UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 17:45 (UK time)
Lille vs Galatasaray prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Champions League: the Lille vs Galatasaray match is scheduled on Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time). Venue: Stade Pierre-Mauroy. It is a tight call: 36% for Lille, 24% for the draw and 40% for Galatasaray. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (10.5%), followed by 1-2 (8.6%) and 2-1 (8.1%).
Over their last 5 matches, Lille have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Galatasaray have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Lille score 1.60 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Galatasaray score 1.60 and concede 2.20. In the table, Lille sit 22nd with 0 points from 1 games, Galatasaray 30th with 0 points from 1. 8 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Lille have averaged 1.33 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.89 for Galatasaray.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Lille and Galatasaray: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Lille out or doubtful: H. Igamane and T. Nianzou. Galatasaray: G. Guvenc, M. Lemina, V. Osimhen and W. Singo. In double chance terms, "Lille or draw" stands at 60%, "Galatasaray or draw" at 64% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Lille host Galatasaray in a tight contest where a draw stays on the table (24%). On recent form, Lille have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Galatasaray have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Lille – Galatasaray. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (10.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 41% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Lille 1-1 Galatasaray | 10.5% |
| Lille 1-2 Galatasaray | 8.6% |
| Lille 2-1 Galatasaray | 8.1% |
| Lille 0-1 Galatasaray | 6.8% |
| Lille 2-2 Galatasaray | 6.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.54 expected goals for Lille and 1.63 for Galatasaray, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 61% and "both teams to score" at 63%. Goals look likely in this one. Lille keep a clean sheet in 20% of scenarios, Galatasaray in 21%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Lille expected goals | 1.54 |
| Galatasaray expected goals | 1.63 |
| Both teams to score | 63% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% |
| Lille clean sheet | 20% |
| Galatasaray clean sheet | 21% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Lille
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Nice · Ligue 1 | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Estac Troyes · Ligue 1 | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Real Betis · UEFA Champions League | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Toulouse · Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain · Ligue 1 | 2-2 | D |
Galatasaray
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Trabzonspor · Süper Lig | 0-4 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kocaelispor · Süper Lig | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Sporting CP · UEFA Champions League | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Başakşehir · Süper Lig | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Göztepe · Süper Lig | 3-2 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 22 | 0 | 1 |
| Galatasaray | 30 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Lille and Galatasaray: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Lille
- H. Igamane (out)
- T. Nianzou (out)
Galatasaray
- G. Guvenc (out)
- M. Lemina (out)
- V. Osimhen (out)
- W. Singo (out)
Most regular starters
Lille
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Alexsandro Ribeiro4/5
- Tiago Santos4/5
- Berke Özer3/5
- Hakon Arnar Haraldsson3/5
- Nabil Bentaleb3/5
- Nathan Ngoy3/5
- A. Ueda2/5
- Benjamin André2/5
- Ethan Mbappé2/5
- H. Haraldsson2/5
- N. Bentaleb2/5
Galatasaray
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Gabriel Sara5/5
- D. Sanchez4/5
- L. Torreira4/5
- R. Sallai4/5
- Y. Akgun4/5
- B. Yilmaz3/5
- I. Jakobs3/5
- U. Cakir3/5
- A. Bardakci2/5
- A. Batrakov2/5
- E. Elmali2/5
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Lille vs Galatasaray prediction?
Our AI gives Lille a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Galatasaray 40%. Galatasaray are therefore slight favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Lille vs Galatasaray?
1-1 (10.5%), followed by 1-2 (8.6%), 2-1 (8.1%), 0-1 (6.8%) and 2-2 (6.6%).
Will both teams score in Lille vs Galatasaray?
The probability that both Lille and Galatasaray score is 63%. Lille have a 20% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Galatasaray 21%.
How many goals should we expect in Lille vs Galatasaray?
The model expects 3.17 goals (1.54 for Lille, 1.63 for Galatasaray). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 83%, over 2.5 goals 61%, over 3.5 goals 39%.
When and where is Lille vs Galatasaray played?
Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
What form are Lille and Galatasaray in?
Lille: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 7 conceded). Galatasaray: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 11 conceded).
How is the Lille vs Galatasaray prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.54 for Lille, 1.63 for Galatasaray) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Lille predictions
- All Galatasaray predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology