UEFA Conference League· Kick-off : Thursday, July 23, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme: 5-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Shelbourne 5-2 Kalju Nomme. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Kalju Nomme (43%), while victory for Shelbourne was rated at only 31%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.1%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): missed.
Match analysis
Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme was played on Thursday, July 23, 2026 (UEFA Conference League). Venue: Tolka Park, Dublin. Before kick-off, our model gave Shelbourne a 31% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Kalju Nomme 43%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.4%), ahead of 0-1 (10.6%) and 1-2 (8.9%).
Shelbourne are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 12 and conceding 5. Kalju Nomme have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 7 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Shelbourne. On average Shelbourne score 2.40 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Kalju Nomme score 1.40 and concede 1.40.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Shelbourne and Kalju Nomme: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Shelbourne or draw" stands at 57%, "Kalju Nomme or draw" at 69% and "no draw" at 74%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Shelbourne – Kalju Nomme. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Shelbourne 1-1 Kalju Nomme | 12.4% |
| Shelbourne 0-1 Kalju Nomme | 10.6% |
| Shelbourne 1-2 Kalju Nomme | 8.9% |
| Shelbourne 1-0 Kalju Nomme | 8.7% |
| Shelbourne 0-2 Kalju Nomme | 7.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.60 goals in total (1.17 for Shelbourne, 1.43 for Kalju Nomme): over 2.5 goals has a 48% probability and both teams to score 53%. Shelbourne keep a clean sheet in 24% of scenarios, Kalju Nomme in 31%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Shelbourne expected goals | 1.17 |
| Kalju Nomme expected goals | 1.43 |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Shelbourne clean sheet | 24% |
| Kalju Nomme clean sheet | 31% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Shelbourne
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 2026 | Celtic · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Longford Town · Club Friendlies | 4-1 | W |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Bray Wanderers · Club Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Bohemians · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Dundalk · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
Kalju Nomme
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | Linfield · UEFA Conference League | 2-2 | D |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Linfield · UEFA Conference League | 1-0 | W |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Super Nova · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Paide · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Tukums · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shelbourne | 34 | 2 | 6 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Shelbourne and Kalju Nomme: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Shelbourne
No absences reported.
Kalju Nomme
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Žilina 2-1 GKS KatowiceJul 23, 2026
- FC Lugano 1-0 DukagjiniJul 23, 2026
- Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-0 LudogoretsJul 23, 2026
- Borac Banja Luka 3-0 PetrocubJul 23, 2026
- HNK Rijeka 1-0 Derry CityJul 23, 2026
- Motherwell 2-0 HB TorshavnJul 23, 2026
- Bravo 2-1 ShkendijaJul 23, 2026
- NSI Runavik 0-2 KoperJul 23, 2026
- FK Partizan 4-0 UNA StrassenJul 23, 2026
- Stjarnan 1-0 IlvesJul 23, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Shelbourne a 31% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Kalju Nomme 43%. Kalju Nomme are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 5-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme?
1-1 (12.4%), followed by 0-1 (10.6%), 1-2 (8.9%), 1-0 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.6%).
Will both teams score in Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme?
The probability that both Shelbourne and Kalju Nomme score is 53%. Shelbourne have a 24% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Kalju Nomme 31%.
How many goals should we expect in Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme?
The model expects 2.60 goals (1.17 for Shelbourne, 1.43 for Kalju Nomme). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.
When and where is Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme played?
Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Conference League. Venue: Tolka Park, Dublin.
What form are Shelbourne and Kalju Nomme in?
Shelbourne: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 5 conceded). Kalju Nomme: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 7 conceded).
What was the Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Shelbourne 5-2 Kalju Nomme. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Kalju Nomme (43%), while victory for Shelbourne was rated at only 31%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.1%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): missed.
How is the Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.17 for Shelbourne, 1.43 for Kalju Nomme) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Shelbourne predictions
- All Kalju Nomme predictions
- UEFA Conference League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology