UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Sporting CP vs Lask Linz prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Champions League: Sporting CP vs Lask Linz kicks off on Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). With a 95% win probability, Sporting CP go in as strong favourites against Lask Linz (1%), with the draw rated at 4%. The most likely correct score is 3-0 (14.9%), ahead of 4-0 (14.9%) and 5-0 (11.9%).
Sporting CP are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 12 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Lask Linz have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 13 and conceding 8. Recent momentum is clearly with Sporting CP. On average Sporting CP score 2.40 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Lask Linz score 2.60 and concede 1.60. In the table, Sporting CP sit 7th with 3 points from 1 games, Lask Linz 28th with 0 points from 1. 21 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Sporting CP have averaged 2.14 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.72 for Lask Linz.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Sporting CP and Lask Linz: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Sporting CP or draw" stands at 99%, "Lask Linz or draw" at 5% and "no draw" at 96%.
In short : Sporting CP are favourites for this Sporting CP v Lask Linz, with a 95% win probability from our model. In the table, Sporting CP (7th, 3 pts) host Lask Linz (28th, 0 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 3-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Sporting CP – Lask Linz. 3-0 is the single most likely scoreline (14.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 61% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Sporting CP 3-0 Lask Linz | 14.9% |
| Sporting CP 4-0 Lask Linz | 14.9% |
| Sporting CP 5-0 Lask Linz | 11.9% |
| Sporting CP 2-0 Lask Linz | 11.2% |
| Sporting CP 6-0 Lask Linz | 8.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 4.27 goals in total (4.00 for Sporting CP, 0.27 for Lask Linz): over 2.5 goals has a 80% probability and both teams to score 23%. Everything points to an open game. Sporting CP keep a clean sheet in 76% of scenarios, Lask Linz in 2%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Sporting CP expected goals | 4.00 |
| Lask Linz expected goals | 0.27 |
| Both teams to score | 23% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 93% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 62% |
| Sporting CP clean sheet | 76% |
| Lask Linz clean sheet | 2% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Sporting CP
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arouca · Primeira Liga | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Famalicao · Primeira Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Galatasaray · UEFA Champions League | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nacional · Primeira Liga | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Rio Ave · Primeira Liga | 4-0 | W |
Lask Linz
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | TSV Hartberg · Bundesliga | 3-3 | D |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sturm Graz · Bundesliga | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 8, 2026 | AEK Athens FC · UEFA Champions League | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Deutschlandsberger SC · Cup | 6-1 | W |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC · Bundesliga | 3-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP | 7 | 3 | 1 |
| Lask Linz | 28 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Sporting CP and Lask Linz: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Sporting CP
No absences reported.
Lask Linz
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Sporting CP
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- I. Doumbia5/5
- G. Catamo4/5
- G. Inacio4/5
- L. Suarez4/5
- M. Araujo4/5
- R. Silva4/5
- R. Zalazar4/5
- S. Altimira4/5
- Z. Debast4/5
- F. Goncalves3/5
- I. Fresneda3/5
Lask Linz
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Andrade4/4
- C. Lang4/4
- L. Jungwirth4/4
- M. Bogarde4/4
- M. Usor4/4
- S. Horvath4/4
- X. Mbuyamba4/4
- G. Bello3/4
- Alemão2/4
- J. Tornich2/4
- K. P. Molgaard Jorgensen2/4
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Sporting CP vs Lask Linz prediction?
Our AI gives Sporting CP a 95% chance of winning, the draw 4% and Lask Linz 1%. Sporting CP are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?
3-0 (14.9%), followed by 4-0 (14.9%), 5-0 (11.9%), 2-0 (11.2%) and 6-0 (8.0%).
Will both teams score in Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?
The probability that both Sporting CP and Lask Linz score is 23%. Sporting CP have a 76% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Lask Linz 2%.
How many goals should we expect in Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?
The model expects 4.27 goals (4.00 for Sporting CP, 0.27 for Lask Linz). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 93%, over 2.5 goals 80%, over 3.5 goals 62%.
When and where is Sporting CP vs Lask Linz played?
Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League.
What form are Sporting CP and Lask Linz in?
Sporting CP: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 4 conceded). Lask Linz: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 8 conceded).
How is the Sporting CP vs Lask Linz prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (4.00 for Sporting CP, 0.27 for Lask Linz) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Sporting CP predictions
- All Lask Linz predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology