UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Champions League: the Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk match is scheduled on Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). With a 89% win probability, Inter go in as strong favourites against Shakhtar Donetsk (4%), with the draw rated at 7%. The most likely correct score is 3-0 (8.2%), ahead of 4-0 (8.2%) and 3-1 (7.1%).
Over their last 5 matches, Inter have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Shakhtar Donetsk have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 4. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Inter score 2.40 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Shakhtar Donetsk score 1.60 and concede 0.80. In the table, Inter sit 25th with 0 points from 1 games, Shakhtar Donetsk 18th with 1 points from 1. 7 places separate the two sides.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Inter and Shakhtar Donetsk: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Inter out or doubtful: H. Calhanoglu, D. Spence and J. Stones. In double chance terms, "Inter or draw" stands at 96%, "Shakhtar Donetsk or draw" at 11% and "no draw" at 93%.
In short : Inter are tipped by our AI model in this Inter v Shakhtar Donetsk (89%). On recent form, Inter have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while Shakhtar Donetsk have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 3-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Inter – Shakhtar Donetsk. 3-0 is the single most likely scoreline (8.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 37% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Inter 3-0 Shakhtar Donetsk | 8.2% |
| Inter 4-0 Shakhtar Donetsk | 8.2% |
| Inter 3-1 Shakhtar Donetsk | 7.1% |
| Inter 4-1 Shakhtar Donetsk | 7.1% |
| Inter 5-0 Shakhtar Donetsk | 6.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 4.87 goals in total (4.00 for Inter, 0.87 for Shakhtar Donetsk): over 2.5 goals has a 86% probability and both teams to score 57%. Everything points to an open game. Inter keep a clean sheet in 42% of scenarios, Shakhtar Donetsk in 2%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Inter expected goals | 4.00 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk expected goals | 0.87 |
| Both teams to score | 57% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 96% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 86% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 72% |
| Inter clean sheet | 42% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk clean sheet | 2% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Inter
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | AS Roma · Serie A | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Udinese · Serie A | 5-3 | W |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Real Madrid · UEFA Champions League | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Napoli · Serie A | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Cagliari · Serie A | 1-0 | W |
Shakhtar Donetsk
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | Vilkhivtsi · Cup | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Chornomorets · Premier League | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 10, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven · UEFA Champions League | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Karpaty · Premier League | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Polessya · Premier League | 0-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 25 | 0 | 1 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 18 | 1 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Inter and Shakhtar Donetsk: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Inter
- H. Calhanoglu (out)
- D. Spence (out)
- J. Stones (out)
Shakhtar Donetsk
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Inter
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Bastoni4/5
- J. Martinez4/5
- N. Barella4/5
- A. Diouf3/5
- F. Esposito3/5
- L. Martinez3/5
- M. Akanji3/5
- B. Pavard2/5
- Carlos Augusto2/5
- F. Dimarco2/5
- H. Calhanoglu2/5
Shakhtar Donetsk
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Riznyk4/4
- O. Ocheretko4/4
- M. Matvienko3/4
- Newerton3/4
- Pedro Henrique3/4
- V. Bondar3/4
- A. Ghram2/4
- G. Mendoza2/4
- Luca Meirelles2/4
- Marlon Gomes2/4
- O. Karavaev2/4
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction?
Our AI gives Inter a 89% chance of winning, the draw 7% and Shakhtar Donetsk 4%. Inter are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
3-0 (8.2%), followed by 4-0 (8.2%), 3-1 (7.1%), 4-1 (7.1%) and 5-0 (6.5%).
Will both teams score in Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
The probability that both Inter and Shakhtar Donetsk score is 57%. Inter have a 42% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Shakhtar Donetsk 2%.
How many goals should we expect in Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
The model expects 4.87 goals (4.00 for Inter, 0.87 for Shakhtar Donetsk). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 96%, over 2.5 goals 86%, over 3.5 goals 72%.
When and where is Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk played?
Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League.
What form are Inter and Shakhtar Donetsk in?
Inter: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 9 conceded). Shakhtar Donetsk: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 4 conceded).
How is the Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (4.00 for Inter, 0.87 for Shakhtar Donetsk) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Inter predictions
- All Shakhtar Donetsk predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology