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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 27, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC: 0-3 result and AI prediction review

LarneLarne0 – 3Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Larne 0-3 Lincoln Red Imps FC. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Larne (57%), while victory for Lincoln Red Imps FC was rated at only 20%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (51%): correct.

Match analysis

Larne and Lincoln Red Imps FC met on Thursday, August 27, 2026, a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Inver Park, Larne. Before kick-off, our model gave Larne a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lincoln Red Imps FC 20%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.7%), followed by 1-1 (11.0%) and 2-0 (10.4%).

Larne have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 11. Lincoln Red Imps FC have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 1 and conceding 7. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Larne score 0.60 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Lincoln Red Imps FC score 0.20 and concede 1.40.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Larne, 0 for Lincoln Red Imps FC and 0 draws. The most recent ended Lincoln Red Imps FC 0-2 Larne (Aug 20, 2026). In double chance terms, "Larne or draw" stands at 80%, "Lincoln Red Imps FC or draw" at 43% and "no draw" at 77%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

57%
Larne (Win)
23%
Draw
20%
Lincoln Red Imps FC (Win)

Double chance

80%
Larne or draw
43%
Lincoln Red Imps FC or draw
77%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Larne – Lincoln Red Imps FC. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Larne 1-0 Lincoln Red Imps FC11.7%
Larne 1-1 Lincoln Red Imps FC11.0%
Larne 2-0 Lincoln Red Imps FC10.4%
Larne 2-1 Lincoln Red Imps FC9.8%
Larne 0-0 Lincoln Red Imps FC6.6%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.78 expected goals for Larne and 0.94 for Lincoln Red Imps FC, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 51% and "both teams to score" at 51%. Larne keep a clean sheet in 39% of scenarios, Lincoln Red Imps FC in 17%.

Probability
Larne expected goals1.78
Lincoln Red Imps FC expected goals0.94
Both teams to score51%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Larne clean sheet39%
Lincoln Red Imps FC clean sheet17%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Larne

DateOpponentScore
Aug 20, 2026Lincoln Red Imps FC · UEFA Conference League2-0W
Aug 11, 2026Saburtalo · UEFA Europa League1-2L
Aug 4, 2026Saburtalo · UEFA Europa League0-0D
Jul 29, 2026FK Crvena Zvezda · UEFA Champions League0-5L
Jul 21, 2026FK Crvena Zvezda · UEFA Champions League0-4L

Lincoln Red Imps FC

DateOpponentScore
Aug 20, 2026Larne · UEFA Conference League0-2L
Aug 13, 2026Omonia Nicosia · UEFA Europa League0-1L
Aug 6, 2026Omonia Nicosia · UEFA Europa League1-1D
Jul 28, 2026Mjallby AIF · UEFA Champions League0-0D
Jul 21, 2026Mjallby AIF · UEFA Champions League0-3L

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Lincoln Red Imps FC 0-2 LarneUEFA Conference League

Out and doubtful

Larne

No absences reported.

Lincoln Red Imps FC

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Larne a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lincoln Red Imps FC 20%. Larne are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-3.

What is the most likely correct score for Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC?

1-0 (11.7%), followed by 1-1 (11.0%), 2-0 (10.4%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 0-0 (6.6%).

Will both teams score in Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC?

The probability that both Larne and Lincoln Red Imps FC score is 51%. Larne have a 39% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Lincoln Red Imps FC 17%.

How many goals should we expect in Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC?

The model expects 2.72 goals (1.78 for Larne, 0.94 for Lincoln Red Imps FC). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 76%, over 2.5 goals 51%, over 3.5 goals 29%.

When and where is Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC played?

Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Inver Park, Larne.

What form are Larne and Lincoln Red Imps FC in?

Larne: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 11 conceded). Lincoln Red Imps FC: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (1 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Larne and Lincoln Red Imps FC?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Larne, 0 for Lincoln Red Imps FC and 0 draws. The most recent ended Lincoln Red Imps FC 0-2 Larne (Aug 20, 2026).

What was the Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Larne 0-3 Lincoln Red Imps FC. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Larne (57%), while victory for Lincoln Red Imps FC was rated at only 20%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (51%): correct.

How is the Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.78 for Larne, 0.94 for Lincoln Red Imps FC) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained