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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 27, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Hibernian vs Gent: 2-3 result and AI prediction review

HibernianHibernian2 – 3GentGent

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Hibernian 2-3 Gent. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Gent was the model's favourite outcome (39%). The model considered this score unlikely (2.4%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): missed.

Match analysis

Hibernian vs Gent was played on Thursday, August 27, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Easter Road, Edinburgh. Before kick-off, our model gave Hibernian a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Gent 39%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.5%), ahead of 0-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.3%).

Over their last 5 matches, Hibernian have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Gent are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 6 and conceding 2. Recent momentum is clearly with Gent. On average Hibernian score 1.20 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Gent score 1.20 and concede 0.40.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Hibernian, 0 for Gent and 1 draw. The most recent ended Gent 0-0 Hibernian (Aug 20, 2026). In double chance terms, "Hibernian or draw" stands at 61%, "Gent or draw" at 65% and "no draw" at 74%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

35%
Hibernian (Win)
26%
Draw
39%
Gent (Win)

Double chance

61%
Hibernian or draw
65%
Gent or draw
74%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Hibernian – Gent. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Hibernian 1-1 Gent12.5%
Hibernian 0-1 Gent9.9%
Hibernian 1-0 Gent9.3%
Hibernian 1-2 Gent8.4%
Hibernian 2-1 Gent7.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.61 goals in total (1.27 for Hibernian, 1.34 for Gent): over 2.5 goals has a 48% probability and both teams to score 53%. Hibernian keep a clean sheet in 26% of scenarios, Gent in 28%.

Probability
Hibernian expected goals1.27
Gent expected goals1.34
Both teams to score53%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Hibernian clean sheet26%
Gent clean sheet28%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Hibernian

DateOpponentScore
Aug 20, 2026Gent · UEFA Conference League0-0D
Aug 13, 2026Shkendija · UEFA Conference League0-0D
Aug 6, 2026Shkendija · UEFA Conference League2-1W
Jul 30, 2026Malisheva · UEFA Conference League4-1W
Jul 23, 2026Malisheva · UEFA Conference League0-2L

Gent

DateOpponentScore
Aug 20, 2026Hibernian · UEFA Conference League0-0D
Aug 16, 2026RAAL La Louvière · Jupiler Pro League2-1W
Aug 13, 2026IFK Goteborg · UEFA Conference League1-1D
Aug 9, 2026KV Mechelen · Jupiler Pro League2-0W
Aug 6, 2026IFK Goteborg · UEFA Conference League1-0W

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Gent 0-0 HibernianUEFA Conference League

Out and doubtful

Hibernian

No absences reported.

Gent

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Hibernian vs Gent prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Hibernian a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Gent 39%. Gent are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 2-3.

What is the most likely correct score for Hibernian vs Gent?

1-1 (12.5%), followed by 0-1 (9.9%), 1-0 (9.3%), 1-2 (8.4%) and 2-1 (7.9%).

Will both teams score in Hibernian vs Gent?

The probability that both Hibernian and Gent score is 53%. Hibernian have a 26% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Gent 28%.

How many goals should we expect in Hibernian vs Gent?

The model expects 2.61 goals (1.27 for Hibernian, 1.34 for Gent). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is Hibernian vs Gent played?

Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Easter Road, Edinburgh.

What form are Hibernian and Gent in?

Hibernian: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 4 conceded). Gent: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 2 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Hibernian and Gent?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Hibernian, 0 for Gent and 1 draw. The most recent ended Gent 0-0 Hibernian (Aug 20, 2026).

What was the Hibernian vs Gent result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Hibernian 2-3 Gent. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Gent was the model's favourite outcome (39%). The model considered this score unlikely (2.4%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): missed.

How is the Hibernian vs Gent prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.27 for Hibernian, 1.34 for Gent) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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