UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Aston Villa vs Viking: 3-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Aston Villa 3-1 Viking. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Aston Villa at 79%. The exact score 3-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (8.1%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (64%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (81%): correct.
Match analysis
Aston Villa and Viking met on Wednesday, October 21, 2026, a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Villa Park, Birmingham. Before kick-off, our model gave Aston Villa a 79% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Viking 9%. On the correct score, 3-1 comes out on top (8.1%), followed by 2-1 (7.4%) and 3-0 (7.4%).
Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 15 and conceding 5. Viking are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 14 and conceding 5. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Aston Villa score 3.00 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Viking score 2.80 and concede 1.00. In the table, Aston Villa sit 4th with 6 points from 2 games, Viking 29th with 1 points from 2. 25 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Aston Villa have averaged 2.35 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.56 for Viking.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Aston Villa and Viking: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Aston Villa out or doubtful: G. Hemmings, I. Maatsen, A. Onana, M. Ruggeri, J. Manzambi and A. Wan-Bissaka. Viking: A. Baertelsen, V. Berisha, S. Bjorshol, N. D'Agostino, K. Frimpong, M. Roseth, H. Falchener (doubtful) and K. Haugen (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Aston Villa or draw" stands at 91%, "Viking or draw" at 21% and "no draw" at 88%.
In short : Our model backs Aston Villa to edge Viking (79% probability). In the table, Aston Villa (4th, 6 pts) host Viking (29th, 1 pts). The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 81%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Aston Villa – Viking. 3-1 is the single most likely scoreline (8.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 36% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Aston Villa 3-1 Viking | 8.1% |
| Aston Villa 2-1 Viking | 7.4% |
| Aston Villa 3-0 Viking | 7.4% |
| Aston Villa 2-0 Viking | 6.8% |
| Aston Villa 4-1 Viking | 6.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 3.27 expected goals for Aston Villa and 1.10 for Viking, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 81% and "both teams to score" at 64%. Goals look likely in this one. Aston Villa keep a clean sheet in 33% of scenarios, Viking in 4%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Aston Villa expected goals | 3.27 |
| Viking expected goals | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | 64% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 93% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 81% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 64% |
| Aston Villa clean sheet | 33% |
| Viking clean sheet | 4% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Aston Villa
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Newcastle · Premier League | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Fenerbahçe · UEFA Champions League | 6-0 | W |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brentford · Premier League | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Sevilla · Club Friendlies | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tottenham · Premier League | 3-2 | W |
Viking
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Fredrikstad · Eliteserien | 3-2 | W |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bayern München · UEFA Champions League | 3-3 | D |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Brann · Eliteserien | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Madla · NM Cupen | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lillestrom · Eliteserien | 3-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| Viking | 29 | 1 | 2 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Aston Villa and Viking: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Aston Villa
- G. Hemmings (out)
- I. Maatsen (out)
- A. Onana (out)
- M. Ruggeri (out)
- J. Manzambi (out)
- A. Wan-Bissaka (out)
Viking
- A. Baertelsen (out)
- V. Berisha (out)
- S. Bjorshol (out)
- N. D'Agostino (out)
- K. Frimpong (out)
- M. Roseth (out)
- H. Falchener (doubtful)
- K. Haugen (doubtful)
Most regular starters
Aston Villa
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Kamara5/5
- J. Manzambi4/5
- N. Jackson4/5
- T. Mings4/5
- Z. Suzuki4/5
- A. Wan-Bissaka3/5
- E. Buendia3/5
- Joao Gomes3/5
- M. Cash3/5
- J. McGinn2/5
- M. Ruggeri2/5
Viking
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- E. Botheim4/4
- G. Stensness4/4
- H. Falchener4/4
- H. Heggheim4/4
- J. Bell4/4
- P. Christiansen4/4
- A. Ostbo3/4
- H. Bjordal3/4
- K. Askildsen3/4
- K. Haugen3/4
- Z. Tripic3/4
Other matches in this competition
- FC Porto 0-1 PSV EindhovenOct 20, 2026
- VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Atletico MadridOct 20, 2026
- Como 4-1 Manchester UnitedOct 21, 2026
- Lille 2-4 GalatasarayOct 21, 2026
- Bayern München 2-2 ArsenalOct 21, 2026
- Real Betis 1-0 FeyenoordOct 21, 2026
- Real Madrid 4-1 RB LeipzigOct 21, 2026
- Club Brugge KV 3-0 LensOct 21, 2026
- Inter 1-0 Shakhtar DonetskOct 21, 2026
- Sporting CP 2-3 Lask LinzOct 21, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Aston Villa vs Viking prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Aston Villa a 79% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Viking 9%. Aston Villa are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Aston Villa vs Viking?
3-1 (8.1%), followed by 2-1 (7.4%), 3-0 (7.4%), 2-0 (6.8%) and 4-1 (6.6%).
Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Viking?
The probability that both Aston Villa and Viking score is 64%. Aston Villa have a 33% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Viking 4%.
How many goals should we expect in Aston Villa vs Viking?
The model expects 4.37 goals (3.27 for Aston Villa, 1.10 for Viking). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 93%, over 2.5 goals 81%, over 3.5 goals 64%.
When and where is Aston Villa vs Viking played?
Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Villa Park, Birmingham.
What form are Aston Villa and Viking in?
Aston Villa: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (15 scored, 5 conceded). Viking: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 5 conceded).
What was the Aston Villa vs Viking result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Aston Villa 3-1 Viking. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Aston Villa at 79%. The exact score 3-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (8.1%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (64%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (81%): correct.
How is the Aston Villa vs Viking prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (3.27 for Aston Villa, 1.10 for Viking) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Aston Villa predictions
- All Viking predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology