UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, October 15, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Heart Of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Heart Of Midlothian take on FC Nordsjaelland on Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh. Heart Of Midlothian start as favourites with a 51% chance of victory; FC Nordsjaelland are given 24% and the draw 25%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%).
Over their last 5 matches, Heart Of Midlothian have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, FC Nordsjaelland have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Heart Of Midlothian score 2.00 and concede 1.00 goals per game; FC Nordsjaelland score 2.00 and concede 1.00.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Heart Of Midlothian and FC Nordsjaelland: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Heart Of Midlothian or draw" stands at 76%, "FC Nordsjaelland or draw" at 49% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Our model backs Heart Of Midlothian to edge FC Nordsjaelland (51% probability). On recent form, Heart Of Midlothian have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while FC Nordsjaelland have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 52%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Heart Of Midlothian – FC Nordsjaelland. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Heart Of Midlothian 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland | 11.8% |
| Heart Of Midlothian 1-0 FC Nordsjaelland | 11.4% |
| Heart Of Midlothian 2-1 FC Nordsjaelland | 9.5% |
| Heart Of Midlothian 2-0 FC Nordsjaelland | 9.3% |
| Heart Of Midlothian 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland | 7.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.62 expected goals for Heart Of Midlothian and 1.03 for FC Nordsjaelland, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Heart Of Midlothian keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, FC Nordsjaelland in 20%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Heart Of Midlothian expected goals | 1.62 |
| FC Nordsjaelland expected goals | 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Heart Of Midlothian clean sheet | 36% |
| FC Nordsjaelland clean sheet | 20% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Heart Of Midlothian
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Kilmarnock · Premiership | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Falkirk · Premiership | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Stenhousemuir · League Cup | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Dundee · Premiership | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Hibernian · Premiership | 3-1 | W |
FC Nordsjaelland
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Vatanspor · DBU Pokalen | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Aarhus · Superliga | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 7, 2026 | FC Midtjylland · Superliga | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 3, 2026 | FC Copenhagen · Superliga | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Brondby · Superliga | 3-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heart Of Midlothian | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| FC Nordsjaelland | 19 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Heart Of Midlothian and FC Nordsjaelland: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Heart Of Midlothian
No absences reported.
FC Nordsjaelland
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Heart Of Midlothian
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Reus5/5
- J. McCart5/5
- L. Mendy5/5
- S. Findlay5/5
- C. Miller4/5
- J. McPake4/5
- J. Wilson4/5
- J. Altena3/5
- C. Borchgrevink2/5
- C. Braga2/5
- Cláudio Braga2/5
FC Nordsjaelland
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Hansen4/5
- A. Lind4/5
- P. Ankersen4/5
- R. Norheim4/5
- I. Adel3/5
- J. Janssen3/5
- J. Lahteenmaki3/5
- M. Brink3/5
- N. Markmann3/5
- S. Acquah3/5
- L. Sadio2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Heart Of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland prediction?
Our AI gives Heart Of Midlothian a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC Nordsjaelland 24%. Heart Of Midlothian are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Heart Of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland?
1-1 (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.3%) and 0-1 (7.3%).
Will both teams score in Heart Of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland?
The probability that both Heart Of Midlothian and FC Nordsjaelland score is 52%. Heart Of Midlothian have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, FC Nordsjaelland 20%.
How many goals should we expect in Heart Of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland?
The model expects 2.65 goals (1.62 for Heart Of Midlothian, 1.03 for FC Nordsjaelland). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Heart Of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland played?
Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh.
What form are Heart Of Midlothian and FC Nordsjaelland in?
Heart Of Midlothian: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 5 conceded). FC Nordsjaelland: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 5 conceded).
How is the Heart Of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.62 for Heart Of Midlothian, 1.03 for FC Nordsjaelland) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Heart Of Midlothian predictions
- All FC Nordsjaelland predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology

