UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, October 15, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
SC Freiburg take on FK Jablonec on Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg. Our model makes SC Freiburg clear favourites: a 79% chance of winning, against 13% for the draw and 8% for FK Jablonec. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (11.4%), followed by 3-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (8.5%).
SC Freiburg are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 16 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, FK Jablonec have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 2. Both sides come in with similar form. On average SC Freiburg score 3.20 and concede 1.00 goals per game; FK Jablonec score 1.40 and concede 0.40.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between SC Freiburg and FK Jablonec: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "SC Freiburg or draw" stands at 92%, "FK Jablonec or draw" at 21% and "no draw" at 87%.
In short : SC Freiburg are tipped by our AI model in this SC Freiburg v FK Jablonec (79%). On recent form, SC Freiburg are in good shape (4 wins in 5) while FK Jablonec are in good shape (4 wins in 5). Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as SC Freiburg – FK Jablonec. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 47% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| SC Freiburg 2-0 FK Jablonec | 11.4% |
| SC Freiburg 3-0 FK Jablonec | 10.5% |
| SC Freiburg 2-1 FK Jablonec | 8.5% |
| SC Freiburg 1-0 FK Jablonec | 8.3% |
| SC Freiburg 3-1 FK Jablonec | 7.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.76 expected goals for SC Freiburg and 0.75 for FK Jablonec, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 68% and "both teams to score" at 49%. Goals look likely in this one. SC Freiburg keep a clean sheet in 47% of scenarios, FK Jablonec in 6%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| SC Freiburg expected goals | 2.76 |
| FK Jablonec expected goals | 0.75 |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 47% |
| SC Freiburg clean sheet | 47% |
| FK Jablonec clean sheet | 6% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
SC Freiburg
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Luzern · Club Friendlies | 4-2 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach · Bundesliga | 5-0 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07 · Bundesliga | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Werder Bremen · Bundesliga | 4-1 | W |
FK Jablonec
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Rangers · UEFA Conference League | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Rīgas FS · UEFA Conference League | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slovácko · Czech Liga | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Rīgas FS · UEFA Conference League | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pardubice · Czech Liga | 2-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| FK Jablonec | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between SC Freiburg and FK Jablonec: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
SC Freiburg
No absences reported.
FK Jablonec
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
SC Freiburg
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Beste5/5
- M. Ginter5/5
- D. Scherhant4/5
- I. Matanovic4/5
- J. Makengo4/5
- M. Backhaus4/5
- M. Eggestein4/5
- P. Lienhart4/5
- Y. Engelhardt4/5
- Y. Suzuki4/5
- P. Treu3/5
FK Jablonec
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Pavlovic5/5
- N. Tekijaski5/5
- V. Chanturishvili5/5
- M. Cedidla4/5
- M. Polidar4/5
- R. Sedlacek4/5
- S. Nebyla4/5
- J. Hanus3/5
- J. Slama3/5
- J. Suchan3/5
- L. Jawo3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec prediction?
Our AI gives SC Freiburg a 79% chance of winning, the draw 13% and FK Jablonec 8%. SC Freiburg are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec?
2-0 (11.4%), followed by 3-0 (10.5%), 2-1 (8.5%), 1-0 (8.3%) and 3-1 (7.9%).
Will both teams score in SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec?
The probability that both SC Freiburg and FK Jablonec score is 49%. SC Freiburg have a 47% chance of keeping a clean sheet, FK Jablonec 6%.
How many goals should we expect in SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec?
The model expects 3.51 goals (2.76 for SC Freiburg, 0.75 for FK Jablonec). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 87%, over 2.5 goals 68%, over 3.5 goals 47%.
When and where is SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec played?
Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg.
What form are SC Freiburg and FK Jablonec in?
SC Freiburg: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (16 scored, 5 conceded). FK Jablonec: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 2 conceded).
How is the SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.76 for SC Freiburg, 0.75 for FK Jablonec) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All SC Freiburg predictions
- All FK Jablonec predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology