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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 20, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

FC Nordsjaelland vs FC ST. Gallen: 1-0 result and AI prediction review

FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland1 – 0FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 FC ST. Gallen. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for FC Nordsjaelland at 52%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.5%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): correct.

Match analysis

FC Nordsjaelland and FC ST. Gallen met on Thursday, August 20, 2026, a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Right to Dream Park, Farum. Before kick-off, our model gave FC Nordsjaelland a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC ST. Gallen 23%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%).

Over their last 5 matches, FC Nordsjaelland have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 13 and conceding 3. Over their last 5 matches, FC ST. Gallen have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 11. Both sides come in with similar form. On average FC Nordsjaelland score 2.60 and concede 0.60 goals per game; FC ST. Gallen score 2.00 and concede 2.20.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FC Nordsjaelland and FC ST. Gallen: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. FC Nordsjaelland out or doubtful: S. Alio and A. Mohammed. In double chance terms, "FC Nordsjaelland or draw" stands at 77%, "FC ST. Gallen or draw" at 48% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

52%
FC Nordsjaelland (Win)
25%
Draw
23%
FC ST. Gallen (Win)

Double chance

77%
FC Nordsjaelland or draw
48%
FC ST. Gallen or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as FC Nordsjaelland – FC ST. Gallen. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 FC ST. Gallen11.7%
FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 FC ST. Gallen11.5%
FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 FC ST. Gallen9.6%
FC Nordsjaelland 2-0 FC ST. Gallen9.5%
FC Nordsjaelland 0-1 FC ST. Gallen7.1%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.65 expected goals for FC Nordsjaelland and 1.01 for FC ST. Gallen, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 51%. FC Nordsjaelland keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, FC ST. Gallen in 19%.

Probability
FC Nordsjaelland expected goals1.65
FC ST. Gallen expected goals1.01
Both teams to score51%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
FC Nordsjaelland clean sheet36%
FC ST. Gallen clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

FC Nordsjaelland

DateOpponentScore
Aug 13, 2026Valur Reykjavik · UEFA Conference League5-0W
Aug 6, 2026Valur Reykjavik · UEFA Conference League2-0W
Jul 30, 2026Gais · UEFA Conference League6-0W
Jul 23, 2026Gais · UEFA Conference League0-1L
Jul 10, 2026Gornik Zabrze · Club Friendlies0-2L

FC ST. Gallen

DateOpponentScore
Aug 13, 2026Sheriff Tiraspol · UEFA Conference League5-1W
Aug 6, 2026Sheriff Tiraspol · UEFA Conference League3-1W
Jul 30, 2026Benfica · UEFA Europa League0-5L
Jul 23, 2026Benfica · UEFA Europa League2-1W
Jul 17, 2026Norwich · Club Friendlies0-3L

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between FC Nordsjaelland and FC ST. Gallen: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

FC Nordsjaelland

  • S. Alio (out)
  • A. Mohammed (out)

FC ST. Gallen

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the FC Nordsjaelland vs FC ST. Gallen prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave FC Nordsjaelland a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC ST. Gallen 23%. FC Nordsjaelland are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.

What is the most likely correct score for FC Nordsjaelland vs FC ST. Gallen?

1-1 (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.5%) and 0-1 (7.1%).

Will both teams score in FC Nordsjaelland vs FC ST. Gallen?

The probability that both FC Nordsjaelland and FC ST. Gallen score is 51%. FC Nordsjaelland have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, FC ST. Gallen 19%.

How many goals should we expect in FC Nordsjaelland vs FC ST. Gallen?

The model expects 2.66 goals (1.65 for FC Nordsjaelland, 1.01 for FC ST. Gallen). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is FC Nordsjaelland vs FC ST. Gallen played?

Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Right to Dream Park, Farum.

What form are FC Nordsjaelland and FC ST. Gallen in?

FC Nordsjaelland: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 3 conceded). FC ST. Gallen: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 11 conceded).

What was the FC Nordsjaelland vs FC ST. Gallen result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 FC ST. Gallen. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for FC Nordsjaelland at 52%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.5%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): correct.

How is the FC Nordsjaelland vs FC ST. Gallen prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.65 for FC Nordsjaelland, 1.01 for FC ST. Gallen) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained