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UEFA Conference LeagueUEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 27, 2026, 16:00 (UK time)

KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers: 1-0 result and AI prediction review

KuPSKuPS1 – 0Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score foundMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: KuPS 1-0 Shamrock Rovers. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for KuPS at 63%. The exact score 1-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (11.8%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (53%): missed.

Match analysis

KuPS and Shamrock Rovers met on Thursday, August 27, 2026, a UEFA Conference League fixture. Venue: Vare Areena, Kuopio. Before kick-off, our model gave KuPS a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Shamrock Rovers 16%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.8%), followed by 2-0 (11.6%) and 1-1 (10.0%).

KuPS have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Shamrock Rovers have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Shamrock Rovers therefore arrive in far better shape than KuPS. On average KuPS score 0.60 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Shamrock Rovers score 1.40 and concede 2.00. In the table, KuPS sit 21st with 7 points from 6 games, Shamrock Rovers 31st with 4 points from 6. 10 places separate the two sides.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for KuPS, 0 for Shamrock Rovers and 1 draw. The most recent ended Shamrock Rovers 1-1 KuPS (Aug 20, 2026). In double chance terms, "KuPS or draw" stands at 84%, "Shamrock Rovers or draw" at 37% and "no draw" at 79%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

63%
KuPS (Win)
21%
Draw
16%
Shamrock Rovers (Win)

Double chance

84%
KuPS or draw
37%
Shamrock Rovers or draw
79%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as KuPS – Shamrock Rovers. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
KuPS 1-0 Shamrock Rovers11.8%
KuPS 2-0 Shamrock Rovers11.6%
KuPS 1-1 Shamrock Rovers10.0%
KuPS 2-1 Shamrock Rovers9.8%
KuPS 3-0 Shamrock Rovers7.6%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.96 expected goals for KuPS and 0.85 for Shamrock Rovers, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 53% and "both teams to score" at 49%. KuPS keep a clean sheet in 43% of scenarios, Shamrock Rovers in 14%.

Probability
KuPS expected goals1.96
Shamrock Rovers expected goals0.85
Both teams to score49%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals31%
KuPS clean sheet43%
Shamrock Rovers clean sheet14%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

KuPS

DateOpponentScore
Aug 20, 2026Shamrock Rovers · UEFA Conference League1-1D
Aug 13, 2026Universitatea Craiova · UEFA Europa League1-2L
Aug 6, 2026Universitatea Craiova · UEFA Europa League1-1D
Jul 28, 2026Sabah FA · UEFA Champions League0-2L
Jul 21, 2026Sabah FA · UEFA Champions League0-1L

Shamrock Rovers

DateOpponentScore
Aug 20, 2026KuPS · UEFA Conference League1-1D
Aug 13, 2026Egnatia Rrogozhinë · UEFA Europa League1-5L
Aug 4, 2026Egnatia Rrogozhinë · UEFA Europa League3-1W
Jul 28, 2026Ararat-Armenia · UEFA Champions League2-1W
Jul 21, 2026Ararat-Armenia · UEFA Champions League0-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
KuPS2176
Shamrock Rovers3146

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Shamrock Rovers 1-1 KuPSUEFA Conference League

Out and doubtful

KuPS

No absences reported.

Shamrock Rovers

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave KuPS a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Shamrock Rovers 16%. KuPS are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.

What is the most likely correct score for KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers?

1-0 (11.8%), followed by 2-0 (11.6%), 1-1 (10.0%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 3-0 (7.6%).

Will both teams score in KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers?

The probability that both KuPS and Shamrock Rovers score is 49%. KuPS have a 43% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Shamrock Rovers 14%.

How many goals should we expect in KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers?

The model expects 2.81 goals (1.96 for KuPS, 0.85 for Shamrock Rovers). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 77%, over 2.5 goals 53%, over 3.5 goals 31%.

When and where is KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers played?

Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 16:00 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Vare Areena, Kuopio.

What form are KuPS and Shamrock Rovers in?

KuPS: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 7 conceded). Shamrock Rovers: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 10 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between KuPS and Shamrock Rovers?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for KuPS, 0 for Shamrock Rovers and 1 draw. The most recent ended Shamrock Rovers 1-1 KuPS (Aug 20, 2026).

What was the KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: KuPS 1-0 Shamrock Rovers. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for KuPS at 63%. The exact score 1-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (11.8%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (53%): missed.

How is the KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.96 for KuPS, 0.85 for Shamrock Rovers) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained