UEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, January 27, 2027, 20:00 (UK time)
PSV Eindhoven vs VfB Stuttgart prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
PSV Eindhoven take on VfB Stuttgart on Wednesday, January 27, 2027 at 20:00 (UK time), a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Philips Stadion, Eindhoven. Our model makes VfB Stuttgart clear favourites: a 61% chance of winning, against 17% for the draw and 22% for PSV Eindhoven. On the correct score, 1-2 comes out on top (6.6%), followed by 1-3 (6.5%) and 2-2 (6.1%).
Over their last 5 matches, PSV Eindhoven have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 16 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, VfB Stuttgart have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 10. PSV Eindhoven therefore arrive in far better shape than VfB Stuttgart. On average PSV Eindhoven score 3.20 and concede 1.40 goals per game; VfB Stuttgart score 1.80 and concede 2.00. In the table, PSV Eindhoven sit 19th with 1 points from 1 games, VfB Stuttgart 6th with 3 points from 1. 13 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, PSV Eindhoven have averaged 2.59 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.13 for VfB Stuttgart.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between PSV Eindhoven and VfB Stuttgart: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. PSV Eindhoven out or doubtful: S. Lammers, A. Nagalo, S. Ouaissa, A. Plea, J. Schouten and K. Sildillia. VfB Stuttgart: L. Assignon, J. Diehl, M. Herwerth, L. Jaquez, D. Seimen, T. Tomas and D. Zagadou. In double chance terms, "PSV Eindhoven or draw" stands at 39%, "VfB Stuttgart or draw" at 78% and "no draw" at 83%.
In short : VfB Stuttgart are tipped by our AI model in this PSV Eindhoven v VfB Stuttgart (61%). On recent form, PSV Eindhoven have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while VfB Stuttgart have 2 wins, 0 draw and 3 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as PSV Eindhoven – VfB Stuttgart. 1-2 is the single most likely scoreline (6.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 30% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven 1-2 VfB Stuttgart | 6.6% |
| PSV Eindhoven 1-3 VfB Stuttgart | 6.5% |
| PSV Eindhoven 2-2 VfB Stuttgart | 6.1% |
| PSV Eindhoven 2-3 VfB Stuttgart | 6.0% |
| PSV Eindhoven 1-4 VfB Stuttgart | 4.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.86 expected goals for PSV Eindhoven and 2.97 for VfB Stuttgart, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 86% and "both teams to score" at 80%. Goals look likely in this one. PSV Eindhoven keep a clean sheet in 5% of scenarios, VfB Stuttgart in 16%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven expected goals | 1.86 |
| VfB Stuttgart expected goals | 2.97 |
| Both teams to score | 80% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 95% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 86% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 71% |
| PSV Eindhoven clean sheet | 5% |
| VfB Stuttgart clean sheet | 16% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
PSV Eindhoven
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Twente · Eredivisie | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie | 4-1 | W |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk · UEFA Champions League | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Ajax · Eredivisie | 3-1 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Utrecht · Eredivisie | 6-1 | W |
VfB Stuttgart
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Viking · UEFA Champions League | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga | 4-1 | W |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Bayern München · Bundesliga | 1-5 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven | 19 | 1 | 1 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 6 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between PSV Eindhoven and VfB Stuttgart: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
PSV Eindhoven
- S. Lammers (out)
- A. Nagalo (out)
- S. Ouaissa (out)
- A. Plea (out)
- J. Schouten (out)
- K. Sildillia (out)
VfB Stuttgart
- L. Assignon (out)
- J. Diehl (out)
- M. Herwerth (out)
- L. Jaquez (out)
- D. Seimen (out)
- T. Tomas (out)
- D. Zagadou (out)
Most regular starters
PSV Eindhoven
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Obispo5/5
- G. Til5/5
- K. Sano5/5
- S. Dest5/5
- L. Geertruida4/5
- R. Pepi4/5
- R. van Bommel4/5
- M. Kovar3/5
- Mauro Junior3/5
- P. Wanner3/5
- I. Perisic2/5
VfB Stuttgart
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Stiller5/5
- F. Bredlow5/5
- J. Chabot5/5
- D. Undav4/5
- F. Jeltsch4/5
- G. Promel4/5
- J. Vagnoman4/5
- M. Mittelstadt4/5
- B. El Khannouss3/5
- C. Fuhrich3/5
- D. Pejcinovic3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the PSV Eindhoven vs VfB Stuttgart prediction?
Our AI gives PSV Eindhoven a 22% chance of winning, the draw 17% and VfB Stuttgart 61%. VfB Stuttgart are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for PSV Eindhoven vs VfB Stuttgart?
1-2 (6.6%), followed by 1-3 (6.5%), 2-2 (6.1%), 2-3 (6.0%) and 1-4 (4.8%).
Will both teams score in PSV Eindhoven vs VfB Stuttgart?
The probability that both PSV Eindhoven and VfB Stuttgart score is 80%. PSV Eindhoven have a 5% chance of keeping a clean sheet, VfB Stuttgart 16%.
How many goals should we expect in PSV Eindhoven vs VfB Stuttgart?
The model expects 4.83 goals (1.86 for PSV Eindhoven, 2.97 for VfB Stuttgart). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 95%, over 2.5 goals 86%, over 3.5 goals 71%.
When and where is PSV Eindhoven vs VfB Stuttgart played?
Wednesday, January 27, 2027 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Philips Stadion, Eindhoven.
What form are PSV Eindhoven and VfB Stuttgart in?
PSV Eindhoven: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (16 scored, 7 conceded). VfB Stuttgart: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 10 conceded).
How is the PSV Eindhoven vs VfB Stuttgart prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.86 for PSV Eindhoven, 2.97 for VfB Stuttgart) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All PSV Eindhoven predictions
- All VfB Stuttgart predictions
- UEFA Champions League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology