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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 20, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka: 2-0 result and AI prediction review

FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland2 – 0HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: FC Midtjylland 2-0 HNK Rijeka. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for FC Midtjylland at 61%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (8.9%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.

Match analysis

FC Midtjylland and HNK Rijeka met on Thursday, August 20, 2026, a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: MCH Arena, Herning. Before kick-off, our model gave FC Midtjylland a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and HNK Rijeka 17%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.4%).

Over their last 5 matches, FC Midtjylland have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 11 and conceding 5. HNK Rijeka are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 6 and conceding 1. HNK Rijeka therefore arrive in far better shape than FC Midtjylland. On average FC Midtjylland score 2.20 and concede 1.00 goals per game; HNK Rijeka score 1.20 and concede 0.20.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FC Midtjylland and HNK Rijeka: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. FC Midtjylland out or doubtful: V. Bak, E. Chilufya, O. Diao, M. Gogorza and Junior Brumado. In double chance terms, "FC Midtjylland or draw" stands at 83%, "HNK Rijeka or draw" at 39% and "no draw" at 78%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

61%
FC Midtjylland (Win)
22%
Draw
17%
HNK Rijeka (Win)

Double chance

83%
FC Midtjylland or draw
39%
HNK Rijeka or draw
78%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as FC Midtjylland – HNK Rijeka. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
FC Midtjylland 1-1 HNK Rijeka12.0%
FC Midtjylland 1-0 HNK Rijeka11.3%
FC Midtjylland 2-1 HNK Rijeka9.4%
FC Midtjylland 2-0 HNK Rijeka8.9%
FC Midtjylland 0-1 HNK Rijeka7.6%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.57 expected goals for FC Midtjylland and 1.06 for HNK Rijeka, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. FC Midtjylland keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, HNK Rijeka in 21%.

Probability
FC Midtjylland expected goals1.57
HNK Rijeka expected goals1.06
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
FC Midtjylland clean sheet35%
HNK Rijeka clean sheet21%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

FC Midtjylland

DateOpponentScore
Aug 13, 2026Bohemians · UEFA Conference League3-2W
Aug 6, 2026Bohemians · UEFA Conference League2-0W
Jul 30, 2026Beşiktaş · UEFA Europa League0-2L
Jul 23, 2026Beşiktaş · UEFA Europa League0-1L
Jul 11, 2026Cardiff · Club Friendlies6-0W

HNK Rijeka

DateOpponentScore
Aug 13, 2026Ilves · UEFA Conference League1-1D
Aug 6, 2026Ilves · UEFA Conference League1-0W
Jul 30, 2026Derry City · UEFA Conference League1-0W
Jul 23, 2026Derry City · UEFA Conference League1-0W
Jul 3, 2026Radomlje · Club Friendlies2-0W

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FC Midtjylland and HNK Rijeka: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

FC Midtjylland

  • V. Bak (out)
  • E. Chilufya (out)
  • O. Diao (out)
  • M. Gogorza (out)
  • Junior Brumado (out)

HNK Rijeka

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave FC Midtjylland a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and HNK Rijeka 17%. FC Midtjylland are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-0.

What is the most likely correct score for FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka?

1-1 (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (8.9%) and 0-1 (7.6%).

Will both teams score in FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka?

The probability that both FC Midtjylland and HNK Rijeka score is 52%. FC Midtjylland have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, HNK Rijeka 21%.

How many goals should we expect in FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka?

The model expects 2.63 goals (1.57 for FC Midtjylland, 1.06 for HNK Rijeka). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka played?

Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: MCH Arena, Herning.

What form are FC Midtjylland and HNK Rijeka in?

FC Midtjylland: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 5 conceded). HNK Rijeka: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 1 conceded).

What was the FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: FC Midtjylland 2-0 HNK Rijeka. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for FC Midtjylland at 61%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (8.9%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.

How is the FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.57 for FC Midtjylland, 1.06 for HNK Rijeka) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained