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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 20, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne: 0-2 result and AI prediction review

Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC0 – 2LarneLarne

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Lincoln Red Imps FC 0-2 Larne. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Lincoln Red Imps FC (46%), while victory for Larne was rated at only 28%. The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (4.5%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.

Match analysis

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne was played on Thursday, August 20, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar. Before kick-off, our model gave Lincoln Red Imps FC a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Larne 28%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.2%), ahead of 1-0 (11.0%) and 2-1 (9.2%).

Lincoln Red Imps FC have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 6. Larne have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 12. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Lincoln Red Imps FC score 0.40 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Larne score 0.60 and concede 2.40.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Lincoln Red Imps FC, 1 for Larne and 0 draws. In double chance terms, "Lincoln Red Imps FC or draw" stands at 72%, "Larne or draw" at 54% and "no draw" at 74%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

46%
Lincoln Red Imps FC (Win)
26%
Draw
28%
Larne (Win)

Double chance

72%
Lincoln Red Imps FC or draw
54%
Larne or draw
74%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Lincoln Red Imps FC – Larne. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Lincoln Red Imps FC 1-1 Larne12.2%
Lincoln Red Imps FC 1-0 Larne11.0%
Lincoln Red Imps FC 2-1 Larne9.2%
Lincoln Red Imps FC 2-0 Larne8.3%
Lincoln Red Imps FC 0-1 Larne8.2%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.61 goals in total (1.50 for Lincoln Red Imps FC, 1.11 for Larne): over 2.5 goals has a 48% probability and both teams to score 52%. Lincoln Red Imps FC keep a clean sheet in 33% of scenarios, Larne in 22%.

Probability
Lincoln Red Imps FC expected goals1.50
Larne expected goals1.11
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Lincoln Red Imps FC clean sheet33%
Larne clean sheet22%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Lincoln Red Imps FC

DateOpponentScore
Aug 13, 2026Omonia Nicosia · UEFA Europa League0-1L
Aug 6, 2026Omonia Nicosia · UEFA Europa League1-1D
Jul 28, 2026Mjallby AIF · UEFA Champions League0-0D
Jul 21, 2026Mjallby AIF · UEFA Champions League0-3L
Jul 14, 2026Inter Club d'Escaldes · UEFA Champions League1-1D

Larne

DateOpponentScore
Aug 11, 2026Saburtalo · UEFA Europa League1-2L
Aug 4, 2026Saburtalo · UEFA Europa League0-0D
Jul 29, 2026FK Crvena Zvezda · UEFA Champions League0-5L
Jul 21, 2026FK Crvena Zvezda · UEFA Champions League0-4L
Jul 14, 2026Tre Fiori · UEFA Champions League2-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Lincoln Red Imps FC2676

Head-to-head

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Lincoln Red Imps FC, 1 for Larne and 0 draws.

Out and doubtful

Lincoln Red Imps FC

No absences reported.

Larne

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Lincoln Red Imps FC a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Larne 28%. Lincoln Red Imps FC are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne?

1-1 (12.2%), followed by 1-0 (11.0%), 2-1 (9.2%), 2-0 (8.3%) and 0-1 (8.2%).

Will both teams score in Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne?

The probability that both Lincoln Red Imps FC and Larne score is 52%. Lincoln Red Imps FC have a 33% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Larne 22%.

How many goals should we expect in Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne?

The model expects 2.61 goals (1.50 for Lincoln Red Imps FC, 1.11 for Larne). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne played?

Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar.

What form are Lincoln Red Imps FC and Larne in?

Lincoln Red Imps FC: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 6 conceded). Larne: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 12 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Lincoln Red Imps FC and Larne?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Lincoln Red Imps FC, 1 for Larne and 0 draws.

What was the Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Lincoln Red Imps FC 0-2 Larne. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Lincoln Red Imps FC (46%), while victory for Larne was rated at only 28%. The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (4.5%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.

How is the Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.50 for Lincoln Red Imps FC, 1.11 for Larne) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained