games, Manchester United 4th with 3 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Como have averaged 1.98 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.10 for Manchester United.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Como and Manchester United: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Manchester United: T. Heaton, K. Mainoo, M. Rashford, M. Ugarte, M. de Ligt, K. Darlow (doubtful), A. Diallo (doubtful) and P. Dorgu (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Como or draw" stands at 87%, "Manchester United or draw" at 30% and "no draw" at 83%.
In short : Como are tipped by our AI model in this Como v Manchester United (70%). In the table, Como (5th, 3 pts) host Manchester United (4th, 3 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Como – Manchester United. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (10.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 45% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Como 2-0 Manchester United | 10.4% |
| Como 2-1 Manchester United | 9.6% |
| Como 1-0 Manchester United | 8.8% |
| Como 3-0 Manchester United | 8.3% |
| Como 1-1 Manchester United | 8.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.38 expected goals for Como and 0.92 for Manchester United, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 64% and "both teams to score" at 55%. Goals look likely in this one. Como keep a clean sheet in 40% of scenarios, Manchester United in 9%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Como expected goals | 2.38 |
| Manchester United expected goals | 0.92 |
| Both teams to score | 55% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% |
| Como clean sheet | 40% |
| Manchester United clean sheet | 9% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Como
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Frosinone · Serie A | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Parma · Serie A | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 10, 2026 | RB Leipzig · UEFA Champions League | 4-1 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Genoa · Serie A | 4-1 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Napoli · Serie A | 2-1 | W |
Manchester United
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fulham · Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Brighton · EFL Cup | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Manchester City · Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sabah FA · UEFA Champions League | 4-0 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Everton · Premier League | 2-2 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Como | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| Manchester United | 4 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Como and Manchester United: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Como
No absences reported.
Manchester United
- T. Heaton (out)
- K. Mainoo (out)
- M. Rashford (out)
- M. Ugarte (out)
- M. de Ligt (out)
- K. Darlow (doubtful)
- A. Diallo (doubtful)
- P. Dorgu (doubtful)
Most regular starters
Como
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- M. Baturina5/5
- N. Paz5/5
- A. Diao4/5
- J. Butez4/5
- J. Ramon4/5
- L. Da Cunha4/5
- T. Chalobah4/5
- Y. Couto4/5
- A. Douvikas3/5
- A. Valle3/5
- L. Milla2/5
Manchester United
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Y. Tielemans5/5
- B. Mbeumo4/5
- K. Mainoo4/5
- M. Rashford4/5
- S. Lammens4/5
- H. Maguire3/5
- B. Fernandes2/5
- B. Šeško2/5
- Bruno Fernandes2/5
- D. Dalot2/5
- Diogo Dalot2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Como vs Manchester United prediction?
Our AI gives Como a 70% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Manchester United 13%. Como are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Como vs Manchester United?
2-0 (10.4%), followed by 2-1 (9.6%), 1-0 (8.8%), 3-0 (8.3%) and 1-1 (8.1%).
Will both teams score in Como vs Manchester United?
The probability that both Como and Manchester United score is 55%. Como have a 40% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Manchester United 9%.
How many goals should we expect in Como vs Manchester United?
The model expects 3.30 goals (2.38 for Como, 0.92 for Manchester United). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 84%, over 2.5 goals 64%, over 3.5 goals 42%.
When and where is Como vs Manchester United played?
Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time), UEFA Champions League.
What form are Como and Manchester United in?
Como: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 6 conceded). Manchester United: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 7 conceded).
How is the Como vs Manchester United prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.38 for Como, 0.92 for Manchester United) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Como predictions
- All Manchester United predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology