UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Aston Villa vs Viking prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Aston Villa take on Viking on Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Villa Park, Birmingham. Our model makes Aston Villa clear favourites: a 94% chance of winning, against 5% for the draw and 1% for Viking. On the correct score, 3-0 comes out on top (12.7%), followed by 4-0 (12.7%) and 5-0 (10.2%).
Over their last 5 matches, Aston Villa have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Viking have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 16 and conceding 6. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Aston Villa score 2.00 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Viking score 3.20 and concede 1.20. In the table, Aston Villa sit 9th with 3 points from 1 games, Viking 29th with 0 points from 1. 20 places separate the two sides.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Aston Villa and Viking: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Aston Villa out or doubtful: Alysson, M. Bizot, L. Goretzka, I. Maatsen, B. Madjo, A. Onana and P. Torres. In double chance terms, "Aston Villa or draw" stands at 99%, "Viking or draw" at 6% and "no draw" at 95%.
In short : Our model backs Aston Villa to edge Viking (94% probability). In the table, Aston Villa (9th, 3 pts) host Viking (29th, 0 pts). The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 82%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Aston Villa – Viking. 3-0 is the single most likely scoreline (12.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 52% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Aston Villa 3-0 Viking | 12.7% |
| Aston Villa 4-0 Viking | 12.7% |
| Aston Villa 5-0 Viking | 10.2% |
| Aston Villa 2-0 Viking | 9.5% |
| Aston Villa 6-0 Viking | 6.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 4.00 expected goals for Aston Villa and 0.43 for Viking, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 82% and "both teams to score" at 34%. Goals look likely in this one. Aston Villa keep a clean sheet in 65% of scenarios, Viking in 2%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Aston Villa expected goals | 4.00 |
| Viking expected goals | 0.43 |
| Both teams to score | 34% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 94% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 82% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 65% |
| Aston Villa clean sheet | 65% |
| Viking clean sheet | 2% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Aston Villa
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tottenham · Premier League | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Coventry · EFL Cup | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Nottingham Forest · Premier League | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Club Brugge KV · UEFA Champions League | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Hull City · Premier League | 0-0 | D |
Viking
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lillestrom · Eliteserien | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kristiansund BK · Eliteserien | 8-1 | W |
| Sep 9, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart · UEFA Champions League | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Sandefjord · Eliteserien | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Brodd · NM Cupen | 3-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 1 |
| Viking | 29 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Aston Villa and Viking: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Aston Villa
- Alysson (out)
- M. Bizot (out)
- L. Goretzka (out)
- I. Maatsen (out)
- B. Madjo (out)
- A. Onana (out)
- P. Torres (out)
Viking
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Aston Villa
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Wan-Bissaka4/5
- B. Kamara4/5
- N. Jackson4/5
- Z. Suzuki4/5
- E. Buendia3/5
- G. Hemmings3/5
- I. Maatsen3/5
- J. McGinn3/5
- R. Barkley3/5
- T. Mings3/5
- V. Lindelof3/5
Viking
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- G. Stensness4/4
- H. Heggheim4/4
- J. Bell4/4
- K. Askildsen4/4
- P. Christiansen4/4
- A. Ostbo3/4
- K. Haugen3/4
- Z. Tripic3/4
- E. Botheim2/4
- H. Bjordal2/4
- H. Falchener2/4
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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- Bayern München – ArsenalOct 21, 2026
- Real Betis – FeyenoordOct 21, 2026
- Real Madrid – RB LeipzigOct 21, 2026
- Club Brugge KV – LensOct 21, 2026
- Inter – Shakhtar DonetskOct 21, 2026
- Sporting CP – Lask LinzOct 21, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Aston Villa vs Viking prediction?
Our AI gives Aston Villa a 94% chance of winning, the draw 5% and Viking 1%. Aston Villa are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Aston Villa vs Viking?
3-0 (12.7%), followed by 4-0 (12.7%), 5-0 (10.2%), 2-0 (9.5%) and 6-0 (6.8%).
Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Viking?
The probability that both Aston Villa and Viking score is 34%. Aston Villa have a 65% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Viking 2%.
How many goals should we expect in Aston Villa vs Viking?
The model expects 4.43 goals (4.00 for Aston Villa, 0.43 for Viking). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 94%, over 2.5 goals 82%, over 3.5 goals 65%.
When and where is Aston Villa vs Viking played?
Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Villa Park, Birmingham.
What form are Aston Villa and Viking in?
Aston Villa: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 7 conceded). Viking: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (16 scored, 6 conceded).
How is the Aston Villa vs Viking prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (4.00 for Aston Villa, 0.43 for Viking) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Aston Villa predictions
- All Viking predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology