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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, October 15, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

St. Truiden vs Saburtalo prediction: correct score and AI tips

St. TruidenSt. Truiden–SaburtaloSaburtalo

Match analysis

St. Truiden take on Saburtalo on Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Daio Wasabi Stayen, Sint-Truiden. With a 91% win probability, St. Truiden go in as strong favourites against Saburtalo (3%), with the draw rated at 6%. The most likely correct score is 3-0 (9.0%), ahead of 4-0 (9.0%) and 5-0 (7.2%).

Over their last 5 matches, St. Truiden have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Saburtalo have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 11. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average St. Truiden score 2.00 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Saburtalo score 0.60 and concede 2.20.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between St. Truiden and Saburtalo: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "St. Truiden or draw" stands at 97%, "Saburtalo or draw" at 9% and "no draw" at 94%.

In short : St. Truiden are favourites for this St. Truiden v Saburtalo, with a 91% win probability from our model. On recent form, St. Truiden have 2 wins, 0 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Saburtalo are struggling (4 losses in 5). Our model's most likely scoreline: 3-0.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

91%
St. Truiden (Win)
6%
Draw
3%
Saburtalo (Win)

Double chance

97%
St. Truiden or draw
9%
Saburtalo or draw
94%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as St. Truiden – Saburtalo. 3-0 is the single most likely scoreline (9.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 39% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
St. Truiden 3-0 Saburtalo9.0%
St. Truiden 4-0 Saburtalo9.0%
St. Truiden 5-0 Saburtalo7.2%
St. Truiden 3-1 Saburtalo7.0%
St. Truiden 4-1 Saburtalo7.0%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 4.78 goals in total (4.00 for St. Truiden, 0.78 for Saburtalo): over 2.5 goals has a 86% probability and both teams to score 53%. Everything points to an open game. St. Truiden keep a clean sheet in 46% of scenarios, Saburtalo in 2%.

Probability
St. Truiden expected goals4.00
Saburtalo expected goals0.78
Both teams to score53%
Over 1.5 goals95%
Over 2.5 goals86%
Over 3.5 goals70%
St. Truiden clean sheet46%
Saburtalo clean sheet2%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

St. Truiden

DateOpponentScore
Sep 12, 2026SK Beveren · Jupiler Pro League0-2L
Sep 5, 2026RAAL La Louvière · Jupiler Pro League4-0W
Sep 2, 2026Union St. Gilloise · Jupiler Pro League0-3L
Aug 30, 2026Antwerp · Jupiler Pro League4-1W
Aug 27, 2026Omonia Nicosia · UEFA Europa League2-4L

Saburtalo

DateOpponentScore
Sep 5, 2026Samgurali · Erovnuli Liga2-1W
Sep 2, 2026Samtredia · David Kipiani Cup0-2L
Aug 31, 2026Gagra · Erovnuli Liga0-2L
Aug 27, 2026Jagiellonia · UEFA Europa League1-2L
Aug 20, 2026Jagiellonia · UEFA Europa League0-4L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
St. Truiden600
Saburtalo3400

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between St. Truiden and Saburtalo: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

St. Truiden

No absences reported.

Saburtalo

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

St. Truiden

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Sissako5/5
  • I. Sebaoui5/5
  • L. Kokubo5/5
  • R. Vanwesemael5/5
  • V. Musliu5/5
  • R. Araki4/5
  • R. Merlen4/5
  • A. Muja3/5
  • S. Taniguchi3/5
  • T. Hata3/5
  • J. Pupe2/5

Saburtalo

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Amisulashvili4/4
  • B. Kardava4/4
  • G. Kobuladze4/4
  • J. Jinjolava4/4
  • N. Dadiani4/4
  • N. Sikharulashvili4/4
  • Z. Natchkebia4/4
  • I. Alhassan3/4
  • S. Ende3/4
  • V. Selimovic3/4
  • G. Makaridze2/4

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the St. Truiden vs Saburtalo prediction?

Our AI gives St. Truiden a 91% chance of winning, the draw 6% and Saburtalo 3%. St. Truiden are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for St. Truiden vs Saburtalo?

3-0 (9.0%), followed by 4-0 (9.0%), 5-0 (7.2%), 3-1 (7.0%) and 4-1 (7.0%).

Will both teams score in St. Truiden vs Saburtalo?

The probability that both St. Truiden and Saburtalo score is 53%. St. Truiden have a 46% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Saburtalo 2%.

How many goals should we expect in St. Truiden vs Saburtalo?

The model expects 4.78 goals (4.00 for St. Truiden, 0.78 for Saburtalo). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 95%, over 2.5 goals 86%, over 3.5 goals 70%.

When and where is St. Truiden vs Saburtalo played?

Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Daio Wasabi Stayen, Sint-Truiden.

What form are St. Truiden and Saburtalo in?

St. Truiden: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 10 conceded). Saburtalo: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 11 conceded).

How is the St. Truiden vs Saburtalo prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (4.00 for St. Truiden, 0.78 for Saburtalo) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained